Grayrobin arrives on the back of back-to-back wins, with that sole blip an eighth three starts back, and his experience over today's trip and going is a useful asset; the chief concern is whether 131 lb blunts his momentum.
Form last 6811
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
98SR91RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Third two starts back hints at residual ability, and Star Prospect's experience over today's trip and going stands him in good stead off 131 lb from stall five; our rating of 110 marks him as the one to beat, though last time's seventh will need reversing.
Form last 613037
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
91SR110RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
April Mist won two starts back but has slipped to a seventh last time out, and our rating of 79 leaves her well below the top of this field; she has run over today's trip and going, yet that alone makes her hard to fancy from stall 8 off 126 lb.
Form last 6217
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR79RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Armor Supreme showed smart form when winning three starts back, and her experience over today's trip and going keeps her squarely in the mix from stall 2; the main concern is that she comes here after a 60-day absence following a disappointing ninth last time out.
Form last 6129
★AI Rating★★★★☆
112SR102RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Winless in her last four starts and returning just two days after her most recent fourth, Arrowstock faces a fitness query on a quick turnaround, though she has run over today's distance and going before and her draw of four offers a neutral pitch from which to mount a challenge.
Form last 66544
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR80RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Brazilian Diva showed useful form when winning three starts back and a second two starts back, but has disappointed since, finishing sixth last time out; she has distance and going experience to call on and returns after 18 days, though 126 lb is no easy ask.
Form last 6375126
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
88SR90RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Concorde Landed arrives with experience over today's trip and going, and her win two starts back shows the ability to compete at this level; the question is whether her fourth last time out signals she has something to find.
Form last 614
★AI Rating★★★★☆
105SR95RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Winless in her last three starts, New Bond Street has placed twice in that run but our rating of 74 ranks her eighth of ten, making her hard to fancy despite the fitness edge of a seven-day turnaround and experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 6533
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
88SR74RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last four starts, with finishes of ninth, eighth, eighth and ninth telling a grim recent story, Stellar Path is hard to fancy on these figures despite having run over today's trip and going before and the potential convenience of stall one.
Form last 69889
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR54RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 200/1.
Unraced and wholly unexposed, The Baddie makes her debut from stall nine carrying 126 lb, with every question still to answer but improvement guaranteed to come as she gains experience.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Armor Supreme owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/4Diego DiasRossa Ryan
77%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Concorde Landed
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/4 · P Twomey✓ Value Signal
April Mist
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · G M Lyons◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Armor Supreme (SR:112, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin — 7 points above Concorde Landed and 14 above Grayrobin — and the market has steamed 24% to confirm confidence from the yard. DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at 5f, and a form line of 1-2-9 shows this is a horse that has won at the level and the 9 is forgiven as a single poor run. While the Diego Dias yard has a modest 5% strike rate, Rossa Ryan (16%, 1416 rides) is clearly the yard's number-one jockey booking ahead of Diego Lima on Brazilian Diva and Gavin Ryan on The Baddie — a significant signal in a stable with three runners. At 5/2 the price reflects genuine market conviction.
Each-way alternative: Concorde Landed.
Main danger: Concorde Landed — Concorde Landed (SR:105, 5/2) is co-favourite, trained by the in-form P Twomey yard (24% strike rate), and a form line of 1-4 over just two runs suggests a progressive juvenile who may have more to offer — the headgear addition (h) could sharpen focus on the drop back to 5f.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
60-day absence is the longest freshen-up in this field — at 2yo that layoff risks rustiness, and the single '9' in the form line came at an unknown stage of fitness.
Trainer Diego Dias runs a 5% stable strike rate from only 55 rides — a tiny, low-volume yard whose market signals carry far less weight than those from Twomey (24%) or O'Brien (15%).
Concorde Landed (SR:105, 5/2 co-favourite, P Twomey 24% yard) is only 7 points behind on rating and has the significant stable-mate support of New Bond Street, which has also steamed 24% — Twomey dep…
Armor Supreme is asked to carry 9-0 at 5f on a 2yo — same weight as rivals rated up to 14 points lower, meaning any underestimate of those rivals' improvement margins erodes the rating edge quickly.
ShortlistArmor Supreme, Concorde Landed, Grayrobin, New Bond Street