Redcar 16:41 RESULTED
Class 5 23 Sep 2026

Wednesday 23 September Racingtv/freetrial Handicap Stakes

Racingtv/freetrial Handicap Stakes · 0m5f0y

Official Result

Racingtv/freetrial Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sergeant Mayer (IRE) Alex Jary · Nigel Tinkler
    100/30
  2. 15/8F
  3. 17/2
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ventura Express silks
Ventura Express
Age 9 · 9-11
544645
70
74
77
9
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
9/4 9/4 7/4
Ventura Express arrives here having been winless in his last six starts, but he shapes as the one to beat on our ratings, carrying 137 lb from stall one over a trip and going he has experience of, and the 41-day break may have him freshened for a bold bid.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Emperor's Son silks
Emperor's Son
Age 5 · 9-10
941098
69
78
70
5
9-10
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 9/2 5/2
Emperor's Son won four starts back and has experience of today's distance and going, so conditions hold no fears; carrying 136 lb off a six-day turnaround is the concern, with three below-par efforts since that victory making a swift return to form the key question.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Tees Aggregates silks
Tees Aggregates
Age 4 · 9-8
317000
67
70
69
4
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 17/2 11/2
Tees Aggregates has been unplaced in three straight starts and ranks fifth of six on our figures, making him difficult to fancy; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a win in his last six starts shows he can find the line, but there is plenty to prove here.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Bravo Hotel silks
Bravo Hotel
Age 3 · 9-8
533-50
68
55
74
3
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 12/1 16/1
Bravo Hotel posted back-to-back thirds three and four runs back and our rating of 74 marks him out as a genuine threat to the top-rated runner here, with experience over today's trip and conditions an added plus; the concern is that unplaced effort latest and 61 days off the track.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

5
Guernsey Lady silks
Guernsey Lady
Age 3 · 9-6
47-326
66
65
73
3
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 4/1 17/2
SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Sergeant Mayer silks
Sergeant Mayer
Age 5 · 9-4
069611
63
76
65
5
9-4
★★★★☆
—
2/1 11/10 31/19
Ranked bottom of six on our figures and carrying 130 lb, Sergeant Mayer faces a stiff ask, though back-to-back wins in his last two starts give him genuine momentum and he has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ventura Express 9/4 9/4 7/4 open 3.25 7/4 open 3.25 85/40 open 3.25 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 Bet365
2 Emperor's Son 10/3 open 13.00 7/2 open 9.00 5/2 open 11.00 5/2 open 11.00 10/3 open 11.00 10/3 open 5.50 7/2 Paddy Power
3 Tees Aggregates 7/1 open 15.00 13/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 13.00 11/2 open 13.00 6/1 open 13.00 6/1 open 9.50 7/1 Bet365
4 Bravo Hotel 25/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 15.00 25/1 Bet365
5 Guernsey Lady 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 5.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.00 12/1 open 5.50 12/1 Bet365
6 Sergeant Mayer 2/1 open 2.10 15/8 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.25 13/8 open 2.25 2/1 open 2.25 2/1 open 2.63 2/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Ventura Express

Speculative

Ventura Express owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Paul Midgley David Nolan
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Sergeant Mayer

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Nigel Tinkler
✓ Value Signal

Bravo Hotel

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Michael & David Easterby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Ventura Express
53.8 9/4
2 6. Sergeant Mayer
53.7 2/1
3 2. Emperor's Son
51.7 10/3
4 3. Tees Aggregates
49.8 7/1
5 5. Guernsey Lady
45.3 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Emperor's Son
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 5 · 9-4
2/1
★★★★☆ SR 76 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 9 · 9-11
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 9-10
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 9-8
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-6
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Emperor's Son
Confidence: Speculative

Emperor's Son (SR:78, 7/2) carries the highest Saturday Rating in the field and has been dramatically backed from a much larger price — a 56% market move in is the strongest market signal by a significant margin in this six-runner field, suggesting informed money with knowledge of yard intentions from the small Coward operation (34 runners, so selective and deliberate). At 9-10 he is lightly weighted relative to rivals and his age (5) puts him at the prime end of a sprint handicap. The DistFit:- is the one concern at 5f, but the GoingFit:~ is workable on good-to-firm and his recent form of 941098 shows a mixture with a '9' and '1' present — the last-run '8' is a finish position not a catastrophe, and the market move today suggests connections expect a return to form. Each-way alternative: Tees Aggregates. Main danger: Tees Aggregates — Tees Aggregates (SR:70, 11/2) has also been heavily backed — a 52% market move in — and holds a GoingFit:+ on today's good-to-firm conditions, giving it the best going advantage in the field, and the hood (HG:h) first-time application can sharpen a horse that has previously underperformed.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:- at 5f is a concrete negative — Emperor's Son has no confirmed optimal distance at this trip, while market rival Sergeant Mayer is on a 3-race winning streak with a MarkMv of +4 suggesting a…
  • Sergeant Mayer's form reads 069611 — two wins in last two starts, 15 days fresh, course winner (W1P1), and trading at 2/1 as race favourite; Emperor's Son's 56% move only brings him to 7/2, still lon…
  • Emperor's Son's recent form sequence 941098 includes finishes of 9th, 0 (non-completion or last), and 8th in the last three runs — the '1' is buried at fifth-most recent; the market move may be recov…
  • Coward yard strike rate of 9% from just 34 runners is a very thin sample; Nigel Tinkler (Sergeant Mayer's trainer) hits 11% from 1289 runners — a far more reliable production line for a race like thi…
Shortlist Emperor's Son, Tees Aggregates, Sergeant Mayer
Each-way: Tees Aggregates Danger: Tees Aggregates

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m5f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Redcar Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade