LNAA Critical Care Novice Stakes (Div II) (GBB Race) · 1m13y
SR 121 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 122 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 124 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 122 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Rua Mor | 33/1 open 29.00 | — | 22/1 | 22/1 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Prosperity | 4/7 open 1.50 | — | 4/7 open 1.44 | 4/7 open 1.44 | 8/13 open 1.50 | 8/13 open 1.50 | 8/13 William Hill |
| 3 Peaceful Spirit | 28/1 open 15.00 | — | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 William Hill |
| 4 Al Jolson | 7/4 open 4.50 | — | 5/4 open 3.75 | 5/4 open 3.75 | 6/4 open 3.75 | 11/8 open 3.50 | 7/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Electric Gambler | 66/1 open 51.00 | — | 40/1 | 40/1 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Elite Approach | 50/1 open 34.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Majestic Ruler | 66/1 open 41.00 | — | 50/1 | 50/1 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Savile Row | 12/1 open 7.50 | — | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Sotto Il Sasso | 17/2 open 13.00 | — | 15/2 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 10 Ze Gucci Poochie | 200/1 open 126.00 | — | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 Bet365 |
| 11 My Prerogative | 200/1 open 126.00 | — | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Prosperity owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 75 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Prosperity (SR:157, 8/13) is the standout on ability — a 5-point SR gap over the next-best Al Jolson (SR:152) and a 31-point gap over the bulk of the field. Trained by K.R. Burke (19% career strike rate, 682 runners — one of the shrewder handlers of this type), ridden by Pierre-Louis Jamin, and carrying a favourable 9-6 on a single winning run, this horse profiles as a well-above-average novice dropping into Class 4 against limited opposition. The 8% market drift is a mild negative flag worth noting, but in a field of 11 where all runners share unknown distance and going records, the SR dominance and trainer quality are the decisive signals — the drift is more likely profit-taking on a short price than genuine concern. Al Jolson is the only credible rival at SR:152 and is actually steaming in (Mkt:in17%), so the danger is real but Prosperity's class edge holds. Each-way alternative: Al Jolson. Main danger: Al Jolson — Al Jolson (SR:152, 5/2) is steaming in with a 17% market move from the Simon & Ed Crisford yard (21% career strike rate) — connections with that record and that level of confidence on a debutant suggest they know this horse is ready to run a big race, and an SR of 152 is entirely capable of toppling Prosperity if the favourite underperforms on AW debut.