Southwell (AW) 14:00 RESULTED
Class 6 16 Aug 2026

Sunday 16 August Fraser Plus Designer Outlet East Midlands Handicap Stakes

Fraser Plus Designer Outlet East Midlands Handicap Stakes · 1m13y

Official Result

Fraser Plus Designer Outlet East Midlands Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Heretic (IRE) David Probert · Michael Herrington
    6/1
  2. 11/1
  3. 20/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Southwell (AW)

13:30–17:40 · 9 races

Curragh

13:35–17:25 · 8 races

Tramore

13:45–17:05 · 7 races

Pontefract

15:45–18:45 · 7 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Tardaff silks
Tardaff
Age 4 · 9-9
54-005
55
51
56
4
9-9
17/2 13/2 17/2
Winless in her last five starts, Tardaff has at least run over today's trip and comes here fresh enough on 17 days' rest, but a fifth last time out and little improvement in recent outings make her a modest each-way proposition at best from stall four carrying 135 lb.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Ribston Pippin silks
Ribston Pippin
Age 4 · 9-8
1-6297
54
55
55
4
9-8
4/1
Ribston Pippin landed a win and posted a second in his last five starts, but has disappointed in his two most recent outings; he has run over today's trip and going before, and at 134 lb from stall seven, a return to form after 29 days off would be needed to make an impact.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Barleybrown silks
Barleybrown
Age 6 · 9-8
376628
54
61
59
6
9-8
13/2 11/2 13/2
Barleybrown brings useful experience over today's distance and going, and our rating ranks him top of the 14 — second two starts back highlights his capability, though he has been winless in his last six and that latest eighth is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Mercurius Power silks
Mercurius Power
Age 8 · 9-7
667852
53
56
56
8
9-7
SP 5/1 7/1
Mercurius Power returns on a sharp 22-day turnaround having posted a runner-up finish last time out, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions; ranked second of 14 on our ratings, the chief risk is his failure to convert, winless in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Love You More silks
Love You More
Age 4 · 9-7
-27071
53
56
54
4
9-7
6/1 FCST 11/2
Three losses sandwiching a win in her last five starts make Love You More inconsistent at best, and ranked eleventh of fourteen on our figures she faces a stiff task at the weights carrying 133 lb from stall eight, though she has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Implied Volatility silks
Implied Volatility
Age 4 · 9-6
77-700
52
28
55
4
9-6
18/1 14/1 18/1
Winless in his last five starts and unplaced in the two most recent, Implied Volatility faces a stiff ask, though he has run over today's distance and going before and a 41-day break may have freshened him up from stall three carrying 132 lb.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

7
The Spotlight Kid silks
The Spotlight Kid
Age 7 · 9-5
443536
51
46
55
7
9-5
14/1 16/1 14/1
Winless in his last six starts, The Spotlight Kid does bring distance and going experience to the table, and a third two starts back shows he can get competitive; at 131 lb from stall 11, however, he faces a stiff ask to break that duck here.
AI verdict

SR 46 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Create silks
Create
Age 6 · 9-5
000471
51
55
55
6
9-5
10/1 17/2 10/1
Create shaped up well on her latest start to score, and having already run over today's trip and going, conditions pose no fresh questions. She carries 131 lb from stall 14, but her recent winning fitness makes her our pick here.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Heretic silks
Heretic
Age 7 · 9-5
438732
51
59
56
7
9-5
15/2 7/1 15/2
Heretic has been consistently placed in recent starts, finishing second and third in his last two outings, and has experience of today's distance and going; the main concern is that he has been off the track for 66 days and is yet to score.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Splinterwood silks
Splinterwood
Age 4 · 9-4
7-679
50
36
54
4
9-4
14/1 16/1 14/1
Winless in his last four starts, Splinterwood has experience of today's trip and conditions, but his finishing positions have been modest throughout and a trainer in lean form — just one success from 21 runners in the past fortnight — does little to inspire confidence despite the low draw at stall two.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

11
Have You A Minute silks
Have You A Minute
Age 6 · 9-4
1560-9
50
57
51
6
9-4
9/1 9/1 8/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked 13 of 14 on our figures, Have You A Minute faces a stiff task from stall 12 off 61 days, though he has run over today's distance and going before and does at least bring a win in recent form.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Muddy Marvellous silks
Muddy Marvellous
Age 6 · 9-3
48/05-
49
31
48
6
9-3
66/1 FCST 50/1
Winless in his last four starts and absent for 257 days, Muddy Marvellous faces a stiff task as the bottom-ranked runner on our figures, though he has run over today's trip and going before and a featherweight draw from stall one offers at least a neutral starting point.
AI verdict

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

13
Timebar silks
Timebar
Age 5 · 9-3
42-822
49
52
55
5
9-3
6/1 7/1 6/1
Timebar has been consistently placed, finishing second three times in his last five starts, though he remains yet to win in recent form; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a 22-day break looks fair enough, though 129 lb from stall nine may test his resolution.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Evelyn's Phoenix silks
Evelyn's Phoenix
Age 5 · 9-2
296906
48
29
52
5
9-2
20/1 16/1 20/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 12 of 14 on our figures, Evelyn's Phoenix faces a stiff task here; sixth last time out and largely out of the frame in recent outings, he does have experience over today's trip and returns on a handy 15-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Tardaff 17/2 open 7.50 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 Coral
2 Ribston Pippin 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 4/1 4/1 Bet365
3 Barleybrown 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 13/2 7/1 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 7/1 William Hill
4 Mercurius Power 7/1 open 6.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 Coral
5 Love You More 6/1 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 11/2 13/2 Coral
6 Implied Volatility 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 Bet365
7 The Spotlight Kid 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
8 Create 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 Bet365
9 Heretic 15/2 open 8.00 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 9.50 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 open 9.50 8/1 Coral
10 Splinterwood 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
11 Have You A Minute 9/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 19.00 9/1 17/2 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 9/1 Bet365
12 Muddy Marvellous 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 66/1 open 81.00 66/1 open 81.00 50/1 open 81.00 66/1 Bet365
13 Timebar 6/1 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 9.50 13/2 Coral
14 Evelyn's Phoenix 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 22/1 22/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Barleybrown

Speculative

Barleybrown owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/2 Ruth Carr P J McDonald
63% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Love You More

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Joseph Parr
✓ Value Signal

Muddy Marvellous

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Seb Spencer
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
70 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Barleybrown
46.3 13/2
2 5. Love You More
46.2 6/1
3 2. Ribston Pippin
45.4 4/1
4 9. Heretic
44.8 15/2
5 13. Timebar
44.8 6/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Have You A Minute
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 9-8
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-7
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 5 · 9-3
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 9-8
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 7 · 9-5
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 9-9
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 6 · 9-4
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 9-5
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 7 · 9-5
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾

SR 46 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 9-4
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 36 🐾

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

6
Age 4 · 9-6
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 28 🐾

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

14
Age 5 · 9-2
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 29 🐾

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Have You A Minute
Confidence: Speculative

Have You A Minute (SR:57, 8/1) arrives dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) off a mark that has dropped 1lb since last win (MarkMv:-1), and crucially the market has steamed in 36% — the strongest market move in the entire field by a considerable margin. At 8/1 with that level of money arriving, connections clearly have confidence. The trainer Tom Tate has a 16% strike rate from a small but meaningful 25-runner sample, and jockey Hector Crouch (18% career SR, 808 rides) is a high-quality booking that underlines yard intent. The form line 1560-9 shows a winning profile, and dropping a class makes the recent 9 (last run) easier to excuse after a layoff of 61 days — the money coming in strongly suggests the horse is fit and ready. Each-way alternative: Barleybrown. Main danger: Heretic — Heretic (SR:59, 13/2) carries the highest SR among the leading contenders, has also steamed in 18% matching Barleybrown for market confidence, and a last-run second (form:438732) shows a sharp return to form — the 66-day break is the only real doubt.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form figure '9' last time out (61 days ago) was a beaten last or near-last — a significant confidence issue even with the class drop, as the horse may have regressed rather than simply needed a break.
  • Barleybrown (SR:61) has a higher speed rating than Have You A Minute (SR:57) and is also being backed in (18%), suggesting it is a stronger market rival at shorter odds of 5/1.
  • Tom Tate's 16% strike rate comes from a tiny 25-runner sample — too small to treat as statistically reliable evidence of trainer ability to have horses fit to win off a layoff.
  • A 61-day absence followed by a poor last run with no headgear flag in the data gives no evidence of a physical or equipment reason for the improvement connections appear to be expecting today.
Shortlist Have You A Minute, Barleybrown, Heretic, Create
Each-way: Barleybrown Danger: Heretic

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m13y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade