Presenting Lad is our top-rated runner here, and his second three starts back gives him the most meaningful piece of recent form in the field, though he has been winless in his last five starts and returns from a 47-day break carrying a hefty 168 lb.
Form last 6P-920P
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
88SR108RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bossing It shaped well when second three starts back and has run over today's trip and going, so the experience angle stacks up; the concern is a tendency to disappoint, and she arrives yet to win in her last five starts.
Form last 6P0-258
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR96RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, Itsalonglongroad nevertheless holds a rating of 98 here, ranking him second of ten, and he has run over today's trip and going before; the concern is a pulled up finish among recent outings that will need explaining.
Form last 665P0-7
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR98RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Carrying 155 lb is the obvious concern, but Katherine's rating of 94 makes her a live threat at the weights, and she returns fit on just 13 days' rest with experience of today's trip and conditions in her favour.
Form last 6774960
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
69SR94RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Kingdom Calling is winless in his last five starts and a pulled-up effort five starts back raises stamina questions, yet he has experience over today's trip and going, returns after a respectable 31-day break, and our rating of 91 suggests he holds more ability than his official mark implies.
Form last 6P0-604
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR91RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, Polly Poppins does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and a third four starts back hints at better days; however, a seventh last time out and a burden of 152 lb are clear negatives to weigh against her rating of 87.
Form last 693-587
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR87RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ray Gun has run over today's going before, but two pulled ups and a pair of lowly finishes in recent starts paint a difficult picture, and returning just two days after his last outing asks serious questions of a gelding yet to win in this sequence.
Form last 60P-P96
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
67SR86RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in his last four starts and ranked bottom of this field on our figures, Nobody faces a stiff task here; a 11-point gap to his official rating hints at a horse below his best, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a sharp turnaround of 13 days.
Form last 6/008-5
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR66RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, with a ninth and seventh among recent efforts, Ballinaboola Gold cuts a frustrating figure, and our rating — ranking her ninth of ten — leaves little encouragement; the plus points are fitness, having run just nine days ago, and going experience.
Form last 6-25795
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR75RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts and including two pulled-up efforts in recent form, Robin Elite is hard to fancy, especially returning just two days after his last outing; the one positive is that he has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 6P-0P69
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR79RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Presenting Lad owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/2Mark Michael McNiffDaniel King
72%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Bossing It
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · David M O'Brien✓ Value Signal
Katherine
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Adrian Sexton◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Bossing It (SR:85, 10/3) holds the second-highest SR in the field and carries 11-9 — a full 5lb below top-weight Presenting Lad (SR:88, 12-0), which is a material weight concession in a 1m7f140y chase on Good ground. Trainer David M O'Brien runs from a small string but has a 15% strike rate from 27 runners — the best among all yards represented here — and Sean Flanagan is an experienced booking. The form string P0-258 shows the horse finishing 8th, 5th, 2nd in three consecutive runs, a clear upward progression that points to a horse finding its feet in handicap company. The absence of negative distance or going flags (both listed as ?) means there's no confirmed concern over today's conditions, whereas the market leader Presenting Lad has drifted 9% and carries a confirmed poor distance record (DistFit:-).
Each-way alternative: Ballinaboola Gold.
Main danger: Ballinaboola Gold — Ballinaboola Gold (SR:74, 4/1) is trained by a yard booking Danny Mullins — a jockey with a strong 13% career strike rate from 302 runners — carries a featherweight 10-3, and at 4/1 is the market's second choice, suggesting punter confidence despite the poor going and distance flags.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reads P0-258: the horse has only once finished in the top two (2nd) and has never won — no evidence it can close out when it matters in a chase.
Ballinaboola Gold (SR:74, 4/1) carries 10-3 — a full 20lb less than Bossing It's 11-9 — and is ridden by Danny Mullins (13% strike rate, best jockey in the field), making it a significant weight-and-…
Trainer O'Brien's 15% strike rate comes from only 27 runners — a very small sample size that may overstate true form, and the stable is not associated with big-field handicap chases at Tramore.
At 10/3, Bossing It is the joint-favourite yet has no winning form over fences in its visible record; the market is pricing in an improvement that the form string does not yet confirm.