Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Handicap Stakes · 1m13y
SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mo Anam Chara | 11/1 open 7.00 | 14/1 open 7.00 | 14/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 Paddy Power |
| 2 Toastmaster | 9/4 open 6.50 | 5/2 open 6.00 | 9/4 open 5.00 | 9/4 open 5.00 | 2/1 open 4.33 | 9/4 open 5.00 | 5/2 Paddy Power |
| 3 Mr Keble | 15/2 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 5.50 | 7/1 open 5.50 | 7/1 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Yimmna | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 Coral |
| 5 Galba | 9/1 open 9.00 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 8/1 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Sterling Fortune | 5/2 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 open 2.88 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 Coral |
| 7 Starlight Sami | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Vincenzo Bellini | 66/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 9 New Bay Star | 12/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Toastmaster owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Sterling Fortune (SR:78, 9/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field and arrives with the strongest combination of signals: Course:W1P1 at Southwell, DistFit:+ at this mile trip, and a last-time-out win (form 533401, rightmost digit = 1) just seven days ago showing peak fitness. Trainer James Tate runs at 18% and while this is a ClassMv:↑1 step, the same mark (MarkMv:=) means no penalty for that win. The market has it as a clear favourite at 9/4 and nothing in the field meaningfully challenges its combination of proven course form, distance fit, and recent winning momentum. Toastmaster (SR:84, 7/2) has the higher SR but posted a '9' last time out — a very poor finishing position — and is unproven at this trip (DistFit:?) on a going bucket it only handles moderately (GoingFit:~), so the SR advantage does not translate into a stronger case here. Each-way alternative: Yimmna. Main danger: Toastmaster — Toastmaster has the highest SR in the field at 84, is backed in 16% from opening with Billy Loughnane (18% career strike rate) in the saddle for the in-form Herrington yard (14%), and if the Fibresand surface suits him at this trip the raw ability edge could tell.