Ebf "double Trigger" Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race) · 1m1f
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 124 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 128 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 128 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 131 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Caldo | 7/4 open 2.63 | 15/8 open 2.25 | 10/11 open 2.25 | 10/11 open 2.25 | 7/4 open 2.38 | 13/8 open 1.83 | 15/8 Paddy Power |
| 2 Charmed Boy | 18/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Dj Harry | 125/1 open 26.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 34.00 | 100/1 open 34.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Giant Dan Burn | 66/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 open 67.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Iron Stone Lad | 4/5 open 2.25 | 8/11 open 2.00 | 8/13 open 2.10 | 8/13 open 2.10 | 4/5 open 2.10 | 4/5 open 1.91 | 4/5 Bet365 |
| 6 Sardinero | 16/1 open 29.00 | 16/1 open 34.00 | 9/1 open 29.00 | 9/1 open 29.00 | 18/1 open 29.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 William Hill |
| 7 Sir Nicholas | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Sir Terry Hadley | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 20/1 open 29.00 | 20/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Skylar | 12/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 6/1 open 8.00 | 6/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Caldo owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 128 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Iron Stone Lad (SR 94, 5/6) is the market's clear choice and the Haggas/Doyle combination is the strongest in the field — Haggas at 23% strike rate with 2,164 runners and Doyle at 21% with 1,227, comfortably ahead of any rival yard. The market has shortened 13% since opening, signalling real money behind this horse on soft ground at a step down in class (ClassMv:↓1). While Caldo (SR 157) carries the superior Saturday Rating on paper, it has drifted 7% out of the market and is unproven on soft going and this trip — three unknowns that the money is clearly pricing in. Iron Stone Lad's form of 2-2 shows consistent placed form and a Haggas debutant/lightly-raced 2yo on soft at Redcar fits the stable's pattern of patient development. Each-way alternative: Caldo. Main danger: Caldo — Caldo's SR 157 is the highest in the field by a wide margin and a drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) could see it dominate if the drift merely reflects uncertainty about soft ground rather than a genuine form concern.