Galway 13:12 RESULTED
26 Oct 2026

Last Monday SANSERV Rated Novice Chase

SANSERV Rated Novice Chase · 2m2f54y

Official Result

SANSERV Rated Novice Chase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Karl Des Tourelles (FR) Sean Flanagan · Philip Fenton
    1/1F
  2. 4/1
  3. 25/1
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 21 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Coral River silks
Coral River
Age 7 · 11-9
32219-
130
136
130OR
7
11-9
★★★★☆
—
6/1 9/2 11/2
Favourable weight of 11-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Begorra Man silks
Begorra Man
Age 6 · 11-5
2/222-
—
158
—
6
11-5
★★★★☆
—
11/2 9/2 11/2
Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
County Final silks
County Final
Age 6 · 11-5
22P08-
—
150
—
6
11-5
★★★☆☆
—
17/2 12/1 8/1
SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Karl Des Tourelles silks
Karl Des Tourelles FAV
Age 6 · 11-5
6466-2
130
134
130OR
6
11-5
★★★★☆
—
5/4 31/19 11/10
Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
King's Bucks silks
King's Bucks
Age 6 · 11-5
432P2-
—
154
—
6
11-5
★★★★☆
—
9/2 2/1 4/1
Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Maidenstreetprince silks
Maidenstreetprince
Age 9 · 11-5
33F32-
124
113
124OR
9
11-5
★★★☆☆
—
22/1 12/1 16/1
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
On Your Way silks
On Your Way
Age 8 · 11-5
41/12-
—
151
—
8
11-5
★★★☆☆
—
18/1 11/1 16/1
SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Coral River 6/1 open 6.00 11/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 Betfred
2 Begorra Man 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 Bet365
3 County Final 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 15.00 17/2 open 15.00 17/2 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 9/1 Paddy Power
4 Karl Des Tourelles 5/4 open 3.00 11/10 open 3.50 6/5 open 2.75 6/5 open 2.75 11/10 open 2.63 6/5 open 2.75 5/4 Bet365
5 King's Bucks 9/2 open 3.25 9/2 open 3.00 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.25 9/2 open 3.25 9/2 Bet365
6 Maidenstreetprince 22/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 25/1 Paddy Power
7 On Your Way 18/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Karl Des Tourelles

High conviction

Karl Des Tourelles owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (74) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/4 Philip Fenton Sean Flanagan
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

King's Bucks

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Henry de Bromhead
✓ Value Signal

On Your Way

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

18/1 · C Byrnes
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
74 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +28.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Karl Des Tourelles
73.8 5/4
2 5. King's Bucks
70.2 9/2
3 3. County Final
69.8 17/2
4 2. Begorra Man
68.8 11/2
5 7. On Your Way
63.5 18/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
County Final
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 6 · 11-5
5/4
★★★★☆ SR 134 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 6 · 11-5
9/2
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 6 · 11-5
11/2
★★★★☆ SR 158 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 7 · 11-9
6/1
★★★★☆ SR 136 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 6 · 11-5
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 150 🐾 —

SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 8 · 11-5
18/1
★★★☆☆ SR 151 🐾 —

SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
County Final
Confidence: Speculative

County Final (SR:150, 8/1) is the standout value play here. The 37% market shortening (Mkt:in37%) is the loudest signal in this field — strong, late money on a novice chaser at 8/1 demands respect. Harry Cobden's 22% career strike rate is the best jockey booking in the race by a significant margin, and DistFit:+ confirms he handles today's 2m2f trip. The tongue-tie (HG:t) suggests connections have identified a specific fix. Karl Des Tourelles is the favourite at 15/8 but carries only SR:134 — the lowest SR in a competitive field — and a form string of 6466-2 shows chronic vulnerability; the single runner-up finish doesn't override consistent midfield efforts. Each-way alternative: Begorra Man. Main danger: Karl Des Tourelles — Karl Des Tourelles is the market favourite at 15/8 and ran just 20 days ago (the freshest horse in the field), giving connections recent confidence, and even if SR:134 is modest he could exploit inexperienced rivals in a small novice field.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 22P08- includes a pulled-up and an 8th-place finish — County Final has not completed cleanly or competed at the business end in recent starts, a real jumping reliability concern over fenc…
  • Trainer E McNamara has a 10% strike rate from only 559 runners — significantly lower volume and lower conversion than rivals de Bromhead (16%) and Cromwell (11%), weakening the confidence behind the…
  • Begorra Man (SR:158, 6/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has hit the frame in all completed starts (2/222-), offering a more consistent profile than County Final at a shorter price.
  • 177 days off the track — County Final has not run since spring, and the tongue-tie being applied for the first time (or reapplied) on a horse returning from a long layover into a novice chase is an u…
Shortlist County Final, Begorra Man, Karl Des Tourelles
Each-way: Begorra Man Danger: Karl Des Tourelles

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m2f54y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Galway Track and setting