Southwell (AW) 13:30 RESULTED
Class 4 16 Aug 2026

Sunday 16 August Newark Advertiser Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Newark Advertiser Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m4f14y

Official Result

Newark Advertiser Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Cliff Danger (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Pam Sly
    6/1
  2. 11/8F
  3. 13/2
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Southwell (AW)

13:30–17:40 · 9 races

Curragh

13:35–17:25 · 8 races

Tramore

13:45–17:05 · 7 races

Pontefract

15:45–18:45 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Wonder silks
Wonder
Age 5 · 10-4
-21223
82
81
86
5
10-4
11/2 FCST 9/2
Placed in four of his last five starts, Wonder has solid recent form to call on, with a win four starts back and a pair of seconds before his latest third — he has experience of today's trip and going, and our rating has him as the top-ranked runner here; the main concern is the 111-day absence.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Mehmas Champion silks
Mehmas Champion
Age 4 · 10-4
34-690
82
41
73
4
10-4
66/1 33/1 50/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked tenth of twelve on our figures, Mehmas Champion is hard to fancy despite having run over today's going before; the 58-day absence and a hefty 144 lb burden add further questions.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

3
Yaa Min silks
Yaa Min
Age 4 · 10-1
641633
79
77
85
4
10-1
6/1 FCST 11/2
Consistent placed form in his last two starts makes Yaa Min an appealing each-way prospect, and he arrives fit enough after 45 days off having run over today's trip and going before; third last time out and third two starts back, he steps up on an official mark of 79 with our figures rating him higher.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Naples silks
Naples
Age 4 · 9-12
1-0530
76
52
85
4
9-12
50/1 25/1 50/1
Naples shaped with promise when third two starts back, and his rating of 85 underlines his quality in this field; the main concern is a 53-day absence heading into today's test.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

5
Bondi silks
Bondi
Age 4 · 9-9
16186-
73
46
70
4
9-9
50/1 22/1 40/1
A long absence of 310 days is the immediate concern with Bondi, and his two most recent efforts — sixth and eighth — make him hard to fancy at the foot of our rankings, though he has run over today's trip and won twice in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

6
Motazzen silks
Motazzen
Age 8 · 9-8
9/16-9
72
46
81
8
9-8
40/1 12/1 40/1
Motazzen showed he can find the winner's enclosure when landing a win three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 81 underlines his claims here; the chief concern is a 82-day absence and two below-par runs since that victory.
AI verdict

SR 46 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Jindri silks
Jindri
Age 4 · 9-8
31-529
72
75
80
4
9-8
17/2 16/1 15/2
Ran well to finish second two starts back, and she has distance and going experience in her favour, but that ninth last time out is a concern and 134 lb is a stiff burden to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Typical Woman silks
Typical Woman
Age 7 · 9-7
61-866
71
66
79
7
9-7
14/1 13/2 14/1
Typical Woman won four starts back but has posted three sixth-place finishes in her most recent outings, and 86 days off the track adds a fitness query; she has run over today's trip and going, and the step up in weight to 133 lb won't help her cause.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Gallant Lion silks
Gallant Lion
Age 6 · 9-5
98-014
69
60
75
6
9-5
20/1 15/2 20/1
Winless in four of his last five starts and ranked ninth of twelve on our figures, Gallant Lion faces a stiff task here, though a win two starts back and experience over today's trip and going offer slim encouragement after 58 days off carrying 131 lb.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Domination silks
Domination
Age 3 · 9-4
6-1413
77
75
78
3
9-4
6/1 9/2 5/1
Domination showed his class when winning two starts back, and third last time out keeps him in the mix, but 38 days off and a hefty 130 lb to carry are the checks on his claims here.
AI verdict

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Astrological silks
Astrological
Age 3 · 9-4
2131
77
92
76
3
9-4
15/8 FCST 7/4
Astrological won last time out and has run over today's trip and conditions, but 55 days off the track introduces a fitness query and he carries 130 lb against in-form rivals.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Cliff Danger silks
Cliff Danger
Age 3 · 8-13
6479
72
76
70
3
8-13
5/1 7/2 5/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked last on our figures, Cliff Danger faces a stiff task here, though he has run over today's going before and 42 days off may have freshened him up.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Wonder 11/2 open 5.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 9/2 open 6.50 11/2 Bet365
2 Mehmas Champion 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 41.00 66/1 Bet365
3 Yaa Min 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 11/2 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 Bet365
4 Naples 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 66/1 William Hill
5 Bondi 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365
6 Motazzen 40/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 Bet365
7 Jindri 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 19.00 8/1 open 19.00 15/2 open 17.00 17/2 Bet365
8 Typical Woman 14/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 Coral
9 Gallant Lion 20/1 open 8.50 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 10.00 22/1 open 10.00 20/1 open 12.00 22/1 William Hill
10 Domination 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 6/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 5/1 open 7.00 6/1 Bet365
11 Astrological 15/8 open 4.00 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 15/8 open 3.50 7/4 2/1 Coral
12 Cliff Danger 5/1 open 13.00 5/1 open 9.50 5/1 open 9.50 5/1 open 9.50 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Astrological

Speculative

Astrological owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Marco Botti Marco Ghiani
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Wonder

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · James Fanshawe
✓ Value Signal

Bondi

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Declan Carroll
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 11. Astrological
54.6 15/8
2 1. Wonder
50.8 11/2
3 3. Yaa Min
49.8 6/1
4 12. Cliff Danger
48.3 5/1
5 7. Jindri
48.3 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Astrological
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

11
Age 3 · 9-4
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 3 · 8-13
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 10-4
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 10-1
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 3 · 9-4
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 9-8
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 7 · 9-7
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 6 · 9-5
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Astrological
Confidence: Speculative

Astrological (SR 92) is the clear class leader in this field — a full 16 points clear of the next-best rated runner (Wonder at SR 81) — and carries only 9-4, giving it a meaningful weight advantage over the joint top-weights at 10-4. The form string '2131' is consistent and progressive, the last run a win, and GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on today's going. Market has shortened 19% since opening, adding professional money behind the case. The step up in class (↑1) and running off a mark 6lb higher than the last win are the two risks, but the SR gap over rivals is large enough to absorb both. Each-way alternative: Jindri. Main danger: Jindri — Jindri (SR 75, 10/1) has steamed in 41% in the market, holds Course:W1P2 at Southwell giving it a significant specialist track advantage, and DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at this trip — a combination of signals that makes it the most credible threat to the class-rated favourite.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Astrological runs off a mark 6lb higher than its last win and steps up in class simultaneously — the combination of both adjustments at once is a meaningful ask for a 3yo with only 4 career runs.
  • Jindri (SR:75) has shortened 41% into the market and holds W1P2 course form at Southwell AW, suggesting rival market intelligence is strong against Astrological who lacks any course form flag.
  • Astrological's form string of just 4 runs (2131) is a very shallow profile — we cannot be confident how it handles being a short-priced favourite under pressure from proven AW course performers.
  • At 7/4, the odds leave almost no margin for error; the class rise + 6lb higher mark means even a minor underperformance relative to ceiling sees it beaten, with limited each-way value cushion.
Shortlist Astrological, Jindri, Cliff Danger, Yaa Min
Each-way: Jindri Danger: Jindri

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m4f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade