Tramore 16:05 RESULTED
16 Aug 2026

Sunday 16 August McCarthy's Irish Bar Lexington Handicap Steeplechase

McCarthy's Irish Bar Lexington Handicap Steeplechase · 2m6f0y

Official Result

McCarthy's Irish Bar Lexington Handicap Steeplechase

Confirmed
  1. Winner A Snow White Park (IRE) Danny Mullins · Ms Margaret Mullins
    9/2C
  2. 9/2C
  3. 9/2C
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Southwell (AW)

13:30–17:40 · 9 races

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Tramore

13:45–17:05 · 7 races

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15:45–18:45 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Intense Approach silks
Intense Approach
Age 7 · 12-0
U50-06
122
101
129
7
12-0
15/2 8/1 13/2
Intense Approach carries a hefty 168 lb yet our rating of 129 marks him out as the standout in this field, and he has run over today's trip and going before; the concern is that he remains winless in his last five starts, with a sixth last time out and a fifth earlier his best recent efforts.
AI verdict

SR 101 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Marv Michael silks
Marv Michael
Age 8 · 12-0
500-96
122
90
127
8
12-0
18/1 14/1 18/1
Winless in his last five starts and absent for 62 days, Marv Michael nonetheless catches the eye carrying 168 lb with experience of today's trip and conditions, and a rating of 127 suggests he retains untapped potential — though his recent string of unplaced efforts is the obvious concern.
AI verdict

SR 90 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

3
Watch The Weather silks
Watch The Weather
Age 10 · 12-0
6-2053
122
110
127
10
12-0
5/1 11/2 5/1
Third last time out and a second four starts back, Watch The Weather arrives here fit on a 14-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and conditions. Winless in his last five starts, he nonetheless shaped with promise and, carrying 168 lb, our rating of 127 marks him as a lively each-way proposition.
AI verdict

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Nastya silks
Nastya
Age 7 · 11-9
21F-1P
117
110
118
7
11-9
5/1 9/4 5/1
Nastya has won twice in her last five starts, including a win two starts back, and has experience of today's trip and conditions — she arrives here fit at 25 days' absence and shapes as a genuine threat; the main concern is her pulled-up run last time out.
AI verdict

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Tullyveery Lad silks
Tullyveery Lad
Age 10 · 11-5
-502U5
113
97
112
10
11-5
7/1 5/1 7/1
Tullyveery Lad has run over today's trip and going, and showed promise with a second three starts back, yet he is winless in recent starts and returns just two days after his last outing, which is a notable concern under a hefty 159 lb.
AI verdict

SR 97 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Orkneys Jack silks
Orkneys Jack
Age 7 · 10-12
5-1355
106
79
110
7
10-12
25/1 20/1 25/1
Landed a win four starts back but has since posted back-to-back fifth-place finishes, and that inconsistency is the concern; he has run over today's going before and 12 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh, though 152 lb is a stern ask.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
General Clermont silks
General Clermont
Age 10 · 10-11
6-4P90
105
85
112
10
10-11
12/1 FCST 10/1
General Clermont has run over today's trip and going before, though he arrives winless in his last five starts and that pulled-up effort three starts back is a concern; carrying 151 lb tests him further, yet ten days since his last run suggests he is fresh and our rating of 112 offers mild encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
A Snow White Park silks
A Snow White Park
Age 5 · 10-8
4-522U
102
100
105
5
10-8
4/1 11/4 7/2
Winless in her last five starts and ranked ninth of ten on our figures, A Snow White Park is hard to fancy, though consecutive second-place finishes two and three starts back show she can get competitive; the unseating last time is the obvious concern, and 148 lb is no help.
AI verdict

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
That's About Right silks
That's About Right
Age 8 · 10-5
5P-048
99
93
110
8
10-5
9/1 8/1 9/1
Winless in his last five starts, with a pulled-up effort among them, That's About Right is hard to fancy ranked eighth of ten on our figures, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a quick 19-day turnaround at least fit and familiar with conditions.
AI verdict

SR 93 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Pourquoi Poi silks
Pourquoi Poi
Age 5 · 10-4
-63B30
98
95
100
5
10-4
11/2 11/2 5/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of this field on our figures, Pourquoi Poi faces a stiff task, and a trainer without a winner in 21 recent attempts adds little confidence, though he has distance and going experience to call upon.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Intense Approach 15/2 open 13.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 open 9.00 15/2 Bet365
2 Marv Michael 18/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 20/1 Coral
3 Watch The Weather 5/1 open 9.00 11/2 11/2 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 11/2 Coral
4 Nastya 5/1 open 3.25 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 Coral
5 Tullyveery Lad 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 Bet365
6 Orkneys Jack 25/1 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 Bet365
7 General Clermont 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 Bet365
8 A Snow White Park 4/1 open 6.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 3.75 4/1 Bet365
9 That's About Right 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 Bet365
10 Pourquoi Poi 11/2 open 7.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 11/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Watch The Weather

Live signal

Watch The Weather owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 R P Cody Paddy Cody(7)
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Nastya

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Henry De Bromhead
✓ Value Signal

Orkneys Jack

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · L Young
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Watch The Weather
61.7 5/1
2 4. Nastya
61.3 5/1
3 8. A Snow White Park
58.6 4/1
4 1. Intense Approach
57.2 15/2
5 5. Tullyveery Lad
56.9 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Nastya
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 5 · 10-8
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 100 🐾

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 10 · 12-0
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 110 🐾

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 7 · 11-9
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 110 🐾

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 5 · 10-4
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 10 · 11-5
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 7 · 12-0
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 101 🐾

SR 101 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 8 · 10-5
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 10 · 10-11
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 8 · 12-0
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Nastya
Confidence: Medium

Nastya tops the composite score at SR 110 trading at 10/3. Composite ranks the field on SR + market + form + connections + distance/going fit — the pick is the best cross-signal case, not just the best SR.

Shortlist Nastya, A Snow White Park, Tullyveery Lad, Pourquoi Poi, Watch The Weather
Each-way: A Snow White Park Danger: Tullyveery Lad

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m6f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Tramore Track and setting