Scone Palace International Horse Trials National Hunt Flat Race (Conditional & Amateur Jockeys' Race) (GBB Race) · 2m0f47y
SR 88 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Captain Mainwaring | 17/2 open 10.00 | — | 15/2 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Dark Tide Rising | 17/2 open 15.00 | — | 17/2 open 17.00 | 17/2 open 17.00 | 17/2 open 17.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Downtown Nashville | 11/8 open 2.50 | — | 11/8 open 2.25 | 11/8 open 2.25 | 11/8 open 2.25 | 5/4 | 11/8 Bet365 |
| 4 Game Shadow | 6/5 open 1.91 | — | 6/4 open 2.00 | 6/4 open 2.00 | 11/8 open 2.00 | 5/4 open 2.00 | 6/4 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Downtown Nashville owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (64) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 10-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 88 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Downtown Nashville (SR 115, 11/10) is the clear class standout in this four-runner field, rating 15 points clear of the next best Game Shadow (SR 100) and a full 27-31 points above the bottom two. Trainer Olly Murphy operates at a 20% career strike rate from 821 runners — a strong benchmark for conditional/amateur NHF races — and jockey Lewis Saunders (14% from 66 rides) is a competent booking. Crucially, the market has shortened 7% since opening, confirming that informed money is landing on this horse at a price that already implies favouritism. The 2P-43 form string shows inconsistency, including a pull-up, but the 43 in recent runs on the flat suggests the horse is in a workable rhythm heading into a weak Class 5 contest. Each-way alternative: Game Shadow. Main danger: Game Shadow — Game Shadow (SR 100, 11/8) has drifted 17% in the market which is a concern, but at 11/8 the market still makes it the second favourite and only 78 days off a run — if Downtown Nashville's pull-up history resurfaces over this 2m trip, Game Shadow's fresher profile and second-best SR could exploit it.