Redcar 13:55 RESULTED
Class 3 26 Oct 2026

Last Monday Wear Your Poppy With Pride Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)

Wear Your Poppy With Pride Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race) · 1m2f1y

Official Result

Wear Your Poppy With Pride Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Merci Monsieur (GER) P. J. McDonald · Andrew Balding
    15/8
  2. 14/1
  3. 13/8F
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 21 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Guthrum silks
Guthrum
Age 5 · 9-8
97
—
120
—
5
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
250/1 100/1 200/1
SR 120 suggests ability but 250/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 120 suggests ability but 250/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
The Resdev Tyke silks
The Resdev Tyke
Age 5 · 9-8
—
—
148
—
5
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
12/1 8/1 12/1
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Duke Of Ormonde silks
Duke Of Ormonde
Age 3 · 9-4
—
—
135
—
3
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 9/1 16/1
SR 135 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 135 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Eagleonthebalcony silks
Eagleonthebalcony
Age 3 · 9-4
0
—
121
—
3
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
200/1 50/1 150/1
SR 121 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 121 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Merci Monsieur silks
Merci Monsieur
Age 3 · 9-4
35-
—
153
—
3
9-4
★★★★☆
—
2/1 28/15 7/4
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Nascondino silks
Nascondino FAV
Age 3 · 9-4
742
79
85
79OR
3
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
2/1 9/4 2/1
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Rowlf silks
Rowlf
Age 3 · 9-4
4
—
147
—
3
9-4
★★★★☆
—
9/2 7/4 9/2
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

8
Wadacre Icon silks
Wadacre Icon
Age 3 · 9-4
24
—
153
—
3
9-4
★★★★☆
—
7/2 9/2 7/2
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

9
Gallus Millie silks
Gallus Millie
Age 6 · 9-3
—
—
123
—
6
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
80/1 50/1 66/1
SR 123 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 123 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Corallience silks
Corallience
Age 3 · 8-13
6-070
70
45
70OR
3
8-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 20/1 22/1
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

11
Sergeeva silks
Sergeeva
Age 3 · 8-13
77
—
126
—
3
8-13
★★★☆☆
—
200/1 100/1 150/1
SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Guthrum 250/1 open 201.00 200/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 151.00 200/1 open 151.00 200/1 open 151.00 200/1 open 151.00 250/1 Bet365
2 The Resdev Tyke 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365
3 Duke Of Ormonde 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 Bet365
4 Eagleonthebalcony 200/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 67.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 67.00 150/1 open 67.00 200/1 Bet365
5 Merci Monsieur 2/1 open 3.75 15/8 open 4.50 7/4 open 2.87 7/4 open 2.88 2/1 open 4.00 15/8 open 3.50 2/1 Bet365
6 Nascondino 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.50 9/4 Coral
7 Rowlf 9/2 open 3.75 5/1 open 2.75 5/1 open 3.50 5/1 open 3.50 5/1 open 3.25 9/2 open 3.25 5/1 Paddy Power
8 Wadacre Icon 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 Bet365
9 Gallus Millie 80/1 open 67.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 80/1 Bet365
10 Corallience 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 22/1 open 29.00 25/1 Bet365
11 Sergeeva 200/1 open 151.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 126.00 150/1 open 126.00 150/1 open 126.00 150/1 open 126.00 200/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Wadacre Icon

Live signal

Wadacre Icon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (85) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Charlie Johnston Jason Hart
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Merci Monsieur

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Andrew Balding
✓ Value Signal

Gallus Millie

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Simon Waugh
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Wadacre Icon
71.2 7/2
2 5. Merci Monsieur
71.0 2/1
3 7. Rowlf
68.2 9/2
4 2. The Resdev Tyke
61.6 12/1
5 3. Duke Of Ormonde
57.8 16/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Merci Monsieur
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 9-4
2/1
★★★★☆ SR 153 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 3 · 9-4
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-4
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 153 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Age 3 · 9-4
9/2
★★★★☆ SR 147 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 5 · 9-8
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 148 🐾 —

SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-4
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 135 🐾 —

SR 135 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

Drifters Drifted — market cooling

No drifters in this race.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Merci Monsieur
Confidence: Speculative

Merci Monsieur (SR 153, 5/2) shares the joint-highest SR in the field and carries only 9-4 — a fair weight for his ability — while stepping DOWN one class (ClassMv:↓1), which is a tangible advantage in a novice stakes. The market has backed him in 10% since opening, pointing to informed confidence. Andrew Balding (18% career strike rate, 3140 runners) is a top trainer, and P.J. McDonald (14%, 1526) is an experienced booking. The 408-day absence is the principal concern, but the drop in class and market support suggest connections believe the horse is ready, and his last two runs (form 35-) show he was mixing it at a higher level. Each-way alternative: Wadacre Icon. Main danger: Wadacre Icon — Wadacre Icon (SR 153, 4/1) matches Merci Monsieur on SR, has been backed in 23% — the strongest market move in the field — and his form (24) at the same class (ClassMv:=) shows recent competitive experience that the long-absent Merci Monsieur cannot match.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 408-day absence is extreme — Balding's runners returning after 12+ months win at a significantly lower rate, and there is no prep run to confirm the horse has trained through the layoff cleanly.
  • Rowlf (SR:147, 4/1→9/2 drifted 60%) represents a serious threat from the powerful Haggas/Doyle combo on just 29 days rest, and the wide drift on Rowlf may reflect going/trip doubts rather than lack o…
  • Wadacre Icon matches Merci Monsieur on SR (153) with a recent race under his belt (30 days), has been backed in 23%, and his form figures of 24 show consistent competitiveness — he arrives race-fit w…
  • Merci Monsieur's form of 35- (the dash indicating a non-completion or pulled up last time) at a higher class level is not straightforwardly encouraging; a horse that did not finish on its final start…
Shortlist Merci Monsieur, Wadacre Icon, Rowlf
Each-way: Wadacre Icon Danger: Wadacre Icon

🗺 The Course Class 3

1m2f1y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Redcar Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade