Perennial Freight Handicap · 1m4f0y
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Daboya | 5/1 open 5.50 | — | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Marmeladova | 17/2 open 7.00 | — | 17/2 open 6.50 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Merlin The Wizard | 11/2 open 8.00 | — | 5/1 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 9.00 | 5/1 open 9.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Expound | 12/1 open 11.00 | — | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Churchwarden | 11/4 | — | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 6 Rakki | 3/1 | — | 10/3 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 10/3 Coral |
| 7 Berto Ramirez | 13/2 open 8.00 | — | 15/2 | 15/2 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 15/2 | 15/2 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Churchwarden owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Daboya (SR:84, 9/2) is one of the two joint-highest rated runners and has the standout advantage of proven course form (W1P1 at Tramore) combined with a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground. The form string 055118 shows a recent win (rightmost digit 8 is the last run — actually reading right-to-left: last run=8, prior=1, prior=1, showing a sharp upswing in form) with back-to-back wins in the sequence before the latest run. Carrying 10-4 is a weight concern, but at SR:84 it leads the field alongside Merlin The Wizard, and the trainer R Donohoe only fields runners when primed — a 3-day turnaround with blinkers applied suggests the yard is attacking this with intent. No horse in the field has both course familiarity and going confirmation to the same degree. Each-way alternative: Merlin The Wizard. Main danger: Merlin The Wizard — Merlin The Wizard matches Daboya at SR:84, carries 3lb less (10-1 vs 10-4), and has steamed in 17% in the market — the strongest market move in the field — suggesting informed confidence, even if distance and going fit are unconfirmed.