Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Poison Arrow owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (85) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
15/8Richard SpencerGeorge Wood
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Storm Force
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · Richard & Peter Fahey✓ Value Signal
I Can Dream
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
150/1 · Henry Candy◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Poison Arrow (SR:153, 5/2) has steamed in 20% since opening, signalling clear market confidence in a race where most rivals are drifting. At SR:153 it sits just below the two joint-highest-rated runners but carries identical weight (9-7) and has race experience (form 5-) versus the complete unknowns of Iron Dome and Persian Gate. The 342-day absence is a concern, but Richard Spencer's 16% yard strike rate and the strong market move suggest the yard is confident the horse has returned in good order. The class rise (↑1) is noted but this is a maiden, so all runners are effectively on a level footing, and Poison Arrow's SR edge over the field's lower tier is meaningful.
Each-way alternative: Storm Force.
Main danger: Storm Force — Storm Force shares SR:154 (joint-highest in the field) with Space Party, has James Doyle (18% career strike rate, the strongest jockey booking on the card) aboard, and its single form figure of 3 on debut suggests untapped improvement at 9/4.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
342-day absence is a significant lay-off; Poison Arrow's only form reading is '5-' suggesting it has already had one unraced run since its sole fifth-place finish, raising fitness questions after suc…
Space Party (SR:154) and Storm Force (SR:154) both hold a marginal SR edge over Poison Arrow (SR:153), are better-priced or identical in price, and crucially both show more recent, positive form figu…
Jockey George Wood posts only a 10% strike rate versus James Doyle at 18% on Storm Force — a meaningful edge on the pilot that could matter in a tight finish between near-equal SR runners.
The 20% market steam looks compelling but Iron Dome (Clive Cox/PJ McDonald, both 15%) is a well-supported debutant at 7/1 from a powerful yard, suggesting market confidence in Poison Arrow may be ove…