Ripon 14:20 RESULTED
Class 2 15 Aug 2026

Saturday 15 August Racing For Tamara Ripon Hornblower EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Racing For Tamara Ripon Hornblower EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 0m6f0y

Official Result

Racing For Tamara Ripon Hornblower EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Rogue Jewel (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · Edward Bethell
    5/6F
  2. 9/4
  3. 4/1
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Classy Jaguar silks
Classy Jaguar
Age 2 · 9-7
78
125
2
9-7
150/1 80/1 100/1
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Does Mary Know silks
Does Mary Know
Age 2 · 9-7
6
153
2
9-7
5/2 5/2 9/4
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Green Bay Dream silks
Green Bay Dream
Age 2 · 9-7
2
149
2
9-7
5/1 4/1 5/1
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Taj Mahal Palace silks
Taj Mahal Palace
Age 2 · 9-7
7
125
2
9-7
28/1 33/1 22/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Rogue Jewel silks
Rogue Jewel
Age 2 · 9-6
1
161
2
9-6
4/6 8/13 2/3
Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Classy Jaguar 150/1 open 101.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 125/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 150/1 Bet365
2 Does Mary Know 5/2 5/2 5/2 5/2 9/4 open 3.50 5/2 Bet365
3 Green Bay Dream 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 Bet365
4 Taj Mahal Palace 28/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 28/1 Bet365
5 Rogue Jewel 4/6 4/6 open 1.62 4/6 open 1.62 4/6 open 1.62 4/6 open 1.62 4/6 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Rogue Jewel

High conviction

Rogue Jewel owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (89) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/6 Edward Bethell Daniel Tudhope
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Does Mary Know

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Eve Johnson Houghton
✓ Value Signal

Classy Jaguar

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

150/1 · Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
89 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +34.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
97 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.3 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Rogue Jewel
73.9 4/6
2 2. Does Mary Know
72.3 5/2
3 3. Green Bay Dream
71.9 5/1
4 1. Classy Jaguar
53.0 150/1
5 4. Taj Mahal Palace
50.6 28/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Rogue Jewel
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 2 · 9-6
4/6
★★★★☆ SR 161 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 2 · 9-7
5/2
★★★★☆ SR 153 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 2 · 9-7
5/1
★★★★☆ SR 149 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Rogue Jewel
Confidence: High

Rogue Jewel (SR 161, 4/7) is the standout on pure ability — rated 8 points clear of the next-best Does Mary Know (SR 153) and 36 points ahead of the remaining pair. A last-time-out winner stepping up just one class (ClassMv:↑1) is the safest profile in a novice stakes, and connections are elite: Edward Bethell at 15% strike rate paired with Daniel Tudhope at 16% is among the most lethal booking combinations in Northern racing. The light 9-6 weight — 1lb fewer than rivals — is a minor bonus in a tight five-runner field. The short price is fully justified by the SR dominance and connections quality; there is no credible market drift to concern us. Each-way alternative: Does Mary Know. Main danger: Does Mary Know — Does Mary Know (SR 153, 5/2) is the only runner within striking distance on the SR scale, holds its class from last time (ClassMv:=), and Eve Johnson Houghton's stable is capable of placing well-prepared juveniles — if Rogue Jewel encounters any trouble in running in this small field, Does Mary Know is the one to capitalise.

Case against 4
  • Does Mary Know (SR 153, 5/2) ran only once and showed form rated just 8 points below Rogue Jewel — a lightly-raced improver with a strong yard (Eve Johnson Houghton) could close that gap at second st…
  • Green Bay Dream drifted 40% in the market, but Rogue Jewel at 4/7 offers almost no margin for error — any underperformance versus SP expectations makes this a poor value proposition in a novice where…
  • Rogue Jewel has had 21 days off since its last run; in a five-runner novice field with multiple rivals also on light form, even a slight fitness or sharpness question could matter at this short price.
  • Class rise of ↑1 in a novice stakes is not always straightforward — Does Mary Know and Green Bay Dream both carry the same weight (9-7) and have unexposed profiles, meaning Rogue Jewel's SR advantage…
Shortlist Rogue Jewel, Does Mary Know, Green Bay Dream
Each-way: Does Mary Know Danger: Does Mary Know

🗺 The Course Class 2

0m6f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Ripon Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade