Ranked top of the field on our rating, Sonoran arrives fresh on 36 days' rest and has run over today's trip and going, offering genuine each-way claims from stall one — though winless in his last five starts, and his last two efforts both finishing ninth, the upturn needs to come sharply.
Form last 6-03699
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR93RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Thyer has run over today's trip and going, and shaped with encouragement when third last time out after a testing spell; back within a fortnight and carrying 136 lb from stall six, his profile looks stronger than his official mark of 76 suggests, making him an appealing each-way proposition despite being winless in his last five starts.
Form last 600-653
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR88RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Inconsistency is the concern here — a winner last time out but a seventh the start before that, and a rating of 71 ranked tenth of twelve suggests he has plenty to find on these terms despite the recent form boost.
Form last 671
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
72SR71RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Placed twice in her last six starts, including a second three runs back and a third four runs back, Great Mover has experience of today's trip and going and our rating of 88 makes her a leading threat — though the unplaced run last time is the obvious concern.
Form last 6663260
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR88RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unterberg has run over today's trip and going, and his two wins in his last six starts show he can find the winner's enclosure, though three subsequent starts have yielded little, including two eighths and an unplaced run last time out 15 days ago; the 133 lb burden is another obstacle to overcome from stall four.
Form last 6110880
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR86RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Won two starts back but has disappointed either side of that victory, finishing seventh on three of his last five starts, so consistency is the real question mark; has run over today's trip and going, carries 131 lb from stall two, and 20 days since his last run leaves him reasonably fresh.
Form last 677-719
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR76RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, Liberation Date does bring distance and going experience to the table, and her third two runs back hints at better, but the 131 lb burden from stall 12 makes progression a tougher ask here.
Form last 6-96836
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR85RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mighty Danu showed she can win at this level with a victory four starts back, and her going experience is a solid foundation, but she has to prove she can recapture that form after three below-par efforts since, with 130 lb to shoulder from stall nine.
Form last 617-68
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR87RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last three starts and ranked last on our figures, Storzando faces a stiff task here, though a third two starts back and experience over today's trip and going offer slim crumbs of comfort; the weight of 130 lb does him no favours either.
Form last 6637
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR62RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Showed a turn of foot with back-to-back wins in recent starts, but has since posted an eighth and a seventh, suggesting inconsistency; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 17 days between runs keeps him fresh enough to creep back into the argument from stall three.
Form last 611-728
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
72SR73RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Guinelot won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, which counts for something, but ranked ninth of twelve on our figures she faces a stiff task at 124 lb from stall ten.
Form last 6541
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR72RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Beaten a long way back in ninth last time out and ranked 11th of 12 on our figures, Nibras Rainbow is hard to fancy despite a third and two wins in earlier recent starts; a struggling trainer — winless in 21 attempts over the last 14 days — only adds to the concern, though he has distance and going experience to call on.
Form last 6132139
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR68RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Youcansaythatagain owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (40) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
6/1A OliverBen Coen
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Blackjack Hills
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/1 · Matthew J Smith✓ Value Signal
Mighty Danu
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Gavin Cromwell◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Thyer (SR:78, 3/1, 9-10) is the highest-rated horse in this field by a clear margin and carries a manageable weight. The standout signal is the 23% market inward move — the sharpest steam in the race — from a 3/1 starting point, indicating strong informed money despite a trainer (Ahern, 8%) and jockey (Roche, 6%) who are not headline operators. The form string 00-653 is uninspiring on paper but the visor application is new and the significant market support suggests connections expect it to unlock improvement. GoingFit:- is the key risk on good ground, but the market has clearly taken that into account and still backed it aggressively.
Each-way alternative: Nibras Rainbow.
Main danger: Nibras Rainbow — Nibras Rainbow (SR:64, 12/1, 8-7) has the sole DistFit:+ in the field, ran only 4 days ago showing peak readiness, has shortened 9% in the market, and the lightest weight in the field at 8-7 gives a significant physical edge in a 12-runner handicap.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string 00-653 shows Thyer has finished no better than 3rd in recent starts, with two last-place finishes — the new visor is unproven and first-time headgear can just as easily unsettle a horse a…
GoingFit marked as '-' (unknown/unproven on good ground at Curragh) is a concrete red flag: if the horse needs cut in the ground, today's conditions could simply not suit regardless of market confide…
Trainer Ahern at 8% and jockey Roche at 6% are notably low-strike-rate operators in this context — the combination gives the market steam less credibility, as neither has a record of placing horses t…
Guinelot (SR:73, 13/2) ran 1-4-5 recently and Blackjack Hills (SR:72, 15/2) has two wins in form — both are drifting out in the market but represent live dangers whose recent form is meaningfully mor…