Happy Birthday Mark Holton Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m7f219y
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 56 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 32 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Hope of Acklam | 11/4 open 5.50 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 4.50 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Son of A Fish | 9/4 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 3 Dakota Brave | 8/1 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 Betfred |
| 4 Lopefernza | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 William Hill |
| 5 Craven Force | 18/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 6 King of Persia | 12/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Diplomacy | 18/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Right Up My Ali | 33/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 Paddy Power |
| 9 Astral Calling | 3/1 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 3/1 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 10/3 Paddy Power |
| 10 Wells Fargo Stage | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Son of A Fish owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 56 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 32 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Hope of Acklam (SR:69, 3/1) is the top-rated horse in this field by a clear margin and has steamed in 20% in the market — the most significant positive move of any runner. Dropping two class tiers makes this a much easier assignment than recent starts, and Billy Garritty (12% SR) is a competent booking. The concern is GoingFit:? and DistFit:? (trip is 7f219y, a stiff test for a two-year-old), but the class drop and SR advantage outweigh those unknowns. The form figure of '3' last time out at Class 5 or higher, combined with a course place (W0P1 at Redcar), suggests the horse handles this track and is coming into form at the right time. Each-way alternative: Astral Calling. Main danger: Astral Calling — Astral Calling (SR:61, 3/1) is trained by K.R. Burke whose 20% career strike rate is the best in the field, and the horse's last run produced a '2' — its best recent finish — suggesting it is coming to a peak, though DistFit:- is a genuine concern at this extended trip.