Doncaster 15:37 RESULTED
Class 5 15 Aug 2026

Saturday 15 August Phase Eight At Meadowhall Handicap Stakes

Phase Eight At Meadowhall Handicap Stakes · 0m7f6y

Official Result

Phase Eight At Meadowhall Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Documenting (GB) Jack Mitchell · Kevin & Lauren Frost
    11/2
  2. 11/1
  3. 10/1
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Rock Opera silks
Rock Opera
Age 6 · 9-9
341290
75
81
87
6
9-9
4/1 15/2 7/2
Rock Opera shaped well when second three starts back and a winner four starts back, and he returns fit on 21 days' rest with experience over today's trip and going; the worry is that his last two runs have been unplaced and ninth, suggesting he needs to bounce back sharply under 135 lb.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Imperial Guard silks
Imperial Guard
Age 5 · 9-9
885111
75
82
74
5
9-9
5/1 7/2 9/2
Imperial Guard has winning form in recent starts — a hat-trick of wins — but our figures rank him tenth of thirteen here, and carrying 135 lb from stall 11 makes this a stiff ask against stronger company.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Documenting silks
Documenting
Age 13 · 9-8
5-7020
74
75
89
13
9-8
8/1 17/2 8/1
Documenting shaped with promise two starts back when runner-up, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions, making him hard to dismiss as the top-rated runner in the field despite being winless in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Bright silks
Bright
Age 6 · 9-7
-00787
73
59
86
6
9-7
18/1 16/1 14/1
Rated 86 by us against an official mark of 73, Bright looks significantly ahead of the assessor and represents a live threat from stall nine at his current weight; the risk is that he has been winless in his last five starts and must find a sharper turn of foot.
AI verdict

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

5
Thapa VC silks
Thapa VC
Age 8 · 9-6
432511
72
81
79
8
9-6
8/1 9/2 8/1
Thapa VC brings back-to-back wins into this, though a fifth three starts back tempers enthusiasm; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 132 lb from stall 12, and our rating of 79 suggests he holds his own against this field.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Bella Bisbee silks
Bella Bisbee
Age 5 · 9-6
315028
72
61
76
5
9-6
12/1 16/1 11/1
Bella Bisbee shaped with promise when second two starts back, and she has experience over today's trip and going in her favour, but a disappointing eighth last time out and a relatively lofty 132 lb ask present real questions here.
AI verdict

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

7
Nyman silks
Nyman
Age 4 · 9-6
440643
72
75
85
4
9-6
15/2 6/1 7/1
Nyman has been knocking on the door, finishing third last time out and running with some consistency in recent starts, and his experience over today's trip and going counts in his favour at a mark of 72, suggesting he could be flattered by that assessment; the worry is he remains yet to win in his last six outings.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Criminal Shore silks
Criminal Shore
Age 4 · 9-6
841060
72
52
79
4
9-6
40/1 33/1 28/1
Criminal Shore won four starts back but has been unplaced in two of his last three outings, so recent form is a concern; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 132 lb from stall 13, and our rating of 79 suggests a shade of untapped potential.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

9
Sunriseontheboyne silks
Sunriseontheboyne
Age 4 · 9-4
806078
70
58
74
4
9-4
SP 18/1 16/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 11th of 13 on our figures, Sunriseontheboyne offers little encouragement, though he has run over today's trip before and returns on a quick 14-day turnaround suggesting he is fit enough.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
War Howl silks
War Howl
Age 4 · 9-3
900009
69
69
74
4
9-3
9/2 11/2 4/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked last on our figures, War Howl faces a stiff task here; a run 39 days ago leaves fitness open to question, though he has run over today's distance and going before and carries a workable 129 lb.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
The Childe Of Hale silks
The Childe Of Hale
Age 4 · 9-0
806-90
66
52
75
4
9-0
20/1 18/1 16/1
Winless in his last five starts and returning from a 73-day absence, The Childe Of Hale faces a stiff task, though he has run over today's trip and going before and our rating of 75 offers mild encouragement from stall three carrying 126 lb.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

12
Age Of Baroque silks
Age Of Baroque
Age 5 · 8-13
839452
65
69
74
5
8-13
10/1 13/2 10/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 12 of 13 on our figures, Age Of Baroque faces a stiff task here, though a return to today's distance and going at least ticks a box; a 70-day absence adds further doubt.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Starliner silks
Starliner
Age 5 · 8-10
388226
62
72
75
5
8-10
12/1 10/1 9/1
Starliner has shown consistency at this level with back-to-back runner-up finishes two and three starts back, yet a sixth last time out and winless in recent starts raises questions; distance and going experience helps, and he returns on a quick turnaround of 14 days from stall four carrying 122 lb.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Rock Opera 4/1 open 9.00 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.50 4/1 open 9.50 7/2 open 8.50 9/2 Coral
2 Imperial Guard 5/1 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 5/1 open 5.00 9/2 open 4.50 11/2 Coral
3 Documenting 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 Bet365
4 Bright 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 18/1 Bet365
5 Thapa VC 8/1 open 5.50 17/2 open 5.50 8/1 open 5.50 8/1 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 Coral
6 Bella Bisbee 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 19.00 12/1 Bet365
7 Nyman 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.00 15/2 Bet365
8 Criminal Shore 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
9 Sunriseontheboyne 16/1 open 21.00 18/1 18/1 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 18/1 Coral
10 War Howl 9/2 open 7.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 Coral
11 The Childe Of Hale 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 18/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 19.00 20/1 Bet365
12 Age Of Baroque 10/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 Coral
13 Starliner 12/1 open 12.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Nyman

Speculative

Nyman owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (66). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/2 Roger Fell Cian Horgan(5)
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rock Opera

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Richard & Peter Fahey
✓ Value Signal

Criminal Shore

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · David O'Meara
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +14.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
67 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Nyman
52.1 15/2
2 1. Rock Opera
51.3 4/1
3 5. Thapa VC
51.1 8/1
4 2. Imperial Guard
48.9 5/1
5 3. Documenting
47.8 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Imperial Guard
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 9-9
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 9-3
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 9-9
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 9-6
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 13 · 9-8
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 8 · 9-6
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 5 · 8-13
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 9-6
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

13
Age 5 · 8-10
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 6 · 9-7
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

11
Age 4 · 9-0
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Imperial Guard
Confidence: Speculative

Imperial Guard (SR:82, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and arrives on a stunning recent form line of 885111 — three consecutive wins that demonstrate peak momentum. His DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm he handles today's trip and good-to-firm ground, and the class drop of one tier (ClassMv:↓1) gives him a structural advantage. The 20% market drift is a concern that must be acknowledged, but the underlying credentials — best SR in the field, proven distance and going preferences, Michael Dods yard firing at 10% strike rate with Sam James (14%) aboard — outweigh the drift, which may reflect market preference for course specialists rather than any inside negative information. Each-way alternative: Thapa VC. Main danger: Thapa VC — Thapa VC (SR:81, 11/2) matches Imperial Guard on SR, carries 3lb less (9-6 vs 9-9), has proven course form (W1P2 at Doncaster) and GoingFit:+, and despite a class rise and market drift of 12%, his last two runs of 1-1 at Class 6 show a horse in red-hot form that could easily handle the step up.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Imperial Guard's official mark has risen +8 in rapid succession across his three-win streak; today he races off a career-high SR:82, meaning handicapper has now fully caught up with his winning form.
  • A 20% market drift is a significant red flag in an 11-runner field at a well-attended Doncaster Saturday card — smart money has clearly moved away from him, not just toward course specialists.
  • Thapa VC (SR:81) also arrives on a 432511 sequence including two consecutive wins, holds course form (W1P2), and at 11/2 is attracting less market scepticism — a dangerous rival at near-identical rat…
  • Michael Dods yard strike rate of only 10% is modest, and the 19-day gap since last run, combined with a career-high mark after a rapid rise, raises freshness and fitness questions at peak handicap we…
Shortlist Imperial Guard, Thapa VC, War Howl, Rock Opera
Each-way: Thapa VC Danger: Thapa VC

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m7f6y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Doncaster Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade