Hereford 15:27 RESULTED
Class 4 26 Oct 2026

Last Monday tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 2m53y

Official Result

tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Miss Kingston (IRE) Jonathan Burke · Alastair Ralph
    2/7F
  2. 9/2
  3. 6/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 21 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Miss Kingston silks
Miss Kingston FAV
Age 5 · 11-7
741-26
114
123
114OR
5
11-7
★★★★☆
—
3/10 1/2 3/10
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Auburn Avenue silks
Auburn Avenue
Age 5 · 11-0
—
—
130
—
5
11-0
★★★☆☆
—
28/1 14/1 15/1
SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Bath Taverness silks
Bath Taverness
Age 5 · 11-0
05-1UP
—
124
—
5
11-0
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 25/1 16/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Thatsnotmyname silks
Thatsnotmyname
Age 5 · 11-0
0-86
—
126
—
5
11-0
★★☆☆☆
—
100/1 FCST 40/1
SR 126 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 126 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Bonnie Lazarevic silks
Bonnie Lazarevic
Age 4 · 10-13
7
—
127
—
4
10-13
★★☆☆☆
—
80/1 40/1 50/1
SR 127 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 127 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Graceful Glance silks
Graceful Glance
Age 4 · 10-13
228-
—
156
—
4
10-13
★★★★☆
—
4/1 11/4 5/2
Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Lady of The Isles silks
Lady of The Isles
Age 4 · 10-13
6
—
126
—
4
10-13
★★☆☆☆
—
100/1 FCST 66/1
SR 126 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 126 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Mysteriosa silks
Mysteriosa
Age 4 · 10-13
0P-
—
123
—
4
10-13
★★☆☆☆
—
66/1 28/1 40/1
SR 123 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 123 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Nuptown Girl silks
Nuptown Girl
Age 4 · 10-13
—
—
142
—
4
10-13
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 14/1 22/1
SR 142 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 142 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Saxons Pride silks
Saxons Pride
Age 4 · 10-13
283-
—
150
—
4
10-13
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 FCST 4/1
SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Tangled Webb silks
Tangled Webb
Age 4 · 10-13
PP-5
—
120
—
4
10-13
★★☆☆☆
—
80/1 FCST 50/1
SR 120 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 120 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
West Hill Rosie silks
West Hill Rosie
Age 4 · 10-13
0-
—
129
—
4
10-13
★★★☆☆
—
66/1 28/1 40/1
SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Miss Kingston 3/10 open 1.67 2/5 open 1.50 3/10 open 1.57 3/10 open 1.57 1/3 open 1.57 2/5 open 1.50 2/5 Paddy Power
2 Auburn Avenue 28/1 open 15.00 25/1 15/1 open 19.00 15/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365
3 Bath Taverness 28/1 open 41.00 25/1 16/1 open 29.00 16/1 open 29.00 28/1 22/1 open 26.00 28/1 Bet365
4 Thatsnotmyname 100/1 open 81.00 66/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 66/1 open 41.00 100/1 Bet365
5 Bonnie Lazarevic 80/1 open 67.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 open 41.00 80/1 Bet365
6 Graceful Glance 4/1 open 3.75 7/2 open 4.33 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 4/1 Bet365
7 Lady of The Isles 100/1 open 126.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 80/1 80/1 66/1 100/1 Bet365
8 Mysteriosa 66/1 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 open 29.00 66/1 Bet365
9 Nuptown Girl 33/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 33/1 Bet365
10 Saxons Pride 8/1 open 5.00 8/1 open 6.00 4/1 4/1 17/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 17/2 William Hill
11 Tangled Webb 80/1 open 126.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 66/1 66/1 open 81.00 50/1 80/1 Bet365
12 West Hill Rosie 66/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 open 29.00 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Miss Kingston

Live signal

Miss Kingston owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (68) and market confidence (99). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/10 Alastair Ralph Jonathan Burke
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Graceful Glance

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Mrs Jane Williams
✓ Value Signal

Nuptown Girl

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Bernard Llewellyn
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
68 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +26.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
99 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Miss Kingston
69.1 3/10
2 6. Graceful Glance
68.7 4/1
3 10. Saxons Pride
65.1 8/1
4 9. Nuptown Girl
54.9 33/1
5 2. Auburn Avenue
54.7 28/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Miss Kingston
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 11-7
3/10
★★★★☆ SR 123 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 4 · 10-13
4/1
★★★★☆ SR 156 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

10
Age 4 · 10-13
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 150 🐾 —

SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Miss Kingston
Confidence: Medium

Miss Kingston (SR:123, 4/9) is a 4/9 favourite dropping two classes (ClassMv:↓2) with market confidence (Mkt:in7%) and a competent booking in Jonathan Burke (15%, 769 career rides). The class drop is the decisive factor: she steps down to Class 4 having operated at a higher level, and the 7lb weight advantage she carries over Graceful Glance (10-13 vs 11-7 is actually against her, but the class edge compensates). Crucially, Graceful Glance — the only horse with a clearly superior SR (156) — has drifted 13% (Mkt:out13%), is unproven at this trip (DistFit:?) and on this going (GoingFit:?), and her form reads 228- meaning her last run was a blank. Saxons Pride (SR:150) is massively out of favour with a 38% drift (Mkt:out38%) and has been off 209 days, making her a significant risk. Miss Kingston's in-running market support and class relief make her the standout selection despite a modest SR in isolation. Each-way alternative: Graceful Glance. Main danger: Graceful Glance — Graceful Glance has a clearly superior SR of 156 — the highest in the field by a wide margin — and if she adapts to both the trip (DistFit:?) and going (GoingFit:?) on debut at this track, her raw ability could simply overwhelm the field regardless of the 13% drift.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Miss Kingston's form reads 741-26, meaning her two most recent completed runs were a 2nd and 6th — she has not won since her last absence and her latest run (6th) shows no bounce back.
  • SR of 123 is the joint-lowest in the field; even after a class drop, Graceful Glance (SR:156), Saxons Pride (SR:150) and Nuptown Girl (SR:142) all rate significantly higher on ability.
  • Trainer Alastair Ralph strikes at only 13% — not a yard with a strong record converting short-priced favourites, adding execution risk at 4/9.
  • The MarkMv:+5 (raised 5lbs by the assessor) suggests the handicapper has not been kind following her latest effort, partially neutralising the class relief.
Shortlist Miss Kingston, Graceful Glance, Nuptown Girl
Each-way: Graceful Glance Danger: Graceful Glance

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m53y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Hereford Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade