Southwell (AW) 17:00 RESULTED
Class 6 26 Oct 2026

Last Monday All-weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)

All-weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 4f214y

Official Result

All-weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Auradue (GB) Donagh Murphy · Roy Bowring
    9/1
  2. 11/8F
  3. 7/1
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 21 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Bridget's Baby silks
Bridget's Baby
Age 3 · 9-9
6-7216
54
55
55
3
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 7/2 13/2
Bridget's Baby won two starts back and was second the run before that, so she has the ability to strike, and she has run over today's trip and on the going. The main risk is a 61-day absence after a sixth last time out, with 135 lb to carry from stall five.
AI verdict

SR 55 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Pivotal Terms silks
Pivotal Terms FAV
Age 3 · 9-8
250471
53
64
57
3
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
6/5 FCST 11/10
Won last time out and only nine days ago, so Pivotal Terms arrives fresh and in form, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 134 lb from stall two, she's our pick on overall profile, though a seventh two starts back keeps her honest.
AI verdict

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Beach Partee silks
Beach Partee
Age 3 · 9-6
334230
51
61
58
3
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 FCST 9/2
Beach Partee arrives fit after a run nine days ago and has been in the frame in four of his last six, including a second three starts back, while he has run over today's trip and going before. Yet to win in that spell, he must still shed 132 lb from stall seven, which is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Kipp Kelly silks
Kipp Kelly
Age 5 · 9-5
318325
50
48
52
5
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 5/1 14/1
Kipp Kelly was a fifth last time out, after a second two starts back and a third three starts back, but he returns from 216 days off and carries 131 lb from stall one. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 52 ranks him fifth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 48 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Great Success silks
Great Success
Age 3 · 9-3
545005
48
50
57
3
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1
Great Success is fresh from a run just 10 days ago and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 56 ranks him third of nine against an official mark of 48. The risk is a winless run in his last six, with a fifth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Auradue silks
Auradue
Age 4 · 9-2
66478
47
47
46
4
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 10/1 11/1
Winless in her last five, Auradue was eighth last time out, and a seventh and a fourth before that is hardly a sign of improvement, so she is hard to fancy as the eighth-ranked of nine on our figures. On the plus side, she has run over today's trip and going, and is back quickly after 11 days.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Coast silks
Coast
Age 7 · 9-0
053640
43
28
48
7
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 18/1 16/1
Winless in her last six, Coast was unplaced last time out 43 days ago, and a fourth two starts back is her best recent effort bar a third four runs ago. She has run over today's trip and going, but that is about all that helps.
AI verdict

SR 28 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Anglesey Lad silks
Anglesey Lad
Age 5 · 9-0
27-549
43
35
49
5
9-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
18/1 FCST 16/1
Anglesey Lad is yet to win in his last five, with a ninth last time out following a fourth two starts back, though he did finish second five starts back and has run over today's trip and going. Rated 48 by us, he's ranked sixth of nine, and returns from a 28-day break.
AI verdict

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

9
Petes Diamond silks
Petes Diamond
Age 3 · 9-0
807060
42
31
41
3
9-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 16/1 14/1
Petes Diamond is winless in his last six, with an unplaced effort last time out and a sixth two starts back his best finish, and he returns after 117 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, but a ranking of ninth of nine on our figures makes him hard to fancy from stall 3.
AI verdict

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Bridget's Baby 7/1 open 5.00 7/1 open 4.50 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.00 13/2 open 4.50 7/1 Bet365
2 Pivotal Terms 6/5 open 3.00 11/10 open 2.63 6/5 6/5 6/5 open 2.10 6/5 6/5 Bet365
3 Beach Partee 5/1 open 6.50 9/2 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365
4 Kipp Kelly 14/1 open 6.00 16/1 open 6.50 16/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 6.50 16/1 Paddy Power
5 Great Success 8/1 8/1 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 Bet365
6 Auradue 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 12/1 Bet365
7 Coast 18/1 16/1 open 29.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 18/1 Bet365
8 Anglesey Lad 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 16/1 16/1 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 Bet365
9 Petes Diamond 16/1 14/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Pivotal Terms

Speculative

Pivotal Terms owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/5 Iain Jardine Cara Tuke(7)
78% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Beach Partee

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Scott Dixon
✓ Value Signal

Anglesey Lad

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

18/1 · Scott Dixon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.8 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Pivotal Terms
55.0 6/5
2 3. Beach Partee
48.9 5/1
3 5. Great Success
43.2 8/1
4 1. Bridget's Baby
41.6 7/1
5 6. Auradue
41.2 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Pivotal Terms
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-8
6/5
★★★☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-6
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾 —

SR 61 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 3 · 9-9
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 55 🐾 —

SR 55 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-3
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾 —

SR 50 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-2
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾 —

SR 47 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 9-5
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾 —

SR 48 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-0
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 31 🐾 —

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

7
Age 7 · 9-0
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 28 🐾 —

SR 28 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 9-0
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 35 🐾 —

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Pivotal Terms
Confidence: Medium

Pivotal Terms (SR:64, 5/4) is the clear ability leader in this Class 6 sprint by a margin of at least 3 points over the next-best Beach Partee (SR:61), and the market has firmed 6% to reflect that confidence. The recent form figures 250471 show a last-time-out win, the horse has a course record of W1P1 at Southwell, and GoingFit:~ is adequate on this good all-weather surface. The weight of 9-8 is manageable and the trainer Iain Jardine operates at 12% overall. The one concern — DistFit:- — means Pivotal Terms has not proven at exactly this trip, but with a last-out win in hand and the best SR in the field by a clear margin, that risk is acceptable at the price. Each-way alternative: Beach Partee. Main danger: Beach Partee — Beach Partee (SR:61, 5/1) has been backed in 13%, carries the lowest weight of the leading trio at 9-6 and has had its mark cut by 12lb (MarkMv:-12), making it the most generously treated horse on ratings relative to its recent form despite the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- concerns.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:- is a concrete red flag — Pivotal Terms has no proven form at this exact Southwell sprint trip, meaning the last-out win may have come over a different distance that doesn't translate.
  • Jockey Cara Tuke has a weak 10% strike rate from only 41 rides, a thin book suggesting limited top-stable support, and her limited Southwell AW experience adds execution risk at a tight price of 5/4.
  • Beach Partee (SR:61) is only 3 points behind, has been freshened 9 days ago like the pick, carries 2lb less, and is drifting positively at 13% market support — if the SR gap closes on the day, the 5/…
  • Form figures 250471 include a '4' and a '7' in the last six runs before the last-out win, suggesting inconsistency; a bounce-back effort after a likely career-best run is a genuine risk at odds-on te…
Shortlist Pivotal Terms, Beach Partee, Auradue
Each-way: Beach Partee Danger: Beach Partee

🗺 The Course Class 6

4f214y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade