Consistent without being a winner, Carry On Heidi has finished third in three of her last five starts but remains yet to score, and 157 days off the track is a fitness query; 161 lb is a hefty burden, though she has experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 644333-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
99SR115RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts, Costanuci nonetheless brings distance and going experience to this assignment, and a second last time out gives her some momentum; the concern is a hefty 161 lb to carry, and she ranks sixth of eight on our ratings.
Form last 65P-852
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR109RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Seventh last time and only twice in the first four in her last four starts, Ellens Pride arrives as the bottom-rated runner in this field; she has experience of today's trip and conditions, but it is very hard to make a case for her carrying 161 lb.
Form last 61-04P7
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR82RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistent and eyecatching, Future Prospect has finished second twice in her last two starts and is drawn from a trainer firing at 34% over the past fortnight; the main risk is that she remains yet to win in her last five starts.
Form last 643-F22
★AI Rating★★★★☆
126SR123RPR124OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
La Note Verte arrives here 25 days fresh, with her trainer firing at 34% in the last fortnight, and consecutive third-place finishes suggest she is knocking on the door; familiar with today's going, she looks well placed to go one better under 161 lb.
Form last 6164-33
★AI Rating★★★★☆
117SR121RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked seventh of eight on our figures, Liss Eile faces a stiff task here; she has run over today's going before and returns after 24 days, but a heavy weight of 161 lb adds further burden to an already unconvincing recent record.
Form last 6P-4000
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR87RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Miss Fourie has experience of today's going and shapes as a live threat on our rating, but she arrives after a break of 323 days, is yet to win in her last four starts, and that lengthy absence is the key question mark over her chances here.
Form last 6/77F6-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
107SR117RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Straight Home has won twice in her last four starts, including a victory last time out, and has experience of both today's trip and conditions — backed by a trainer firing at 34% in the last fortnight, she looks a serious threat here, though the 426-day absence is the one obvious question mark.
Form last 671/41-
★AI Rating★★★★☆
121SR120RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Future Prospect owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (70) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
6/4W P MullinsDanny Mullins
74%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Straight Home
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · W P Mullins✓ Value Signal
Liss Eile
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · G Ahern◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Straight Home (SR:121, 4/1) is the standout pick driven by a compelling combination of signals. The Mkt:in26% is the loudest signal in the race — a 26% market shortening from opening indicates significant informed money arriving, and in a Mullins yard where three runners compete, that move distinguishes this horse as the yard's #1 intent. At SR:121 she sits third in the field but the market clearly rates her ability to translate that on fresh ground. The form string 71/41- shows a win and a place from her last four completed runs, and coming off a 426-day layoff with a tongue-tie (HG:t) fitted for the first time suggests Mullins has specifically prepared this mare for this moment. GoingFit:? is the main unknown, but good ground at Tramore in a mares' beginner chase is benign enough that it shouldn't derail a horse showing this level of stable confidence.
Each-way alternative: La Note Verte.
Main danger: Future Prospect — Future Prospect carries the highest SR in the field at 126, is the market favourite at 13/8, and despite a 6% drift has Mullins/Danny Mullins booking which means connections have not abandoned her — a 43-F22 form string showing two recent runner-up finishes suggests she is running into form and the F was a one-off.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
426-day absence is a significant fitness question — beginner chases over fences demand jumping sharpness that a mare returning from over a year off is unlikely to have, however well schooled at home.
Future Prospect (SR:126) holds a 5-point superiority in speed rating and is the top-rated horse in the field; at 13/8 the market already favours her over Straight Home at 4/1, suggesting the money is…
La Note Verte (SR:117) and Future Prospect both drifted out, indicating the market move into Straight Home may reflect place/each-way money or hedging within the Mullins string rather than a clean 'y…
The first-time tongue-tie (HG:t) on a mare returning from 426 days can as easily signal a horse that had breathing issues in her last run (the '-' finish) as a calculated confidence booster — it rais…
ShortlistStraight Home, Future Prospect, La Note Verte