Southwell (AW) 15:40 RESULTED
Class 3 16 Aug 2026

Sunday 16 August Coopers Marquees Handicap Stakes

Coopers Marquees Handicap Stakes · 7f14y

Official Result

Coopers Marquees Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Valvano (IRE) Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett
    5/1
  2. 100/30F
  3. 18/1
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Southwell (AW)

13:30–17:40 · 9 races

Curragh

13:35–17:25 · 8 races

Tramore

13:45–17:05 · 7 races

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15:45–18:45 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Valvano silks
Valvano
Age 5 · 9-12
4033-6
95
95
102
5
9-12
6/1 3/1 11/2
Placed third in two of his last four starts, Valvano catches the eye on the pick of his recent form and gets the fitness green light after 141 days off; he has run over today's trip and a rating of 102 gives him solid claims, though he remains yet to win in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Legal Reform silks
Legal Reform
Age 9 · 9-11
1-2431
94
92
95
9
9-11
22/1 8/1 22/1
Legal Reform won last time out and has experience of today's distance and going, but 156 days off the track is a significant fitness query, and carrying 137 lb from stall 8 will test his stamina; that layoff is the key concern for a horse who otherwise shows solid recent form.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Midnight Thunder silks
Midnight Thunder
Age 4 · 9-11
19/40-
94
83
97
4
9-11
17/2 14/1 15/2
Midnight Thunder landed a win in his last four starts and has run over today's trip, with our rating of 97 underlining his strong claims — but a 569-day absence is the significant unknown he must overcome.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Great Dream silks
Great Dream
Age 4 · 9-9
93-691
92
87
95
4
9-9
25/1 13/2 25/1
Won last time out to advertise his claims, though that success came 60 days ago and a return to form will be needed after two poor efforts before that win; has run over today's trip and going, and 135 lb from stall four is the neutral backdrop.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Tina's Indian silks
Tina's Indian
Age 5 · 9-9
1-4043
92
89
103
5
9-9
18/1 9/1 18/1
Tina's Indian shaped with promise when third last time out and a winner five starts back, and he has experience over today's trip carrying 135 lb from stall 7; the chief concern is the 65-day absence.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Willem Twee silks
Willem Twee
Age 7 · 9-6
-09330
89
73
94
7
9-6
SP 28/1 33/1
Winless in his last five starts, Willem Twee does bring consecutive thirds to his name two and three runs back, showing a degree of consistency, though unplaced efforts either side temper expectations; he has experience over today's distance and going, and 132 lb from stall one gives him a workable profile.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Skipper silks
Skipper
Age 5 · 9-6
56-109
89
74
92
5
9-6
11/1 12/1 9/1
Skipper won three starts back but has since disappointed, finishing unplaced and ninth in his last two, and 83 days off the track raises freshness questions; he has run over today's trip and going, and 132 lb is no featherweight assignment.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Dixieland Blues silks
Dixieland Blues
Age 4 · 9-6
10661-
89
95
89
4
9-6
9/2 10/3 9/2
Dixieland Blues won last time out but that was 326 days ago, and he ranks eleventh of fourteen on our figures, making him hard to fancy despite the stable's sharp recent strike rate of 33 per cent; he has run over today's trip and going before, which offers some small comfort.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Aurora Majesty silks
Aurora Majesty
Age 4 · 9-5
320-07
88
73
93
4
9-5
14/1 20/1 11/1
Winless in his last five starts, with a second and third earlier in the sequence offering some encouragement, Aurora Majesty has experience over today's trip and going but a struggling yard on 0/23 in the past fortnight and modest recent efforts make him a tough each-way proposition from stall 12.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Shiplake silks
Shiplake
Age 4 · 9-5
1-1098
88
98
89
4
9-5
7/2 4/1 7/2
Shiplake has tumbled to three consecutive defeats after back-to-back wins four and five starts back, and ranked twelfth of fourteen on our figures he is hard to fancy here, though he has experience of today's trip and going, and draw two is noted.
AI verdict

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Sovereign Ocean silks
Sovereign Ocean
Age 3 · 9-5
161-62
93
104
96
3
9-5
7/2 5/1 7/2
Sovereign Ocean shaped well when second last time out and has winning form three starts back, giving his record a solid look, though the 50-day break and 131 lb are questions he must answer here.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Utmost Good Faith silks
Utmost Good Faith
Age 3 · 9-5
460510
93
64
87
3
9-5
50/1 28/1 50/1
Rated well below the weights on our figures and ranked near the foot of the field, Utmost Good Faith is hard to fancy despite bouncing back to win two starts back; he was unplaced last time and faces a stiff ask from stall 14 carrying 131 lb, even with experience of today's distance and going.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Divine Libra silks
Divine Libra
Age 6 · 9-4
2-8850
87
71
98
6
9-4
14/1 18/1 12/1
Divine Libra drops into a competitive spot carrying 130 lb from stall 11, and his experience over today's trip is a useful foundation — our rating of 98 puts him firmly in contention as a leading danger. The risk is that he arrives winless in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Kisskodi silks
Kisskodi
Age 4 · 9-4
15-351
87
76
87
4
9-4
18/1 12/1 16/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Kisskodi is hard to fancy at the weights off a 71-day break, yet he does arrive in form — a winner last time out — and has experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Valvano 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 4.33 13/2 open 4.33 13/2 open 4.33 11/2 open 4.00 13/2 Coral
2 Legal Reform 22/1 open 9.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 25/1 Coral
3 Midnight Thunder 17/2 open 15.00 8/1 open 17.00 8/1 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 17/2 Bet365
4 Great Dream 25/1 open 7.50 28/1 open 9.00 28/1 open 9.00 28/1 open 9.00 25/1 open 13.00 28/1 Coral
5 Tina's Indian 18/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 12.00 20/1 William Hill
6 Willem Twee 33/1 open 51.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365
7 Skipper 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 17.00 11/1 Bet365
8 Dixieland Blues 9/2 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 Bet365
9 Aurora Majesty 14/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 23.00 14/1 Bet365
10 Shiplake 7/2 open 8.00 7/2 open 8.50 7/2 open 8.50 7/2 open 8.50 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
11 Sovereign Ocean 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 Bet365
12 Utmost Good Faith 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
13 Divine Libra 14/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 23.00 14/1 Bet365
14 Kisskodi 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 16/1 18/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sovereign Ocean

Live signal

Sovereign Ocean owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Marco Botti Marco Ghiani
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Shiplake

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Kevin Philippart De Foy
✓ Value Signal

Utmost Good Faith

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Stuart Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 11. Sovereign Ocean
60.7 7/2
2 10. Shiplake
56.7 7/2
3 8. Dixieland Blues
54.9 9/2
4 1. Valvano
52.5 6/1
5 3. Midnight Thunder
51.7 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Shiplake
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

10
Age 4 · 9-5
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 98 🐾

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 3 · 9-5
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 4 · 9-6
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 9-12
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 9-11
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 9-6
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 9-5
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 6 · 9-4
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 9-9
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 4 · 9-4
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Shiplake
Confidence: Speculative

Shiplake (SR:98, 4/1) is the highest-rated runner and carries a favourable 9-5 — 7lb less than joint-topweights Valvano and Dixieland Blues despite being the field's most able horse on the SR scale. The market has steamed in 35%, the strongest move in the entire field, signalling strong informed support. Crucially, Shiplake brings confirmed Course:W2P2 at Southwell and both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+, meaning he is proven over this exact trip and going combination at this track — a rare triple alignment. The headgear change (hood) suggests connections are targeting a bounce-back after a disappointing 1-1098 sequence, and the aggressive money arriving strongly suggests they expect that improvement today. Each-way alternative: Sovereign Ocean. Main danger: Sovereign Ocean — Sovereign Ocean (SR:104, 5/1) is the highest SR in the field, carries only 9-5 despite a 3yo allowance, boasts DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+, and has been supported in the market at 11% — the recent 161-62 form shows consistent competitiveness at this level.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 1-1098: three consecutive defeats including a 9th, suggesting a genuine decline in form rather than a one-off blip that a hood can simply fix.
  • Sovereign Ocean (SR:104) is rated 6lb superior on the speed-rating scale and is also moving in the market (+11%), making Shiplake not the class benchmark despite the analyst's claim.
  • Jockey Daniel Muscutt strikes at only 11% and trainer Kevin Philippart De Foy at 13% — a combined profile that offers little confidence in a competitive 14-runner handicap at 4/1.
  • 62-day absence combined with a first-time hood is an untested combination for this horse; connections may be hoping for improvement that does not materialise on reappearance.
Shortlist Shiplake, Sovereign Ocean, Valvano, Dixieland Blues
Each-way: Sovereign Ocean Danger: Sovereign Ocean

🗺 The Course Class 3

7f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade