Heineken Handicap Stakes · 1m0f0y
SR 84 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Two Tempting | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Gun Carriage | 50/1 open 13.00 | 35/1 open 15.00 | 50/1 open 15.00 | 50/1 open 15.00 | 50/1 open 17.00 | 50/1 open 21.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Tribal Chief | 10/3 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 7/2 Paddy Power |
| 4 Oliver Show | 9/1 open 4.50 | 17/2 open 5.00 | 6/1 open 5.00 | 6/1 open 5.00 | 17/2 open 4.50 | 9/1 open 6.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Storm Star | 2/1 open 4.50 | 2/1 open 4.33 | 9/4 open 4.33 | 9/4 open 4.33 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 9/4 Coral |
| 6 Racingbreaks Ryder | 18/1 open 9.50 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Darkness | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 6/1 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Jimmy Speaking | 7/2 open 9.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 11.00 | 7/2 open 11.00 | 7/2 open 11.00 | 7/2 | 7/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Storm Star owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Storm Star (SR:98, 5/2) holds the strongest Saturday Rating in the field and is running off a mark 4lb below his last win — a meaningful edge in a Class 2 handicap. The 19% market shortening is the standout move in this field and represents informed money rather than public drift. Trainer Andrew Balding (18% strike rate, 2,992 runners — a yard of serious scale) pairs with Oisin Murphy (22% career strike rate) giving the horse elite connections. GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good ground, and at 5/2 there is still genuine value relative to the 32% win probability I assign. Each-way alternative: Jimmy Speaking. Main danger: Jimmy Speaking — Jimmy Speaking (SR:96, 7/2) has steamed in 49% since opening — the most dramatic move in the field — carries only 8-9 (a 6lb weight advantage over Storm Star) and steps up a class with strong market confidence behind it, suggesting connections believe the form figure improvement is real and imminent.