Betting.Bet Play Champion Tipster Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race) · 2m53y
Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 126 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 139 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 154 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 135 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Charles Darnay | 8/15 open 1.67 | 8/15 open 1.50 | 8/15 | 8/15 | 8/15 open 1.57 | 1/2 | 8/15 Bet365 |
| 2 Houndswood Willow | 7/2 open 8.50 | 7/2 open 9.00 | 7/2 open 8.00 | 7/2 open 8.00 | 7/2 open 8.50 | 7/2 open 8.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Jerseygeordie | 10/11 open 3.75 | 10/11 open 4.50 | 10/11 open 3.75 | 10/11 open 4.00 | 10/11 open 4.00 | 10/11 open 4.00 | 10/11 Bet365 |
| 4 Mick The Hat | 40/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Nicolai | 25/1 open 81.00 | 25/1 open 51.00 | 25/1 open 67.00 | 25/1 open 51.00 | 22/1 open 67.00 | 22/1 open 41.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Roly Mo | 17/2 open 17.00 | 8/1 open 15.00 | 17/2 open 15.00 | 17/2 open 15.00 | 17/2 open 15.00 | 17/2 open 15.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Sapphire Dream | 11/1 open 21.00 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 9/1 open 19.00 | 9/1 open 19.00 | 10/1 open 19.00 | 9/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Zipwire | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Guildhall Graduate | 15/2 open 26.00 | 15/2 open 19.00 | 15/2 open 21.00 | 15/2 open 21.00 | 8/1 open 23.00 | 15/2 open 17.00 | 8/1 William Hill |
| 10 Talka | 18/1 open 29.00 | 16/1 open 41.00 | 16/1 open 34.00 | 16/1 open 34.00 | 16/1 open 34.00 | 16/1 open 34.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Charles Darnay owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (92) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 139 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 154 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 135 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Charles Darnay carries the highest SR in the field at 165 — well clear of second-best Sapphire Dream (SR 154) and Guildhall Graduate (SR 148) — and the market has priced him accordingly at 8/15 with no drift signal, suggesting stable confidence. James Owen's 18% strike rate is solid for a National Hunt yard, and Jonathan Burke (15%, 769 career runners) is an experienced booking. The 8/15 implied price converts to roughly 60% after overround adjustment, and with this SR advantage in a juvenile maiden where the field is largely unexposed, there is nothing in the data to oppose him: no ClassMv concern (ClassMv:=), no GoingFit negative (GoingFit:? is neutral for a hurdling debutant), and the 32-day gap is routine. Sapphire Dream (SR 154, 15/2) is the clear second-best on ability but Jo Davis's 11% strike rate and the fact the horse ran 5th last time out leave a meaningful gap to the favourite. Each-way alternative: Sapphire Dream. Main danger: Guildhall Graduate — Guildhall Graduate (SR 148, 10/1) carries 7lb less than every other runner at 10-7, has shortened 47% in the market suggesting money is behind it, and Shane Quinlan is a light-weight claiming jockey whose allowance amplifies the weight advantage in what is an open maiden.