Redcar 17:17 RESULTED
Class 6 23 Sep 2026

Wednesday 23 September Aja Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (Riders Had Ridden No More Than 3 Winners At Start Of Season)

Aja Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (Riders Had Ridden No More Than 3 Winners At Start Of Season) · 0m7f0y

Official Result

Aja Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (Riders Had Ridden No More Than 3 Winners At Start Of Season)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Soul Warrior (IRE) Miss Tilly Evans · Nigel Tinkler
    15/2
  2. 6/1
  3. 14/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Goodwood

13:30–17:00 · 7 races

Redcar

13:47–17:17 · 7 races

Listowel

13:55–17:22 · 7 races

Perth

14:47–17:07 · 5 races

Kempton (AW)

16:20–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
King of War silks
King of War
Age 7 · 11-5
153084
64
60
70
7
11-5
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 6/1 9/2
King of War has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 70 ranks him second among the 12 runners, giving him solid claims as a leading danger; the main risk is that his last six starts show just one win, with a fourth last time out suggesting he must find improvement.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Judicature silks
Judicature
Age 4 · 11-3
287740
62
58
75
4
11-3
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 11/2 7/1
Judicature shaped with promise when a second six starts back, and his experience over today's trip and going works in his favour here; the top-rated runner in the field, he is winless in recent starts but shaped encouragingly enough to make him the one to beat off 157 lb from stall four.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Pedro The Poet silks
Pedro The Poet
Age 5 · 11-2
050864
61
54
66
5
11-2
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 10/1 7/2
Pedro The Poet is winless in his last six starts, yet he carries conditions that suit — fresh off a 15-day break, he has run over today's trip and he breaks from stall one, with our rating of 66 suggesting he holds more ability than his mark of 61 implies; the persistent lack of a win, however, remains the concern.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Sandret silks
Sandret
Age 10 · 11-1
1-6887
60
49
64
10
11-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
10/1 11/1 15/2
Sandret won five starts back but has posted three consecutive finishes outside the top six since, leaving his current form in question; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 26 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh, though 155 lb is a stiff burden to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

5
Irish Incentive silks
Irish Incentive
Age 3 · 11-1
-82560
63
39
58
3
11-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 14/1 12/1
Winless in her last five starts and off the track for 130 days, Irish Incentive faces a stiff ask from stall ten carrying 155 lb, and our figures rank her ninth of twelve — though she does have experience over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

6
Mr Jetman silks
Mr Jetman
Age 6 · 11-0
11599-
59
45
64
6
11-0
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 10/1 16/1
Mr Jetman won two of his last five starts, with a fifth next time after those victories, and he has experience of today's trip and going; the significant concern is a 443-day absence, which leaves his current fitness an open question.
AI verdict

SR 45 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
South Kensington silks
South Kensington
Age 5 · 10-13
921572
58
58
62
5
10-13
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 3/1 5/1
South Kensington ran second last time out — a welcome return to form after a seventh two starts back — and has run over today's trip, though she carries 153 lb from stall five and a rating of 58 leaves her in the mix rather than dominating this field.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Oselton silks
Oselton
Age 4 · 10-9
8-9200
54
54
56
4
10-9
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 17/2 9/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked tenth of twelve on our figures, Oselton is hard to fancy, though he has run over today's distance and going before and a second three starts back shows he can compete at this level.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Night Emperor silks
Night Emperor
Age 4 · 10-7
445143
52
64
63
4
10-7
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 3/1 10/3
Third last time out keeps Night Emperor in the picture, and he arrives fit on a 14-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and going; however, a win in his last six starts and a mark of 52 suggest he faces a stiff ask from 147 lb out of stall 6.
AI verdict

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Soul Warrior silks
Soul Warrior
Age 3 · 10-4
035887
52
55
62
3
10-4
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 FCST 13/2
Winless in his last six starts, Soul Warrior at least returns quickly on familiar distance and going, and our rating gives him some appeal; the weight of 144 lb from stall seven and a string of seventh and eighth-place finishes are the obvious concerns.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Ganthorpe silks
Ganthorpe
Age 3 · 9-12
177700
46
33
49
3
9-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 16/1 33/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and winless in his last five starts, Ganthorpe faces a stiff ask, though he has experience over today's trip and going and returns on a sharp nine-day turnaround carrying 138 lb from stall 11.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

12
Ryefield silks
Ryefield
Age 3 · 9-12
-88070
46
29
52
3
9-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 FCST 25/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 11 of 12 on our figures, Ryefield has looked well below par in recent outings, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a reasonable 28-day break.
AI verdict

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 King of War 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 5/1 Bet365
2 Judicature 17/2 open 9.00 8/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 Betfred
3 Pedro The Poet 9/2 open 13.00 4/1 open 11.00 4/1 open 12.00 4/1 open 12.00 4/1 open 12.00 7/2 open 12.00 9/2 Bet365
4 Sandret 10/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 15.00 15/2 open 13.00 15/2 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 12.00 10/1 Bet365
5 Irish Incentive 14/1 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 14/1 14/1 Bet365
6 Mr Jetman 22/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 Paddy Power
7 South Kensington 11/2 open 4.00 6/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 4.33 6/1 open 4.33 13/2 open 4.50 13/2 Betfred
8 Oselton 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 9.50 11/1 Coral
9 Night Emperor 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 10/3 10/3 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.33 4/1 Bet365
10 Soul Warrior 17/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 7.50 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 9.00 8/1 8/1 open 8.50 17/2 Bet365
11 Ganthorpe 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 17.00 50/1 open 19.00 50/1 Betfred
12 Ryefield 40/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 25/1 25/1 50/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 50/1 William Hill

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Night Emperor

Speculative

Night Emperor owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Tina Jackson Mrs Tracy Gundry(3)
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Pedro The Poet

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Nicky Richards
✓ Value Signal

Ganthorpe

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Michael & David Easterby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Night Emperor
49.1 4/1
2 3. Pedro The Poet
45.4 9/2
3 2. Judicature
45.2 17/2
4 10. Soul Warrior
44.9 17/2
5 7. South Kensington
44.8 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Night Emperor
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 4 · 10-7
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 11-2
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾 —

SR 54 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 7 · 11-5
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 10-13
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾 —

SR 58 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 11-3
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾 —

SR 58 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 10-4
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾 —

SR 55 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 10 · 11-1
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾 —

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

8
Age 4 · 10-9
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾 —

SR 54 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 11-1
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 39 🐾 —

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Night Emperor
Confidence: Speculative

Night Emperor (SR:64, 7/2) is the clear SR leader in this field and holds Course:W1P2 at Redcar — a meaningful edge on a track where familiarity matters. Carrying 10-7 gives it a useful weight advantage over King of War (11-5) and Judicature (11-3), and its recent form 445143 shows consistent competitiveness with a win last time out (rightmost digit 3, penultimate 4, but the '1' third from right confirms a recent success). GoingFit:~ is acceptable on Good to Firm. The slight 9% market drift is the one caution, but the course record and SR superiority over rivals compensate, and Mrs Tracy Gundry (3 winners at start of season) is a manageable amateur booking. Each-way alternative: Pedro The Poet. Main danger: Pedro The Poet — Pedro The Poet (SR:54, 8/1) has steamed in 26% in the market — the strongest move in the field — and its DistFit:? and GoingFit:? mean there is no proven negative at today's trip or ground, leaving the door open for a positive surprise at a generous price.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Mrs Tracy Gundry has only 3 career rides recorded and no win strike-rate shown — in an amateur handicap this level of inexperience on the favourite is a tangible risk, especially if the race develops…
  • Night Emperor has drifted 9% in the market despite being the SR leader and morning favourite — money has moved away even with course form, suggesting professional layers have found a reason to oppose.
  • South Kensington (5/1, SR:58, form 921572) is fresh off a 13-day turnaround, is significantly well-in at 10-13 and has attracted no negative market moves — it represents a live threat at a better pri…
  • Night Emperor's form reading 445143 shows the recent win was followed by a '4' (fourth) last time, not a win — the 'last time out' was actually a fourth-place finish, so the primary analyst's claim o…
Shortlist Night Emperor, Pedro The Poet, King of War, Sandret
Each-way: Pedro The Poet Danger: Pedro The Poet

🗺 The Course Class 6

0m7f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Redcar Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade