Millstream Lady arrives here on the back of a second three starts back and a win four starts back, giving her a solid recent profile, and with experience of today's trip and going she holds strong claims as the top-rated mare in the field despite a lightly-noted latest run.
Form last 63126-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
98SR131RPR130OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed last time out and showing a consistent thread of minor form, Magnor Glory has going experience to call on and our rating puts him second in the field — the main risk is that he remains winless in his last five starts.
Form last 63P/473
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
108SR127RPR125OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 108 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
A winner three starts back and clearly capable at this level, A Law Of Her Own has going experience to call on and arrives fresh on 46 days off; the worry is her most recent completed run was an eighth, suggesting she needs to bounce back sharply.
Form last 6691-U8
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR122RPR123OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Returned a winner two starts back and shaped with credit in the frame on two further occasions in recent starts, but last seen finishing eighth and he heads here 34 days later carrying 155 lb off an official mark of 119, with experience of today's going at least working in his favour.
Form last 6332-18
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
114SR117RPR119OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Returned to winning ways last time out, which is the eye-catching angle, though four of his last five starts have yielded modest results; has run over today's going before and comes here 19 days fresh, but 155 lb is a stern test of whether that victory was a turning point.
Form last 60-0681
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
102SR120RPR119OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 102 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Caher Roes Den is a winner last time out, though a fourth two starts back and a pulled up three starts back temper enthusiasm; he has run over today's distance and going, carries 148 lb, and returns after 52 days off.
Form last 639P/41
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
109SR109RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
A fall last time out is impossible to ignore, and our figures rank her eleventh of fourteen, making her hard to fancy at these weights; that said, she has winning form in her last five starts and experience over today's trip and going to her name.
Form last 6-0611F
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
94SR108RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 94 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bounced back to win two starts back before a second last time out shows Cooladdi in decent nick, and he has experience over today's trip and conditions; however, 147 lb is a stiff burden and a fall three starts back adds a note of caution.
Form last 66-7F12
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
102SR111RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Stormbreaker's rating of 125 marks him out as a serious player here, and he arrives with fitness on his side after 32 days off, bringing distance and going experience to the table — but a run of five winless starts in recent form is the concern he must overcome.
Form last 600/P67
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
82SR125RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Twice runner-up in his last three completed starts yet winless in recent outings, Withabitofluk has experience over today's trip and conditions, though a pulled up run lurks in the record and 75 days off the track adds an element of doubt at 146 lb.
Form last 6/0P-22
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
100SR114RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 13 of 14 on our figures, Tiger Twins faces a stiff task here, returning after 135 days off carrying 144 lb; going experience at least offers a crumb of comfort.
Form last 67540-5
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
94SR107RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Dorans Law brings distance and going experience to the table and shaped with promise when second three starts back, but he's winless in recent starts and a fall last time out raises a question mark over confidence heading into this.
Form last 665725F
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
93SR115RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked well down our figures in a field of 14, Humble Brag is hard to fancy at the weights, and 136 days off the track adds to the queries, though he does return over familiar going and showed he retains ability when winning last time out.
Form last 6504U-1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
99SR107RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Smallcraftwarning is hard to fancy at the weights carrying 140 lb, and in his last six starts he has managed just one win, though he does arrive on the back of a third last time out and has experience of today's distance and going.
Form last 6040513
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
86SR101RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Caher Roes Den owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4W. P. MullinsPaul Townend
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Hi Ho Idaho
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · Cian Collins✓ Value Signal
A Law Of Her Own
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
22/1 · Emmet Mullins◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Caher Roes Den (SR:109, 7/2, Wgt:10-8) is trained by W.P. Mullins (26% strike rate from 2,883 runners) and ridden by Paul Townend (38% career strike rate) — the single most powerful connections combination in this field by a significant margin. The form string 39P/41 shows a last-time-out win, and at 10-8 he carries the joint-lightest weight of any horse above SR:100, giving him a meaningful lbs edge over Hi Ho Idaho (SR:114, 11-1) and Magnor Glory (SR:108, 11-7). DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ are not alarming in a 3m hurdle on good ground where stamina and class tend to dominate. The MarkMv:+10 is the only caution — running off a higher mark than his last win — but Mullins/Townend at Listowel rarely fire a casual runner at 7/2.
Each-way alternative: Hi Ho Idaho.
Main danger: Hi Ho Idaho — Hi Ho Idaho (SR:114, the highest-rated runner at 4/1, Wgt:11-1) has market support (in 10%), carries a reasonable weight for his SR, and at only 5 years old has significant physical upside — a last-time-out 8th followed by a market move suggests connections believe fitness has improved.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
MarkMv:+10 means Caher Roes Den runs off a mark 10lb higher than the win that qualifies him as favourite — a significant jump for a horse whose form string (39P/41) includes a pulled-up run and a '9'…
52 days since last run is the longest absence among the market principals, and with both DistFit and GoingFit listed as '~' (unknown/unproven), Caher Roes Den's suitability to this specific 3m Good-g…
Hi Ho Idaho (SR:114, 4/1, market drifting IN 10%) is rated 5lb superior and five years younger — a 5-year-old against an 8-year-old at a long-distance grind is a meaningful physical edge that weight…
The form string 39P/41 shows only one win in five recent starts with a pull-up included; the last-time-out win came at a lower mark, and the current field contains multiple horses (Hi Ho Idaho, Magno…
ShortlistCaher Roes Den, Hi Ho Idaho, Magnor Glory, Humble Brag