Ballygarry Estate Hotel & Spa Mares Novice Steeplechase · 2m3f100y
SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 126 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 127 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Emily Love | 9/1 open 6.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 Paddy Power |
| 2 La Note Verte | 5/6 open 2.88 | 5/6 open 2.20 | 5/6 open 2.20 | 5/6 open 2.20 | 5/6 open 2.10 | 5/6 open 2.20 | 5/6 Bet365 |
| 3 Lady Bluebird | 7/1 open 5.50 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Miss Doyenne | 3/1 open 2.88 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Kelya | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Missus Beeton | 25/1 | 20/1 open 41.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Walks The Talk | 14/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Miss Doyenne owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 127 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
La Note Verte (SR 136, 8/11) is the clear selection. The Mullins/Townend combination — strike rates of 26% and 38% respectively across large sample sizes — is the most powerful pairing in Irish jump racing, and the market has backed this horse in aggressively by 21% from an already short opening price. Course form of W2P2 at Listowel is a concrete specialist edge, and a GoingFit:+ confirms good ground suits. The most recent form figure is a '1' (last time out winner), and while DistFit:? reflects limited evidence at 2m3f, Mullins would not pitch this horse into a novice chase at this trip if connections had doubts about the distance. Miss Doyenne carries a higher SR of 159 but has drifted 31% in the market and carries a GoingFit:? — the market is clearly uncomfortable, and her 137-day absence adds further risk. Each-way alternative: Miss Doyenne. Main danger: Miss Doyenne — Miss Doyenne's SR of 159 is the highest in the field by a significant margin and her recent form of /331-1 shows she can win at this level — if the 137-day layoff has left her fit and the going suits despite the GoingFit:? query, she is absolutely capable of reversing market fortunes.