Lingfield (AW) 18:46 RESULTED
Class 5 15 Aug 2026

Saturday 15 August Follow @Attheraces On Instagram Handicap Stakes

Follow @Attheraces On Instagram Handicap Stakes · 0m6f1y

Official Result

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Confirmed
  1. Winner Logi Bear (IRE) Luke Morris · John Butler
    9/4F
  2. 10/1
  3. Third Kimbara (GB)
    11/4
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17:30–20:04 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Hierarchy silks
Hierarchy
Age 7 · 9-11
793406
72
72
82
7
9-11
5/1 17/2 5/1
Winless in his last six starts, Hierarchy nevertheless catches the eye on his rating of 82 — ten pounds clear of his official mark — and returns in good time on 19 days' rest, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour; the worry is that recent form has been patchy at best.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Sir Alfie silks
Sir Alfie
Age 3 · 9-10
890894
75
61
85
3
9-10
22/1 12/1 20/1
Winless in his last six starts, Sir Alfie nonetheless catches the eye as the top-rated runner in this field, and his experience over today's trip and going is a useful foundation; a fourth last time out represents his best recent effort, and 21 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

3
Riley Rocks silks
Riley Rocks
Age 3 · 9-7
116040
72
73
74
3
9-7
4/1 32/17 10/3
Riley Rocks won twice in his last six starts but has been unplaced in two of his three most recent outings, so his form is patchy; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 133 lb from stall three gives him a workable profile, though consistency remains the question.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Perdy In Paris silks
Perdy In Paris
Age 3 · 9-7
33-20
72
64
66
3
9-7
16/1 10/1 16/1
Winless in her last four starts, Perdy In Paris does bring distance and going experience to the table, and 18 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh, but her recent unplaced effort is a concern and a rating of 66 leaves her with ground to make up on stronger rivals here.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Kimbara silks
Kimbara
Age 3 · 9-7
446230
72
78
78
3
9-7
9/4 11/4 9/4
Third two starts back and second three starts back, Kimbara shaped with plenty of promise during that spell and our rating of 78 suggests he is well treated on official figures; the risk is that he has been winless in his last six starts and was unplaced last time out.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Logi Bear silks
Logi Bear
Age 3 · 9-6
-66292
71
80
79
3
9-6
7/2 32/17 10/3
Logi Bear has rattled up two seconds in his last five starts and arrives in good shape on 25 days' rest, with experience of today's trip and conditions working in his favour; the main risk is that he remains winless and will need to convert that placed form at the crucial moment.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Punchbowl Flyer silks
Punchbowl Flyer
Age 9 · 9-5
702116
66
58
65
9
9-5
22/1 12/1 20/1
Punchbowl Flyer showed back-to-back wins three and four starts back, but a sixth last time out leaves him hard to fancy at the foot of our rankings, and a mark of 66 with 131 lb to carry only adds to the task.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Far Too Fizzy silks
Far Too Fizzy
Age 3 · 8-10
173540
61
62
64
3
8-10
17/2 11/2 8/1
Ranked bottom of eight on our figures and winless in his last five starts, Far Too Fizzy faces a stiff ask, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a fresh 21-day break carrying 122 lb from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Hierarchy 5/1 open 9.50 5/1 open 11.00 5/1 open 10.00 5/1 open 10.00 5/1 open 10.00 5/1 Bet365
2 Sir Alfie 22/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 Bet365
3 Riley Rocks 4/1 7/2 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 10/3 open 2.88 4/1 Bet365
4 Perdy In Paris 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 Bet365
5 Kimbara 9/4 open 6.00 5/2 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 3.75 11/4 William Hill
6 Logi Bear 7/2 open 2.88 10/3 open 3.00 10/3 open 3.00 10/3 open 3.00 10/3 open 3.25 7/2 Bet365
7 Punchbowl Flyer 22/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 Bet365
8 Far Too Fizzy 17/2 open 7.00 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Kimbara

Speculative

Kimbara owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Richard Spencer Jack Callan
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Riley Rocks

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Dylan Cunha
✓ Value Signal

Sir Alfie

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Charlie Pike
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Kimbara
54.2 9/4
2 3. Riley Rocks
53.6 4/1
3 6. Logi Bear
51.9 7/2
4 1. Hierarchy
47.7 5/1
5 8. Far Too Fizzy
43.3 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Riley Rocks
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 9-7
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-6
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-7
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 9-11
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 8-10
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-7
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Riley Rocks
Confidence: Speculative

Riley Rocks (SR 73, 3/1) combines the most convincing alignment of signals in this field: proven DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ at today's trip and going bucket, dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) off a mark already trimmed 3lb (MarkMv:-3), and the market has shortened 7% since opening — not a dramatic move but steady money for a horse that showed two wins in its recent form string ('116040', meaning back-to-back wins two runs ago). Trainer Dylan Cunha at 10% and Stevie Donohoe at 11% are modest but not irrelevant, and weight at 9-7 is fair for an SR of 73. The key edge over market leader Logi Bear is that Logi Bear is actively opposed on distance (DistFit:-) and going (GoingFit:-) and has drifted 24% in the market — a damning combination. Riley Rocks is the only shortlisted horse with confirmed distance and going fitness alongside a class drop and market support. Each-way alternative: Kimbara. Main danger: Kimbara — Kimbara carries the highest SR in the field at 78, drops a class, has market support (in 8%), and trainer Richard Spencer at 16% and Jack Callan at 14% are the strongest connections strike-rate pairing on the card — if the unknown GoingFit:? resolves positively on this all-weather surface, it is fully capable of winning.

Case against 3 clamped
  • Form string '116040' shows three consecutive non-wins (0, 4, 0) after the back-to-back wins — Riley Rocks has regressed sharply and the class drop may reflect declining ability rather than an exploit…
  • Kimbara (SR:78) holds a 5-point SR advantage over Riley Rocks, has drifted only marginally (in8%), and trainer Richard Spencer runs at 16% — a superior strike rate to Cunha's 10%.
  • Trainer Dylan Cunha at 10% and jockey Stevie Donohoe at 11% are both below-average operators at Lingfield AW, where sharper connections (Butler, Spencer) dominate the market.
Shortlist Riley Rocks, Kimbara, Hierarchy, Logi Bear
Each-way: Kimbara Danger: Kimbara

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m6f1y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Lingfield (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade