Southwell (AW) 17:10 RESULTED
Class 6 16 Aug 2026

Sunday 16 August Gb Civil Engineering Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Apprentice Training Race - Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)

Gb Civil Engineering Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Apprentice Training Race - Part Of The Racing Excellence Series) · 6f16y

Official Result

Gb Civil Engineering Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Apprentice Training Race - Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Massimo Blue (GB) Kyle McHugh · Dylan Cunha
    5/1
  2. Second Toptime (GB)
    12/1
  3. Third On Key (GB)
    10/1
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Southwell (AW)

13:30–17:40 · 9 races

Curragh

13:35–17:25 · 8 races

Tramore

13:45–17:05 · 7 races

Pontefract

15:45–18:45 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Massimo Blue silks
Massimo Blue
Age 4 · 10-0
9-5533
65
64
66
4
10-0
11/2 9/4 5/1
Massimo Blue has shown consistency without a win in recent starts, posting back-to-back thirds last time out and two starts back, though three unplaced efforts before that temper expectations; he has run over today's trip and going, and 140 lb from stall ten gives him a fair shot at building on that placed form.
AI verdict

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Tough Enough silks
Tough Enough
Age 6 · 10-0
020640
65
69
72
6
10-0
3/1 5/1 3/1
Tough Enough has run over today's distance and going before, and at 23 days since his last start he arrives in fair order; yet to score in recent starts, but his speed figure of 82 gives him a strong case here from stall six carrying 140 lb.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Lesley's Boy silks
Lesley's Boy
Age 4 · 9-12
63-058
63
66
70
4
9-12
9/2 11/1 4/1
Lesley's Boy has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 70 suggests he holds more ability than his official mark of 63 implies, making him a live threat from stall three; the concern is that he has been winless in his last five starts and returns after 62 days off the track.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Toptime silks
Toptime
Age 8 · 9-10
04-313
61
58
62
8
9-10
12/1 4/1 12/1
Toptime won two starts back but has finished third last time out, and his record in recent starts shows just one win from five. He has run over today's trip and going, carries 136 lb from stall 12, and steps out after 27 days off.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Southern Warrior silks
Southern Warrior
Age 3 · 9-10
413508
64
40
67
3
9-10
80/1 50/1 80/1
Southern Warrior brings distance and going experience to the table and has a win in his last six starts, but recent efforts — eighth and unplaced in his last two — give pause, and 136 lb is no easy burden for a handicapper rated 64.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

6
Orange Emperor silks
Orange Emperor
Age 3 · 9-9
256236
63
39
64
3
9-9
28/1 18/1 28/1
Yet to win in his last six starts, Orange Emperor does bring some encouragement — third and second in recent outings show he can get competitive, though a sixth last time out tempers expectations. Has run over today's trip and going, and 19 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh enough.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

7
Federal Envoy silks
Federal Envoy
Age 5 · 9-9
905265
60
64
65
5
9-9
5/1 11/2 5/1
Federal Envoy arrives on the back of a fifth last time out and is yet to win in his last six starts, though a second three starts back offers a crumb of encouragement; he has experience over today's trip and going, but 135 lb from stall nine is a stiff ask.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
On Key silks
On Key
Age 4 · 9-8
323132
59
61
62
4
9-8
11/1 6/1 11/1
Ranked 11 of 14 on our figures, On Key faces a stiff task at the weights carrying 134 lb from stall 14, and a speed rating of 58 does little to inspire confidence; he has run over today's trip and going before, and returns on a sharp enough 17-day turnaround showing consistent placed form in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Ahead Of Fashion silks
Ahead Of Fashion
Age 3 · 9-8
-77245
62
40
69
3
9-8
40/1 10/1 40/1
Ahead of Fashion showed clear promise when a second three starts back, and his experience over today's trip and going holds him in good stead from stall two carrying 134 lb; the risk is that he has been winless in his last five starts and returns after 63 days off.
AI verdict

SR 40 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Blackjack silks
Blackjack
Age 9 · 9-7
907563
58
41
63
9
9-7
18/1 FCST 16/1
Winless in his last six starts, Blackjack at least brings distance and going experience to the table, and a third last time out offers a crumb of encouragement, though he has struggled for consistency before that and a mark of 58 with 133 lb to carry sets the bar high.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

11
Torfrida silks
Torfrida
Age 6 · 9-7
2467-4
58
57
72
6
9-7
12/1 7/1 12/1
Torfrida shapes as a leading threat on our rating, and she has run over today's trip and going before, giving her strong claims here off 133 lb from stall 8; the concern is that she has been winless in her last five starts, and 59 days off the track adds a fitness query.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Big Apple Jack silks
Big Apple Jack
Age 4 · 9-6
-28425
57
56
61
4
9-6
8/1 17/2 8/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 12 of 14 on our figures, Big Apple Jack faces a stiff task here, though he has run over today's trip and going before and a second two starts back shows he can threaten at this level.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Great Success silks
Great Success
Age 3 · 9-2
-00545
56
37
60
3
9-2
50/1 25/1 40/1
Winless in his last five starts, with a pair of fifths and a fourth the best he has managed in recent outings, Great Success is hard to fancy from stall 13 carrying 128 lb, and ranked 13 of 14 on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

14
Starsong silks
Starsong
Age 7 · 9-1
435552
Jude Maher(7)
52
55
58
7
9-1
20/1 13/2 20/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Starsong faces a stiff ask, with her trainer in poor recent form at 1/21 over the past fortnight; at least she has experience over today's trip and going, and her second last time out offers a crumb of hope.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Massimo Blue 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 3.50 11/2 open 3.50 11/2 open 3.25 5/1 open 4.00 11/2 Bet365
2 Tough Enough 3/1 open 13.00 3/1 open 11.00 3/1 open 11.00 3/1 open 6.50 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 Bet365
3 Lesley's Boy 9/2 open 21.00 9/2 open 19.00 9/2 open 12.00 4/1 open 13.00 9/2 open 13.00 9/2 Bet365
4 Toptime 12/1 open 5.00 12/1 open 6.00 12/1 open 6.00 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 Bet365
5 Southern Warrior 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 80/1 Bet365
6 Orange Emperor 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 Bet365
7 Federal Envoy 5/1 open 10.00 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365
8 On Key 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 Bet365
9 Ahead Of Fashion 40/1 open 11.00 40/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 Bet365
10 Blackjack 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 18/1 18/1 16/1 open 19.00 18/1 Bet365
11 Torfrida 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 Bet365
12 Big Apple Jack 8/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 9.50 17/2 Coral
13 Great Success 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 50/1 Bet365
14 Starsong 20/1 open 7.50 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Tough Enough

Speculative

Tough Enough owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Antony Brittain Oliver Carmichael
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lesley's Boy

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Richard & Peter Fahey
✓ Value Signal

Ahead Of Fashion

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Dominic Ffrench Davis
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Tough Enough
52.4 3/1
2 3. Lesley's Boy
49.4 9/2
3 1. Massimo Blue
46.3 11/2
4 12. Big Apple Jack
44.9 8/1
5 7. Federal Envoy
44.6 5/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Lesley's Boy
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 6 · 10-0
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-12
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 9-9
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 10-0
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 4 · 9-6
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 9-8
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 8 · 9-10
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 6 · 9-7
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 9 · 9-7
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 41 🐾

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

14
Age 7 · 9-1
20/1
J: Jude Maher(7)
T: Michael Appleby
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lesley's Boy
Confidence: Speculative

Lesley's Boy (SR:66, 7/1) has steamed in 48% from opening price — the sharpest meaningful market move in the field alongside Tough Enough — and is trained by the Faheys whose 9% strike rate is respectable at this level. At 9-12 he carries 2lb less than the co-topweights and sits within the SR range to be competitive here. His form string 63-058 shows inconsistency but the 62-day break combined with first-time cheekpieces (p) and a significant market move suggests connections have spotted something fresh. The DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are concerns but at 7/1 with that money behind him, the case is compelling enough to commit. Each-way alternative: Tough Enough. Main danger: Tough Enough — Tough Enough (SR:69, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has steamed in 49% from its opening price — matching Lesley's Boy's market move in magnitude — and if that SR edge translates on the day, the class advantage could prove decisive despite the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 63-058 shows a '0' (last-of-field finish) just two runs ago with no course or going fit recorded — this horse has never proven itself on Southwell AW.
  • Tough Enough (SR:69, 4/1) has a higher speed rating AND steamed in 49% — nearly identical market move but from a shorter price, suggesting smarter money is on the rival, not Lesley's Boy.
  • 62-day layoff combined with first-time cheekpieces is speculative; the headgear change is untested and the break means fitness is unproven — connections may be hoping rather than knowing.
  • Jockey Jake Dickson has a 14% strike rate but rides at 9-12 in a 14-runner handicap where On Key (consistent 323132 form), Federal Envoy (SR:64, in-form trainer 22%) and Massimo Blue all represent st…
Shortlist Lesley's Boy, Tough Enough, Federal Envoy, Starsong
Each-way: Tough Enough Danger: Tough Enough

🗺 The Course Class 6

6f16y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade