Ranked 17 of 18 on our figures, Sidiriya is winless in her last five starts and took a fall last time out 44 days ago, making her hard to fancy here despite having run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 66-325F
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR85RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 13 of 18 on our figures, Room For One More faces a stiff ask under 159 lb, though a second one start back shows she can hit the frame and she has experience of today's going.
Form last 66-9027
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR90RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Twice placed in her last five starts yet to score, Aboras Mahler brings distance and going experience to this test, though 124 days off the track and a hefty 166 lb burden are significant questions she must answer here.
Form last 600P-22
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR102RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed on each of his last three starts, including a second last time out and a third two starts back, Blue Reed arrives on a sharp 20-day turnaround with distance and going experience in his favour, though 166 lb is a stiff ask for a gelding rated 98 officially.
Form last 6127232
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
88SR104RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked top of the field on our rating, Champagne Dawn has run over today's trip and going, yet a grim recent sequence — seventh last time and winless in his last five starts — makes his 166 lb burden the key hurdle to overcome.
Form last 6900P-7
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
61SR110RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Pulled up last time out is a concern, and 160 days off the track adds an obvious fitness query, though a win the start before shows he retains ability over today's trip at 165 lb.
Form last 60651P-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
74SR97RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Warm In Gorey shaped well for a podium finish two starts back and three starts back, and has experience of today's trip and going to call upon; rated 106 and carrying 164 lb, the main risk is whether he can convert that consistency into a win after going winless in his last five starts.
Form last 6P-3366
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
77SR106RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Winless in his last five starts and pulling up two runs back raises questions about consistency, but a second last time out suggests a return to form; he has run over today's trip and going, and at 163 lb faces a stiff weight task.
Form last 600P9-2
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR96RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 2/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and returning from a 50-day absence with a pulled-up effort one run back casting doubt over his wellbeing, Installment does at least have going experience to call on and our rating of 104 suggests more ability than his official mark of 95 implies.
Form last 667-4P0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
58SR104RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Kazbek has run over today's distance and going before, and our rating of 106 suggests he holds strong claims on his best form, but three pulls-up in his last five starts — most recently 73 days ago — make him a significant risk to complete.
Form last 63P4P-P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR106RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in his last four starts and ranked eighth of 18 in the field, Masego at least has experience of today's trip and going to call on, though a taxing 161 lb burden makes improvement hard to envisage.
Form last 6754-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
76SR97RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Chemdawg won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving her a solid recent profile, though carrying 160 lb is a stern test and her ranking of eleventh in an eighteen-runner field suggests she faces a stiff ask here.
Form last 621-251
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR92RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Deep Warrior is unexposed and open to improvement, but faces questions after a run of unplaced efforts in recent starts, and returns here after a 156-day absence carrying 160 lb with his trainer in a lean spell.
Form last 6807-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
64SR—RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Pixie Hill has shown little in her last four starts, pulling up earliest in that sequence and finishing no better than sixth since, but she is lightly raced and unexposed enough to leave the door open for better, returning here after 75 days off carrying 156 lb.
Form last 6P-096
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
56SR—RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Springboard returns after a 125-day break carrying 155 lb and ranked 14 of 18 on our figures, making him very difficult to fancy; he has run over today's going before, and that win one start back offers some encouragement, but a ninth last time out hardly inspires confidence.
Form last 67/41-9
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
67SR90RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Unexposed and yet to score, Clonbury Court returns after 171 days off and his limited recent form leaves plenty of questions, but a lightly raced gelding carrying 151 lb can still hold improvement in reserve.
Form last 60P00-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR—RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Crypto Crash has won in his last five starts but the fell and pulled-up efforts either side of that make the form deeply unreliable, and ranked 16 of 18 on our figures he faces a stiff task under 151 lb, despite having experience of today's trip and going.
Form last 6P-69F1
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR88RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 15 of 18 on our figures, Lunar Landscape faces a stiff ask here, though he has run over today's distance and going before and a second last time out offers a crumb of encouragement off 149 lb.
Form last 60-6042
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR89RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Granlahan has been consistently placed in recent starts, finishing second twice and third once in his last six, yet he remains yet to win in that sequence and his trainer has had a torrid spell of 0 from 37 over the past fortnight, which is hard to ignore at a weight of 146 lb.
Form last 6U36242
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR92RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in recent starts and pulled up in four of his last five, Mr Erwitt arrives after a 56-day break carrying 140 lb, but he remains unexposed enough to leave the door open for improvement if connections have found answers.
Form last 69PP-PP
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR—RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Glin Road Boy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1C ByrnesPhilip Byrnes
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Aboras Mahler
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/1 · E McNamara✓ Value Signal
Clonbury Court
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · J P Dempsey◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Granlahan (SR:85, 15/2) is one of three horses at the top of the ability range but carries just 10-6 — a meaningful weight advantage over joint-highest SR runners Glin Road Boy (11-9) and Blue Reed (11-12). The DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at this 2m2f trip, GoingFit:~ shows competence on good ground, and the form string U36242 shows consistent recent involvement with a last-time-out second. Jockey Darragh O'Keeffe's 13% strike rate from 1,878 rides is the best booking in the race, and trainer Adrian McGuinness at 9% from 1,502 runners is a solid yard. The three-star AI probability rating is the highest in the field, and with 21 runners the weight advantage at a competitive SR is the decisive edge.
Each-way alternative: Glin Road Boy.
Main danger: Glin Road Boy — Glin Road Boy (SR:85, 2/1) is the market leader with matching ability, carries a lighter weight than Blue Reed, and trainer/jockey combination C Byrnes/Philip Byrnes both hit 11% — the horse's last run was a second, suggesting a return to form after a break.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Granlahan is a 4-year-old taking on older, more experienced handicappers over 2m2f in a 21-runner cavalry charge at Listowel — youth and inexperience in a big field at a festival meeting is a tangibl…
The form string U36242 shows no win in six starts; the last-time-out second came from a field likely less competitive than this, and the horse has not yet converted placed efforts into victories.
Market at 15/2 is not particularly strong for a horse the data rates as top of the ability range — Glin Road Boy (SR:85) is a clear 2/1 favourite, suggesting bookmakers and punters strongly favour th…
Chemdawg (SR:85, 10-6 same weight, won last time out 21-251) matches Granlahan's SR and weight but arrives on a winning note 20 days ago — fresher winning momentum against Granlahan's placed-but-not-…
ShortlistGranlahan, Glin Road Boy, Chemdawg, Blue Reed