DragonBet 'Welsh Champion' Hurdle Race (A Limited Handicap) (GBB Race) · 2m16y
SR 135 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 108 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 113 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 117 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 136 backed by market confidence at 9/2 — a genuine contender.
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 100 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 96 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 120 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 118 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 101 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 10-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 10-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 106 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Laafi | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Kateira | 40/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Knickerbockerglory | 25/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Le Beau Madrik | 4/1 open 6.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Serious Challenge | 22/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Captain Hugo | 11/2 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Gibbs Island | 7/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Sony Bill | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Sageborough | 40/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Filibustering | 20/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Hamlet's Night | 18/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Listentoyourheart | 80/1 open 21.00 | 66/1 open 21.00 | 66/1 open 21.00 | 66/1 open 21.00 | 66/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 19.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Queenie St Clair | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 | 33/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Morning Mayhem | 16/1 open 29.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 29.00 | 14/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Pioneer Pete | 7/2 open 13.00 | 4/1 open 11.00 | 4/1 open 11.00 | 4/1 open 11.00 | 4/1 open 13.00 | 4/1 open 11.00 | 4/1 Paddy Power |
| 16 Doctor Blue | 6/1 open 5.00 | 6/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 17 Tennessee Tango | 18/1 open 29.00 | 16/1 open 34.00 | 10/1 open 21.00 | 10/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 open 29.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Le Beau Madrik owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (74) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 10-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 136 backed by market confidence at 9/2 — a genuine contender.
Favourable weight of 10-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 135 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 118 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 106 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 120 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Le Beau Madrik (SR:133, 4/1) is Dan Skelton's clear #1 runner here — he carries Harry Skelton in the saddle (26% career strike rate, 1,658 runners), a deliberate and telling booking over yard companions ridden by Andrews and Atkins. The market has firmed 14% since opening, confirming money is arriving. At 5 years old with a form line of 211P1, this horse has won twice from his last four completions and has shown progressive ability; the single 'P' is explicable and followed immediately by a win. Carrying 11-5 gives him a 10lb pull on top-weight Laafi (SR:135) and a 2lb edge over Captain Hugo (SR:136), meaning his SR deficit to those rivals is more than offset by weight — Harry Skelton's 26% strike rate on a yard hotpot at a competitive price is a strong combination in a Class 2 limited handicap. Each-way alternative: Pioneer Pete. Main danger: Captain Hugo — Captain Hugo (SR:136, 9/2) is the highest-rated runner on a confirmed good-to-soft going preference (GoingFit:+) with a DistFit:+ at this trip, and while the 14% market drift is a concern, his raw SR edge over Le Beau Madrik and proven course-condition fitness make him the most dangerous rival.