TPT Fire Handicap Stakes · 0m7f0y
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Great Acclaim | 4/1 open 5.50 | — | 4/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 9/2 | 9/2 Betfred |
| 2 Scoville | 15/8 open 3.50 | — | 15/8 open 3.50 | 15/8 open 3.50 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 13/8 open 3.25 | 2/1 William Hill |
| 3 Witch Hunter | 11/1 open 15.00 | — | 11/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 Betfred |
| 4 Havana Pusey | 20/1 open 15.00 | — | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 Betfred |
| 5 Stellar Sunrise | 17/2 open 9.00 | — | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 Betfred |
| 6 Addison Grey | 6/1 open 5.50 | — | 13/2 open 5.50 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 13/2 Coral |
| 7 Humam | 17/2 | — | 8/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Christian David | 8/1 open 8.00 | — | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 6.50 | 15/2 open 6.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Great Acclaim owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (57) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Great Acclaim (SR 103, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in this field by a clear margin and has steamed in 15% in the market — the same magnitude of market move as Witch Hunter but from a far more credible SR base. Carrying 10-2 is a concern, but the weight edge over Scoville (9-11, SR 99) is modest and Great Acclaim's SR advantage over the rest of the field is meaningful. Course form of W1P1 at Newbury confirms it acts here, and while GoingFit is only moderate (~ not +), good-to-firm is not a ground it has demonstrably failed on. The MarkMv:+7 is a negative signal — running off a mark 7lb above its last win — but the 15% market support suggests connections believe the horse is operating at a level that justifies the higher mark. Each-way alternative: Scoville. Main danger: Scoville — Scoville (SR 99, 9/4) carries a favourable 9-11, has a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good-to-firm surface, is trained by William Haggas (21% strike rate) with Tom Marquand aboard, and represents the market's preferred option — if it has simply needed the run after a 15-day break, its ceiling is close to Great Acclaim's.