Winless in his last five starts, with a pull-up and a brought-down among recent efforts, Yoradreamer is hard to fancy at 143 lb, and a ranking of 21 from 18 underlines his outsider status; third last time out and experience over today's trip and going offer slim consolation.
Form last 6B-2P03
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
98SR127RPR126OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked bottom of our figures, A Penny A Hundred is hard to fancy carrying 145 lb off a 54-day break, though she has run over today's distance and going before, and her most recent run did yield a second.
Form last 6470-72
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
106SR133RPR128OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 106 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to score in his last five starts and returning after 146 days off, Meet And Greet faces some questions, though second two starts back offers encouragement and he has run over today's trip and going before; the burden of 146 lb is a further test.
Form last 675824-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
106SR145RPR129OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 106 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
French Dynamite arrives with experience over today's trip and going, and his second two starts back — followed by a win three starts back — underlines his quality, with our rating of 152 marking him as the one to beat here off 149 despite a modest fourth last time out.
Form last 6/312-4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
116SR152RPR149OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 116 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Funiculi Funicula showed useful form when winning back-to-back two and three starts back, but he was unplaced last time out and returns after 56 days off, with a hefty 166 lb to carry testing his stamina on going he has experienced before.
Form last 63211-0
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
134SR146RPR149OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 134 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
King Alexander won last time out but has been off the track for 56 days, and his rating of 143 ranks him tenth of eighteen here; he has run over today's trip and going before, yet that recent layoff and a sixth two starts back temper enthusiasm.
Form last 63146-1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
133SR143RPR148OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Won two starts back and was second three starts back, giving Will The Wise a strong recent profile over today's trip and going; the chief concern is a trainer in the depths of a 0/35 run over the last 14 days.
Form last 64021-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
120SR147RPR148OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 120 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked second of 18 in the field and rated 150, Jesse Evans brings strong recent form — a winner two starts back and third three starts back — with going experience to call on; the main concern is a trainer deep in a losing run of 24.
Form last 625-310
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
110SR150RPR145OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 110 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ol Man Dingle landed a win two starts back and shaped with some promise when third three starts back, but a return to form after 56 days off and 162 lb to carry are the key questions facing this gelding, who has run over today's trip and going.
Form last 607-317
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
118SR145RPR145OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 118 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Third three starts back and a winner four starts back, Downmexicoway returns after 56 days off carrying 161 lb, and while he has going experience to draw on, his two most recent efforts — fourth and fifth — give reason for caution at a rating of 144.
Form last 62134-5
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
134SR144RPR144OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 134 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Nowwhatdoyouthink showed a win three starts back and placed a third two starts back, giving him a solid recent profile, though he has drifted to fourth last time out after a 56-day absence; experience over today's trip and going helps, but the hefty 161 lb is a clear burden.
Form last 61213-4
★AI Rating★★★★☆
141SR146RPR144OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 141 backed by market confidence at 7/2 — a genuine contender.
Ran second two starts back and has experience of today's trip and going, giving Perceval Legallois solid claims at a rating of 148 — though the trainer's current run of 0/35 in the last 14 days is a significant concern.
Form last 6UP-82P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
103SR148RPR143OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 103 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Winless in his last five starts despite a hat-trick of runner-up finishes, Conyers Hill ranks a lowly 15th of 18 on our figures and carries a hefty 156 lb, making him hard to fancy; he does have experience over today's trip and going, and that consistent placed form offers a sliver of encouragement.
Form last 6F52-22
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
125SR138RPR139OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 125 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Spread Boss Ted arrives after 56 days off the track, and while he showed his best when winning three starts back, a third two starts back and an unplaced effort last time suggest inconsistency; the 156 lb burden is a further ask at an official mark of 139.
Form last 6F413-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
111SR142RPR139OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 111 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Uncle Pat won three starts back but has finished second and seventh since, and ranked 17 of 18 on our figures he faces a stiff ask under 155 lb, though he has distance and going experience to call on.
Form last 6221-72
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
109SR133RPR138OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 109 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ballygunner Castle caught the eye with a second three starts back, but he arrives winless in his last five starts and unplaced on his most recent outing 56 days ago; experience over today's trip and going helps, though 154 lb is a stiff ask.
Form last 62F24-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
112SR140RPR137OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 112 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
A 193-day absence makes him hard to trust cold, and ranked 16 of 18 on our figures he faces a stiff task on ratings; that said, he has experience over today's trip and going, and a win in his last four starts at least confirms he retains the ability to score.
Form last 64/431-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
109SR138RPR137OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 109 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to score in his last five starts and absent for 145 days, You Oughta Know has pulled up twice in that spell, though two runner-up finishes offer some encouragement; he has experience over today's trip and conditions, but the weight of 154 lb makes life hard.
Form last 620P2P-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
96SR140RPR137OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Kings Hill shaped with some credit in his last three starts, including a win last time out, but our rating of 133 against a field of 18 makes him a tough sell at the weights, carrying 152 lb after 54 days off.
Form last 6513-21
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
125SR133RPR135OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
A lengthy absence of 125 days and a jumping record scarred by two falls in her last four starts make Look To The West very hard to fancy, and our rating of 128 leaves her well below the top of the market; the heavy weight of 152 lb only compounds matters, despite going experience in her favour.
Form last 61/FF-1
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
97SR129RPR135OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Weveallbeencaught is yet to win in his last five starts, pulling up most recently and returning from a 170-day absence, though a second four starts back and experience over today's trip and going offer some encouragement against a heavy weight of 150 lb.
Form last 64207P-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
108SR138RPR133OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 108 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Nowwhatdoyouthink owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (78) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Gordon ElliottJack Kennedy
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Downmexicoway
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Henry de Bromhead✓ Value Signal
French Dynamite
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
22/1 · E McNamara◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Nowwhatdoyouthink leads the field on SR at 141, a clear 7-point advantage over the next best (Downmexicoway and Funiculi Funicula at 134), and carries 11-7 — a full 5lb less than the two top-weighted runners (French Dynamite, Funiculi Funicula at 11-12). The market has already signalled confidence: a 29% inward move to 7/2 under Jack Kennedy (23% career strike rate, 1202 rides) from the Gordon Elliott yard (18%, 3996 runners) is meaningful money in a competitive Grade 3. The tongue-tie is retained from previous runs. The DistFit and GoingFit are marked '?' indicating limited sample, which is a genuine caveat, but the class and weight combination here is hard to ignore against this field, and the form string 1213-4 shows consistent competitive effort at a high level.
Each-way alternative: Downmexicoway.
Main danger: Downmexicoway — Downmexicoway matches Nowwhatdoyouthink on SR at 134 (gap is real but not enormous), carries 11-7 joint-lightest alongside the selection, has steamed in 28% to 4/1 under Darragh O'Keeffe for Henry de Bromhead, and a form string of 2134-5 shows consistent placing — the market move is the single most aggressive in the field and cannot be dismissed.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Last run was a 4th (form string ends -4), suggesting a step backward from the 1213 sequence — may not have fully bounced back in 56 days.
Both DistFit and GoingFit are '?' — this horse has no confirmed positive sample at today's trip and going combination at Listowel, a real unknown on a unique track.
Downmexicoway has drifted only slightly to 4/1 despite a 28% inward market move and matches on weight; its market move (+10 MarkMv) is stronger than Nowwhatdoyouthink's (+8), suggesting rival confide…
Mullins runs 6 horses in this race including King Alexander (13/2, SR 133, recent winner form 3146-1) — stable volume at 26% trainer strike rate creates meaningful each-way threats that could split t…
ShortlistNowwhatdoyouthink, Downmexicoway, King Alexander, Kings Hill