Perth 14:15 RESULTED
Class 3 15 Aug 2026

Saturday 15 August QuinnBet Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

QuinnBet Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race) · 2m4f20y

Official Result

QuinnBet Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Glen To Glen (IRE) Kielan Woods · Nick Scholfield
    10/1
  2. 2/1
  3. 7/2
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Tamarind Bay silks
Tamarind Bay
Age 6 · 11-10
323-11
128
134
137
6
11-10
13/8 5/4 31/19
Tamarind Bay arrives here on the back of back-to-back wins and, with experience of today's trip and going, he has every reason to be competitive off a 48-day break; our rating makes him the clear pick of this five-runner field.
AI verdict

SR 134 backed by market confidence at 6/4 — a genuine contender.

2
Follow Your Luck silks
Follow Your Luck
Age 5 · 11-6
41/11-
124
129
127
5
11-6
3/1 5/2 3/1
Follow Your Luck arrives on the back of three wins in his last four starts, including a hat-trick of victories, and has run over today's trip before; carrying 160 lb fresh off a 177-day absence are the questions connections must answer.
AI verdict

SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Glen To Glen silks
Glen To Glen
Age 4 · 10-12
710-5R
128
116
129
4
10-12
7/1 9/2 13/2
Landed a win four starts back and has experience of today's going, with 152 lb no bar to a bold showing at a rating of 128 — the main concern is that refusal last time out, which must be forgiven if he is to play a leading role here.
AI verdict

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Ras Kassar silks
Ras Kassar
Age 7 · 10-7
73/042
111
120
124
7
10-7
9/4 11/4 2/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Ras Kassar faces a stiff task under 147 lb, though he has run over today's trip and going before and was second last time out.
AI verdict

SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Kinbara Firstdraft silks
Kinbara Firstdraft
Age 7 · 10-5
4-5745
95
84
127
7
10-5
40/1 33/1 40/1
Kinbara Firstdraft has run over today's trip and going, arrives here 34 days fresh, and a rating of 126 has him fourth of the five on our figures; yet to score in his last five starts, and that stubborn winless streak remains the key concern.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Tamarind Bay 13/8 open 2.25 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 Bet365
2 Follow Your Luck 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 Bet365
3 Glen To Glen 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 Bet365
4 Ras Kassar 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 4.00 2/1 open 3.75 9/4 Bet365
5 Kinbara Firstdraft 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Tamarind Bay

Live signal

Tamarind Bay owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (74) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Mickey Bowen Sean Bowen
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ras Kassar

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · David Pipe
✓ Value Signal

Kinbara Firstdraft

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Leonard Kerr
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
74 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +28.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Tamarind Bay
68.4 13/8
2 4. Ras Kassar
65.4 9/4
3 2. Follow Your Luck
65.4 3/1
4 3. Glen To Glen
61.4 7/1
5 5. Kinbara Firstdraft
43.3 40/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Ras Kassar
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 11-10
13/8
★★★★☆ SR 134 🐾

SR 134 backed by market confidence at 6/4 — a genuine contender.

4
Age 7 · 10-7
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 120 🐾

SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 11-6
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 129 🐾

SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 10-12
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 116 🐾

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

Steamers Shortened — market backing

No steamers in this race.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ras Kassar
Confidence: Speculative

Ras Kassar (SR:120, 5/2) is the most compelling selection despite a lower SR than Tamarind Bay, due to three converging signals. The 15% market steam from opening is the strongest market move in the field and commands attention — money on a 5/2 shot in a five-runner handicap is meaningful. The weight advantage is real: 10-7 versus Tamarind Bay's 11-10, a 17lb difference that more than compensates for the 14-point SR gap when translated to actual race conditions over a testing 2m4f. Tamarind Bay (SR:134) carries a hefty 11-10 as top-weight and is running off a mark 5lb higher than his last win with a 6% market drift — the layers are pushing money out on the favourite, while it flows into Ras Kassar. The step up in class (↑1) is a concern, but David Pipe's yard has the nous to place horses accurately, and the recent 20-day turnaround suggests the team are happy with him. Each-way alternative: Tamarind Bay. Main danger: Tamarind Bay — Tamarind Bay (SR:134) holds the clear class edge in this field, has confirmed DistFit and GoingFit on today's conditions, and Sean Bowen's 23% strike rate on 1,208 rides is the most potent jockey booking in the race — if the weight burden of 11-10 doesn't blunt his finishing effort, he wins.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 73/042 — the most recent figure is a '2' but prior to that a '0' (pulled up or fell?), suggesting fragility; no win in this sequence and a slash indicates a seasonal gap, raising fitness q…
  • HG flag 'ht' indicates a headgear change today (likely first-time hood/tongue-tie), which can be a negative as often as a positive and adds uncertainty over how he'll settle over a stamina-sapping 2m…
  • David Pipe's yard strike rate is only 11% — below the field average for trainers represented — and jockey Dylan Johnston's 17% SR comes from just 42 rides, a thin sample that may flatter.
  • Step up in class (↑1) combined with an SR of only 120 — 14 points below Tamarind Bay and 9 below Follow Your Luck — means Ras Kassar is factually the third-best horse on form figures in a five-runner…
Shortlist Ras Kassar, Tamarind Bay, Follow Your Luck
Each-way: Tamarind Bay Danger: Tamarind Bay

🗺 The Course Class 3

2m4f20y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Perth Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade