Denis Macauley Memorial Novice Handicap Hurdle · 2m1f65y
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 91 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Facile Ocean | 2/1 open 3.25 | 7/4 open 2.63 | 7/4 open 2.63 | 7/4 open 2.63 | 15/8 open 2.63 | 7/4 open 2.63 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Lygon Lad | 9/4 open 2.75 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 3 Mr Caulfield | 10/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Papagei | 3/1 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 5/2 open 4.50 | 11/4 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Speakasyoufind | 8/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 13.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Facile Ocean owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (59) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Facile Ocean (SR 107, 15/8) leads the field on ability and is the only runner with a confirmed positive going fit on today's good ground — a meaningful edge in a five-runner novice handicap where three rivals carry GoingFit:- on this surface. Carrying 11-12 is the heaviest burden, but the 3lb advantage over Lygon Lad in weight-for-SR terms is marginal, and the form string -23214 shows consistent placing with a recent win, suggesting peak fitness 49 days on. The tongue-tie is a neutral flag here. Lygon Lad is the obvious danger but has drifted 13% in the market, undermining confidence in that yard's intentions today. Each-way alternative: Lygon Lad. Main danger: Lygon Lad — Gordon Elliott at 18% career strike rate with Jack Kennedy (22%) aboard is the strongest connections pairing in the race, and despite the 13% market drift the raw ability gap between SR 104 and the rest is narrow enough that a good jump round could overcome going reservations.