Lumenbourg arrives in solid shape, third last time out and second the run before, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Against that, the trainer's 1/20 record over the last 14 days is a worry, and he hasn't won since six starts back.
Form last 6146523
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR67RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sunday River has been placed in two of her last three, a third last time out and another third two starts back, but she is yet to win in that spell and sits 11th of 15 on our figures. She has run over today's trip and is fresh from a run ten days ago, though 135 lb from stall 15 looks a lot to ask.
Form last 60-33
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
48SR60RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Reposado heads our ratings at 75 against an official mark of 62, and he has run over today's trip and going, with a pair of seconds five and six starts back showing his ceiling. The risk is a poor recent run of eighth, sixth and two more eighths, plus 83 days off.
Form last 6228868
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR75RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fordham Flyer is winless in his last five, with a sixth last time out following two ninths, though a fourth four starts back and a second five starts back show he can still run to a level. He's back after just 10 days, has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 66 sits above his official 62, but he carries 134 lb from stall 14.
Form last 624-996
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR67RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Miss Rainbow is a leading danger, third last time out and a winner three starts back, with experience of today's trip and going; our rating of 67 backs her up. The main risk is a 48-day break, and she carries 134 lb from stall two.
Form last 6334183
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR67RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Quick back-up after a fifth last time out just seven days ago, Taaklam has run over today's trip and is a winner four starts back, which underpins our preference on overall profile. His last two runs before that were a seventh and a ninth, so consistency is the one reservation, but our figures rank him second of 15.
Form last 6761975
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR71RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Big Apple Jack was third last time out, and a winner three starts back, so he arrives in solid order after 18 days off, having run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 66 ranks him seventh of 15, though carrying 133 lb from stall 6 off an official mark of 60 leaves little margin.
Form last 6542143
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
70SR66RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Lesley's Boy is a leading danger, with our rating ranking him third of 15 and a second two starts back showing he can get involved; he has run over today's trip and going, and returns fresh after 18 days. The risk is he's yet to score in his last six, including a sixth last time out.
Form last 6588426
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR68RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Third last time out and a winner two starts back, Impressor arrives fit enough after 28 days and has run over today's trip and going before. Against that, he's been inconsistent earlier in the sequence, and 131 lb from draw nine leaves him a midfield proposition on our rating of 62.
Form last 6608013
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR62RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Solar Cooper has run over today's trip and won five starts back, but he's been a sixth, a ninth and a sixth since before going unplaced last time, and he returns after 30 days off the track. Carrying 130 lb from draw 5, he's rated 63 by us, eighth of 15, so a mid-pack finish looks likely.
Form last 6016960
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
31SR63RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Hurstwood won three and four starts back, but has faded to a fourth two starts back and a seventh last time out, and he's back quickly after ten days. He has run over today's trip and going, carries 129 lb from draw 13, and our rating of 63 ranks him ninth of 15.
Form last 6471147
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR63RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hares Bredth is winless in his last six, with a third five starts back the only top-three finish, and he sits 12th of 15 on our figures. A fourth last time out, only 10 days ago, and previous experience of today's trip and going offer a little encouragement from stall 1.
Form last 6636864
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR58RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five, Dinamo has finished eighth, sixth, seventh, fourth and ninth, so she's hard to fancy, and a quick return after six days doesn't suggest a sharp rise. She has run over today's trip and going, and drawn eight on 120 lb she sits 14th of 15 on our figures.
Form last 6947-68
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
26SR49RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Star Allure is winless in her last six, though she was third last time out, a fifth two starts back and another fifth three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going. Ranked 13th of 15 on our figures, she's hard to fancy from draw 12, but 25 days since her last run is no concern.
Form last 6800553
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
29SR52RPR42OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Miss Tino is winless in her last three, finishing fifth last time out, unplaced two starts back and a fifth three starts back, and quick back after nine days. She has run over today's trip and runs from stall four, but our figures rank her last of 15.
Form last 6505
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
21SR39RPR42OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Big Apple Jack owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4Michael & David EasterbyJoanna Mason
76%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Lumenbourg
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Julie Camacho✓ Value Signal
Miss Tino
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · David Thompson◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Big Apple Jack is the standout on SR at 70 — a full 9 points clear of the next-best Taaklam (SR:60) — and the market has backed that up emphatically with a 23% market move in (Mkt:in23%), the sharpest steam in the field. Trained by Michael & David Easterby at 10% strike rate with Joanna Mason (12%, 1,747 career rides) in the saddle, this is the yard's clear number-one runner over stablemate Beauty Choice. Carrying 9-7 with a recent form line of 542143 — a win last time out — and dropping a class (ClassMv:=, but fresh off a Class 6 win), the horse is operating in its comfort zone. The blinkers (HG:b) add a sharpening factor and the going is marked as ? which at least avoids a confirmed negative. At 3/1, the implied probability is strong, and the market confidence overrides the unproven soft ground flag.
Each-way alternative: Lumenbourg.
Main danger: Hares Bredth — Hares Bredth (SR:56, 13/2) has steamed in 30% from opening (Mkt:in30%), holds course form (Course:W1P2), carries a light 8-12, and Tim Easterby's booking of David Allan (13%, 2,252 rides) signals this is the yard's number-one pick over Valentine Catcher.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Course record is W0P1 — Big Apple Jack has tried Redcar before and failed to win, suggesting the track may not suit.
Going is marked '?' — Big Apple Jack's last win (Class 6) was on unspecified ground; if Redcar comes up soft in late October, blinkers debut form is untested in testing conditions.
23-runner field at Class 6 level creates significant traffic and positional risks for a horse that needs to travel kindly under blinkers for the first time.
Lumenbourg (SR:61) and Taaklam (SR:60) are both in the 60s on SR and both hold their form more recently; Taaklam ran just 7 days ago with peak fitness while Big Apple Jack is 18 days off a Class 6 ma…
ShortlistBig Apple Jack, Lumenbourg, Taaklam, Hares Bredth