Southwell (AW) 19:30 RESULTED
Class 4 26 Oct 2026

Last Monday Awc Season 14 Has Begun Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Awc Season 14 Has Begun Fillies' Handicap Stakes · 6f16y

Official Result

Awc Season 14 Has Begun Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Zooella (IRE) Jason Watson · Ralph Beckett
    4/1
  2. 12/1
  3. 12/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 21 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Arabian Leopard silks
Arabian Leopard
Age 4 · 9-13
02331-
81
66
86
4
9-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 8/1 14/1
Arabian Leopard arrives a last-time-out winner, with a third, a third and a second before that, and she has run over today's trip, making her a leading threat from stall two. The one concern is a 396-day absence, with 139 lb to carry too.
AI verdict

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

2
Lady Roxby silks
Lady Roxby
Age 4 · 9-12
792242
80
86
85
4
9-12
★★★☆☆
—
4/1
Lady Roxby is bang in form after a second last time out, backed by a second four starts back and another three starts back, and she's fresh from a seven-day turnaround, having run over today's trip and going before. Yet to win in her last six, so finding that breakthrough is the main risk, especially carrying 138 lb.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Angel Love silks
Angel Love
Age 3 · 9-9
1-0731
78
74
80
3
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
12/1 11/2 12/1
Angel Love arrives fresh from a last-time-out win, having also won five starts back, and a third two starts back keeps her form solid after 25 days off. She has run over today's trip and going before, though she carries 135 lb from draw 6.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Powdering silks
Powdering
Age 6 · 9-9
373795
77
64
82
6
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 11/1 16/1
Powdering is winless in her last six, though a fifth last time out and thirds four and six starts back show she can pick up a cheque, and she has run over today's trip and going. Quick back-out after seven days and 135 lb hold her back, though our 82 rating ranks her fourth of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Zooella silks
Zooella
Age 3 · 9-8
4-1105
77
78
76
3
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 8/1 9/2
Zooella was a fifth last time out after a pair of wins three and four starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before, but she's unplaced two starts back and 32 days off. Carrying 134 lb from stall three, her rating of 76 ranks her eighth of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Handle With Care silks
Handle With Care
Age 4 · 9-8
-34713
76
66
80
4
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 12/1 14/1
Third last time out and a winner two starts back, Handle With Care has solid recent form and has run over today's trip and going, though a 34-day break and 134 lb from draw 10 temper things; our rating of 80 ranks her sixth of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Courageous Sioux silks
Courageous Sioux FAV
Age 3 · 9-6
5-11
75
81
75
3
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 9/2 4/1
Courageous Sioux arrives a double winner, successful last time out and two starts back after a fifth three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 132 lb from draw nine after 34 days off, she is hard to fancy, with our rating of 75 ranking her ninth of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Lunar Melody silks
Lunar Melody
Age 3 · 9-4
5-2505
73
71
78
3
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 8/1 13/2
Lunar Melody was fifth last time out, and she has a second four starts back, so she's consistent without cracking it, yet to win in her last five. She has run over today's trip and going and comes off a 30-day break, but 130 lb from stall eight and a mid-pack ranking of seventh of 11 hold her back.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Anaisa silks
Anaisa
Age 3 · 9-3
607340
72
51
83
3
9-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 16/1 25/1
Anaisa is a leading threat on our figures, with a third three starts back and a fourth two runs ago, and she has run over today's trip and going before after a 26-day break. The risk is that she is yet to win in her last six, and she was unplaced last time.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

10
Encore silks
Encore
Age 4 · 9-3
5-212
71
80
70
4
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 10/3 9/2
Hard to fancy on our figures, ranked tenth of eleven, with a speed rating of 64 and 129 lb to carry from stall 11. Still, she was second last time out, won two starts back and is fit after nine days, having run over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Fantasy Obsessor silks
Fantasy Obsessor
Age 4 · 8-8
527523
62
62
69
4
8-8
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 FCST 17/2
Fantasy Obsessor is yet to win in her last six starts, though a third last time out and a second two starts back show she is competitive, and she has run over today's trip and going. Ranked 11 of 11 on our figures, she is hard to fancy, but the yard is in form.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Arabian Leopard 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 Bet365
2 Lady Roxby 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 Bet365
3 Angel Love 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 6.50 12/1 Bet365
4 Powdering 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 16/1 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 18/1 William Hill
5 Zooella 9/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 9.00 5/1 open 9.00 5/1 Betfred
6 Handle With Care 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 14/1 18/1 William Hill
7 Courageous Sioux 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 9/2 9/2 4/1 open 5.50 9/2 5/1 Bet365
8 Lunar Melody 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 Bet365
9 Anaisa 28/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365
10 Encore 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 Bet365
11 Fantasy Obsessor 9/1 open 9.50 17/2 open 11.00 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 17/2 9/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Courageous Sioux

Speculative

Courageous Sioux owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 Clive Cox Billy Loughnane
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lady Roxby

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Michael Herrington
✓ Value Signal

Anaisa

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Tim Easterby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Courageous Sioux
58.1 5/1
2 2. Lady Roxby
55.4 4/1
3 5. Zooella
52.8 9/2
4 10. Encore
50.6 9/2
5 3. Angel Love
48.1 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Lady Roxby
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 9-12
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾 —

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-8
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 9-3
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-6
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-4
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 4 · 8-8
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-9
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 9-13
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

4
Age 6 · 9-9
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-8
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lady Roxby
Confidence: Speculative

Lady Roxby (SR:86, 7/2) holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field by a clear margin and has been backed in sharply — Mkt:in24% is the most significant market move here. She drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), which partially offsets the MarkMv:+10 concern, and Jack Mitchell (16% strike rate, 1902 runners) is the standout jockey booking from the Herrington yard, confirming she is the stable's #1 over stablemate Powdering who draws the 9% claimer. The 7-day turnaround from a yard with a 14% strike rate signals trainer confidence, and while GoingFit:~ and DistFit:~ are not ideal, the SR advantage of 5+ points over the next-best runners and the sustained market move make her the likeliest winner. Each-way alternative: Courageous Sioux. Main danger: Encore — Encore (SR:80, 7/2) is co-favourite, trained by William Haggas (23% strike rate), has DistFit:+ and a recent 5-212 form line showing consistent placing, and Tom Marquand's booking at 16% career strike rate adds further confidence — the main concern is GoingFit:? on AW Good, but if she handles it she is entirely capable of winning.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Lady Roxby's form figures (792242) show she has finished second three times recently without converting — a pattern of running into a place rather than winning, and today's competitive field may repe…
  • Courageous Sioux (SR:81, 9/2) has won 2 of 3 starts, holds a proven Southwell course win, is trained by a 17% strike-rate yard with Billy Loughnane (18% SR) aboard — a live rival Lady Roxby has no co…
  • GoingFit:~ and DistFit:~ are both unproven for Lady Roxby on Southwell's Fibresand — the surface is notoriously unique and horses without confirmed course aptitude frequently underperform regardless…
  • The MarkMv:+10 rise in handicap mark combined with the SR of 86 suggests she is now fully exposed to handicapper adjustment; Encore (SR:80, 7/2) is joint-favourite from a 23% William Haggas yard with…
Shortlist Lady Roxby, Courageous Sioux, Encore, Angel Love
Each-way: Courageous Sioux Danger: Encore

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f16y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade