Virgin Bet Foundation Stakes (Listed Race) · 1m1f197y
SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Quisana | 100/1 | — | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | — | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 1 Boiling Point | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 7/2 William Hill |
| 2 Lion's Pride | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Naqeeb | 4/1 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.00 | 3/1 open 3.25 | 3/1 open 3.25 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Respond | 7/4 open 5.50 | 7/4 open 3.25 | 11/8 open 5.00 | 11/8 open 5.00 | 7/4 open 5.00 | 13/8 open 3.50 | 7/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Treble Tee | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Boiling Point owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (64) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Respond (SR:116, 11/4, Wgt:9-4) shares the top SR in the field but carries 3lb less than Boiling Point, giving it a meaningful weight advantage at equal ability. The 17% market shortening is the most decisive signal in a small five-runner field — money has moved decisively in its favour at a Listed level where connections and market intelligence align. Andrew Balding (18% strike rate, 2,992 runners) booking Oisin Murphy (22%, 2,711 runners) is the strongest jockey-trainer combination on the card, and both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm the horse is suited by today's conditions. The MarkMv:+9 is a concern — running off a mark 9lb higher than at last win — but at Listed level the mark context matters less than raw ability and connections confidence, and the market has already absorbed that information and kept shortening. Each-way alternative: Boiling Point. Main danger: Boiling Point — Boiling Point (SR:116, 3/1) matches Respond on SR, has a strong course record (W1P2 at Goodwood), proven GoingFit:+ and DistFit:+, and a MarkMv:-2 meaning it runs off a mark slightly below its last win — the drift of 12% is the main concern, but K.R. Burke's 20% yard strike rate and the course familiarity make it the most credible threat.