Kempton (AW) 20:00 RESULTED
Class 4 23 Sep 2026

Wednesday 23 September Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)

Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f219y

Official Result

Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Classical Allusion (GB) Callum Hutchinson · Andrew Balding
    3/1
  2. Second Wardlaw (USA)
    15/8F
  3. Third Joseph (GB)
    100/30
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Kempton (AW)

16:20–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Thinthread silks
Thinthread
Age 4 · 10-4
13-507
82
61
87
4
10-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
11/1 10/1 15/2
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
AI verdict

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

2
Classical Allusion silks
Classical Allusion
Age 4 · 10-1
-25066
79
85
94
4
10-1
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 FCST 10/3
Winless in his last five starts, Classical Allusion nonetheless shaped with more promise when second five starts back, and his experience over today's trip and going, combined with a rating of 94 that eclipses his rivals, makes him the one to side with from stall 5.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Aphrodite Spirit silks
Aphrodite Spirit
Age 4 · 9-13
21-332
77
84
80
4
9-13
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 4/1 11/2
Placed third two starts back and a winner four starts back, Aphrodite Spirit brings solid recent form to the table, though a runner-up finish last time out and our rating of 80 suggests she faces a stiff ask from 139 lb out of stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Qitaal silks
Qitaal
Age 7 · 9-12
346517
76
53
82
7
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 12/1 22/1
Qitaal ran out a winner one start back and returns here in sharp order just 11 days later, with experience over today's trip and a solid rating of 82 to underpin his claims; the main concern is that seventh last time out, which he must improve on.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Joseph silks
Joseph
Age 4 · 9-12
104431
76
76
80
4
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 11/4 9/2
Won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but that third one start back and back-to-back fourths before it suggest inconsistency; 138 lb from stall six is no gimme, though a rating of 80 offers a sliver of encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Narragansett silks
Narragansett
Age 5 · 9-7
817/0-
71
52
76
5
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
80/1 20/1 66/1
Narragansett returns from a lengthy 347-day absence ranked bottom of the field on our figures, and in his last four starts has mixed a win three starts back with three unplaced efforts; has run over today's trip, though fitness after nearly a year off is the obvious concern.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
What's The Plan silks
What's The Plan
Age 3 · 9-7
434225
77
88
83
3
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 4/1 7/2
Consistent place-getter What's The Plan has finished second twice in recent starts and arrives here fresh on 18 days' rest, with experience of today's trip and going; he carries 133 lb from stall one, and the main risk is that he remains winless in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Wardlaw silks
Wardlaw
Age 3 · 9-6
522312
76
88
77
3
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 3/2 3/1
Ranked eighth of nine on our figures, Wardlaw looks up against it here despite a win one start back and a runner-up finish last time out; he has experience of today's trip and conditions, but the overall profile makes him hard to fancy at the weights.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Golden Circet silks
Golden Circet
Age 6 · 9-3
544568
67
50
78
6
9-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1 40/1 18/1
Winless in his last six starts, with finishes no better than fourth in that sequence, Golden Circet is hard to fancy on these figures despite having run over today's trip and going before; rated 7th of 9 in this field, he faces a stiff task under 129 lb.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Thinthread 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 11.00 15/2 open 13.00 15/2 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 Paddy Power
2 Classical Allusion 7/2 open 8.50 7/2 open 9.00 7/2 open 8.50 7/2 open 8.50 7/2 open 8.50 10/3 7/2 Bet365
3 Aphrodite Spirit 11/2 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 Bet365
4 Qitaal 25/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 21.00 28/1 Coral
5 Joseph 5/1 open 3.75 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.00 9/2 open 6.00 5/1 Bet365
6 Narragansett 80/1 open 21.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 23.00 66/1 open 23.00 66/1 open 23.00 80/1 open 29.00 80/1 Bet365
7 What's The Plan 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 Bet365
8 Wardlaw 3/1 open 3.00 3/1 open 3.00 3/1 open 3.00 3/1 open 3.00 3/1 open 3.00 3/1 open 2.50 3/1 Bet365
9 Golden Circet 22/1 open 41.00 20/1 open 51.00 18/1 open 41.00 18/1 open 41.00 20/1 open 41.00 18/1 open 51.00 22/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Classical Allusion

Speculative

Classical Allusion owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Andrew Balding Callum Hutchinson
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

What's The Plan

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · James Fanshawe
✓ Value Signal

Qitaal

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Charlie Johnston
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Classical Allusion
56.7 7/2
2 7. What's The Plan
55.6 4/1
3 3. Aphrodite Spirit
54.0 11/2
4 8. Wardlaw
53.5 3/1
5 5. Joseph
47.4 5/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Classical Allusion
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 3 · 9-6
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 10-1
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-7
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 9-12
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-13
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-4
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾 —

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Classical Allusion
Confidence: Speculative

Classical Allusion (SR:85, 3/1) has steamed in 49% from its opening price — the most dramatic market move in the race by some distance — and drops two class tiers, giving connections every reason to expect a quick strike. Andrew Balding's 18% strike rate is the strongest trainer figure in the field, and at 10-1 the weight burden is manageable against rivals carrying similar loads. The DistFit:- flag is a concern at this trip, but class drop plus market confidence is a compelling combination, and the recent form showing a '6' last time out suggests the horse is primed for a bounce at a lower level. What's The Plan (SR:88, 4/1) edges Classical Allusion on raw SR and is proven at the distance, making it the primary danger. Each-way alternative: What's The Plan. Main danger: What's The Plan — What's The Plan carries the joint-highest SR in the field (88), is proven at this distance (DistFit:+), has tightened 17% in the market, and James Fanshawe's 18% trainer strike rate matches Balding's — making it a genuine threat to overturn Classical Allusion's class-drop advantage.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:- flag confirms Classical Allusion is unproven at this specific Kempton trip, a meaningful doubt on an AW track where pace and distance suitability are critical.
  • Form reads -25066: five consecutive runs without a win, including a 6th last time. A 'bounce' narrative requires the horse to have shown something — this sequence suggests a horse in a trough, not on…
  • Jockey Callum Hutchinson posts only a 12% strike rate, notably below trainer Balding's 18%, suggesting Balding's stronger performers are routinely paired with other riders — not this one.
  • Wardlaw (SR:88, 5/2) and What's The Plan (SR:88, 4/1) both outrate Classical Allusion on SR and carry lighter weights (9-6 and 9-7 vs 10-1), neutralising much of the class-drop advantage.
Shortlist Classical Allusion, What's The Plan, Aphrodite Spirit, Wardlaw
Each-way: What's The Plan Danger: What's The Plan

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m2f219y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade