Goodwood 14:05 RESULTED
Class 3 23 Sep 2026

Wednesday 23 September Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Classified Stakes

Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Classified Stakes · 1m1f197y

Official Result

Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Classified Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Plaid (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe
    6/5J
  2. Second Runman (GB)
    6/5J
  3. 13/2
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Goodwood

13:30–17:00 · 7 races

Redcar

13:47–17:17 · 7 races

Listowel

13:55–17:22 · 7 races

Perth

14:47–17:07 · 5 races

Kempton (AW)

16:20–20:30 · 9 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Green Cape silks
Green Cape
Age 4 · 9-7
4-9408
93
78
93OR
4
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 9/1 14/1
Green Cape is yet to win in recent starts but remains unexposed, and a fourth three starts back hints at ability worth monitoring as he returns after 74 days off carrying 133 lb.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Nesthorn silks
Nesthorn
Age 4 · 9-7
777405
92
88
94
4
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 10/3 13/2
Nesthorn has been winless in his last six starts but rates as the one to beat here, our figures giving him a narrow edge over these rivals; he has run over today's trip and returns on a quick 17-day turnaround fit and ready, with 133 lb to carry the main query.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Plaid silks
Plaid
Age 3 · 9-2
-21534
92
102
89
3
9-2
★★★★☆
—
5/4 3/2 11/10
Plaid showed she can win at this level with a victory four starts back, and a third two starts back underlines her place-finding consistency; she has experience over today's trip and going, and 128 lb is the chief concern.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Runman silks
Runman
Age 3 · 9-2
-14018
93
101
88
3
9-2
★★★★☆
—
5/4 FCST 6/5
Runman won two starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions, with only 13 days between runs suggesting he arrives in good order; the main risk is that his last start — an eighth — leaves a question mark over his return to form.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Green Cape 16/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 Bet365
2 Nesthorn 7/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 4.33 7/1 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 7/1 Bet365
3 Plaid 5/4 open 2.63 11/10 open 2.63 6/5 open 2.50 6/5 open 2.50 5/4 open 2.50 6/5 open 2.63 5/4 Bet365
4 Runman 5/4 6/5 5/4 5/4 5/4 11/8 open 2.20 11/8 Betfred

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Plaid

Live signal

Plaid owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (57) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/4 James Fanshawe Daniel Muscutt
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Runman

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/4 · John & Thady Gosden
✓ Value Signal

Green Cape

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

16/1 · Simon & Ed Crisford
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Plaid
60.8 5/4
2 4. Runman
58.2 5/4
3 2. Nesthorn
54.6 7/1
4 1. Green Cape
44.5 16/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Plaid
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-2
5/4
★★★★☆ SR 102 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 3 · 9-2
5/4
★★★★☆ SR 101 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 4 · 9-7
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 9-7
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Plaid
Confidence: Speculative

Plaid (SR 102, 6/4) holds the SR lead by a single point over Runman (SR 101) but carries 5lb less than the older horses and drops a class, making the weight-adjusted advantage meaningful. James Fanshawe (18% strike rate, 818 runners) is a solid operator and the ★★★★☆ star rating aligns with market confidence at a tight 6/4. The form string -21534 shows a horse capable of winning and placing at a decent level, with the '2' and '1' at the right end indicating genuine ability. Runman is the principal danger but his last-run '8' finish is concerning, and while his MarkMv:+3 is benign, the Gosden yard's tongue-tie addition and a recent poor run (18 in form string read right-to-left: last run 8, penultimate 1, before that 0) suggests inconsistency. Each-way alternative: Runman. Main danger: Runman — Runman (SR 101, 6/5) is the market's narrow favourite, trained by the powerhouse Gosden yard (24% strike rate) with Oisin Murphy aboard (22% strike rate), and his form includes a recent win ('1' in the form string) — if that tongue-tie produces an improvement on his last run, he reverses the verdict with Plaid.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Plaid's form string -21534 reads right-to-left as last three runs: 4, 3, 5 — a deteriorating sequence suggesting the horse is heading the wrong way into today's race.
  • MarkMv:+17 is a significant upward handicap mark movement, indicating the assessor has already penalised Plaid sharply for recent form — the weight-adjusted SR lead may be illusory once the new mark…
  • Daniel Muscutt (14% strike rate) is a meaningful step down in jockey quality from the Gosden/Murphy combination on Runman (22%), a pairing with proven big-race delivery at Goodwood.
  • At 6/4 Plaid is actually longer than Runman at 6/5, suggesting the market — which has seen both horses — marginally favours the rival despite Plaid's SR lead, a subtle but concrete confidence signal…
Shortlist Plaid, Runman
Each-way: Runman Danger: Runman

🗺 The Course Class 3

1m1f197y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Goodwood Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade