Aja Novice Flat Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Riders With 3 Wins Or Fewer At Start Of Season) · 1m3f179y
SR 58 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 6/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 57 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
SR 55 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 44 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 19 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Good Onya Mate | 13/2 open 13.00 | 6/1 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Kotari | 11/10 open 4.00 | 6/5 open 4.33 | 5/4 open 4.00 | 5/4 open 4.00 | 6/5 open 4.00 | 5/4 open 2.88 | 5/4 Coral |
| 3 Glitter Code | 13/2 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 4.50 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Nelson Gate | 22/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Si White | 10/1 open 9.00 | 17/2 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 6 A Daughters Love | 9/1 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 5.00 | 9/1 open 6.00 | 9/1 open 6.00 | 17/2 open 6.00 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Wrist Art | 8/1 open 4.50 | 8/1 open 4.00 | 17/2 open 4.33 | 17/2 open 4.33 | 17/2 open 4.33 | 8/1 open 4.33 | 17/2 Coral |
| 8 Port of Entry | 50/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Molly Valentine | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 28/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Cougar | 40/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Power of Prayer | 12/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Caledonian Dream | 28/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Freewheelin | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 40/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Kotari owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 67 suggests ability but 6/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 55 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
SR 57 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Good Onya Mate (SR:58, 6/1) has steamed in 28% in the market — the sharpest move in the field bar Kotari — and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) carrying 11-5, which is the joint-top weight but manageable given that SR. Michael Bell at 13% strike rate with a horse the market is clearly backing late is a strong combination. Both DistFit and GoingFit are unknown (?) rather than negative, meaning the data does not oppose the pick on trip or ground, and the form string's recent '7' and '4' show improvement. The 28% market move in a low-grade amateur handicap with only 13 runners is a significant signal that connections have targeted this race. Each-way alternative: Kotari. Main danger: Kotari — Kotari (SR:67, 6/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin, has steamed in 33%, drops two classes (ClassMv:↓2) off a mark 17lb lower than its last win (MarkMv:-17), and while DistFit:- is a concern at this trip, the class relief and market confidence make it the most likely alternative winner.