All-Weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 4f214y
SR 59 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 61 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 56 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 44 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 18 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Tomarlo | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 4/1 William Hill |
| 2 Midnight Lir | 11/4 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 open 3.25 | 11/4 open 3.25 | 11/4 open 3.25 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 3 Stash The Cash | 4/1 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 Paddy Power |
| 4 Fancy Dancer | 12/1 open 8.50 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Mister Moet | 11/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 26.00 | 10/1 open 23.00 | 10/1 open 23.00 | 11/1 open 23.00 | 11/1 open 23.00 | 12/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Ten Cuidado | 12/1 open 21.00 | 10/1 open 19.00 | 10/1 open 19.00 | 10/1 open 19.00 | 10/1 open 19.00 | 10/1 open 19.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Timebar | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Beautiful Rumour | 9/1 open 17.00 | 9/1 open 26.00 | 9/1 open 21.00 | 9/1 open 21.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Bishop's Glory | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 Paddy Power |
| 10 Lil Wade | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 67.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Midnight Lir owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 58 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 44 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Timebar (SR:56, 6/1, Wgt:9-0) is the lightest-weighted horse in the competitive SR bracket, carrying a full stone less than Tomarlo (9-9) and 9lb less than Midnight Lir (9-8) — a meaningful physical advantage in a 4f214y sprint. The market has backed it in 15%, the strongest directional move in the field among the credible runners, suggesting stable confidence. Beautiful Rumour's extraordinary 49% market move is eye-catching but the SR of 44 is well below the top trio and the Scott Dixon yard's #1 signal appears split across three runners with Mister Moet and Lil Wade also declared — Beautiful Rumour gets the nod as each-way given the market money, but Timebar's SR edge and lighter weight tip the balance. Both favourites — Tomarlo (Mkt:out12%, DistFit:-, GoingFit:-) and Midnight Lir (Mkt:out10%, DistFit:-, GoingFit:-, ran just 4 days ago) — are drifting and carry proven negative trip/going flags. Each-way alternative: Beautiful Rumour. Main danger: Tomarlo — Tomarlo holds the joint-top SR in the field (59) and carries only 9lb more than Timebar despite that ability edge, and if the drift is simply market noise rather than a genuine negative the Candlish yard's 17% strike rate gives it every chance.