Unraced and completely unexposed, Frau Blucher makes her debut carrying 165 lb, with everything still to learn but every opportunity to show what she is capable of on this opening appearance.
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
60SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Unexposed and open to improvement, Lockeen Rose returns from 239 days off after slipping up on her sole recent start, leaving her form an open book; yet to score, she carries 165 lb and rates as one to watch as she builds experience.
Form last 6S-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
52SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Moot Hall makes her debut here carrying 165 lb, entirely unexposed and with everything still to prove, but that very inexperience leaves her open to significant improvement as she steps into the unknown.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unexposed and open to improvement, Myluckymaker showed her best recent form with a second last time out, and returning after 124 days off carrying 165 lb, she remains a mare yet to win but with clear potential to progress.
Form last 6862-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
84SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last four starts, all of which have returned a sixth or worse, Pamelaisbrass makes little appeal at the weights carrying 165 lb, and a speed rating of zero offers nothing to cling to despite her experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 66-066
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR73RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Super Freak has experience of today's trip and conditions, and her rating of 76 ranks her third among 12 rivals, making her a genuine threat despite a winless run in her last two starts; the main risk is that 165 lb is a hefty burden to overcome.
Form last 66-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR76RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Village Dream arrives here just 31 days since her last outing, with experience of today's trip and conditions working in her favour, and a trainer firing at 34% over the past fortnight adds strong appeal; though yet to score in recent starts, her top rating of 86 from a 12-runner field marks her as the one to beat.
Form last 65
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
89SR86RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Unexposed on debut, Winnie Mcgoogan steps into the unknown carrying 165 lb, yet with no form to read against her she remains an open proposition and could be anything.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unraced and wholly unexposed, A Chairde Go Leir steps into the unknown on debut carrying 162 lb, but with no form to weigh up she remains an open proposition with plenty of scope to improve with racing.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unraced and entirely unexposed, Anna Quaintance steps into the unknown on debut carrying 162 lb, but with no form to weigh up she could be anything and remains one to watch with an open mind.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bluebell Breeze has run over today's trip and going, and at 162 lb she faces a stern weight task — though an 82 rating ranking her second of 12 suggests she holds solid claims if that burden doesn't blunt her finishing effort, winless in her last three starts.
Form last 6407
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR82RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last three starts — a disqualification, a pull-up, and a fall — The Two Mary's brings a troubled recent profile, and with her trainer yet to land one from 24 in the past fortnight, that stable form compounds the concern; the experience over today's trip and going at least gives her fair grounding.
Form last 6FP-D
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR75RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Village Dream owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1W P MullinsMr P W Mullins
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Myluckymaker
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/2 · John C McConnell✓ Value Signal
Frau Blucher
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · M O Quigley◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Village Dream (SR:89, 9/4) is the top-rated runner in the field by a clear margin and carries the Mullins yard's strongest signals: Willie Mullins trains at a 21% strike rate from 1,276 runners, and Patrick Mullins rides at 29% from 179 — the most formidable connections combination in this field by a distance. The tongue-tie (HG:t) suggests connections are optimising for today. Myluckymaker (SR:84) is the nearest SR rival but is trained by McConnell at just 3% from 345 runners — a yard that rarely fires in these situations — and the form string 862- shows a decline in recent runs. Village Dream's single prior run showing a fifth is the least informative form line, but the Mullins machine at a track like Tramore in a mares' bumper at odds of 9/4 is the clearest signal in the race, and the SR advantage backs it up.
Each-way alternative: Myluckymaker.
Main danger: Super Freak — Super Freak (SR:76, 11/2) has shortened 20% in the market, is trained by Thomas Cooper at 12% and ridden by Hugh Swan at 15% — both above-average connections for this level — and at 11/2 represents live each-way or place danger if Village Dream's single run leaves fitness questions unanswered.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Village Dream's entire form reads '5' — a single fifth-place finish. That is the thinnest form profile in the field; we have almost no evidence of how this mare handles a track as tight and turning a…
The tongue-tie applied for today (HG:t) indicates connections identified a problem in that sole run — it is an intervention flag, not a confidence flag, suggesting the horse did not travel or settle…
Myluckymaker (SR:84, 3/1) is only a 5-point SR gap behind at shorter odds, meaning the market is not fully buying the SR advantage; if Myluckymaker fires — even from a low-strike-rate yard — the marg…
Super Freak (SR:76, 11/2) is market-drifting IN 20% today, suggesting significant stable/public confidence in that rival, which directly pressures Village Dream's hold on the race despite the SR edge.
ShortlistVillage Dream, Myluckymaker, Super Freak, Moot Hall