Ashley Smith Memorial William Hill Fillies' Handicap Stakes · 1m4f10y
SR 64 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Musical Accord | 5/2 open 3.25 | — | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 11/4 | 3/1 Coral |
| 2 Talitha Rouge | 9/4 open 5.50 | — | 2/1 open 5.00 | 2/1 open 5.00 | 2/1 open 5.00 | 15/8 open 5.00 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 3 Clocker | 11/10 open 3.00 | — | 11/10 open 2.50 | 11/10 open 2.50 | 11/10 open 2.50 | 11/10 open 2.50 | 11/10 Bet365 |
| 4 Blue Tulip | 3/1 open 3.75 | — | 10/3 open 4.00 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 3/1 | 10/3 Coral |
| 5 Skirt Around | 22/1 open 34.00 | — | 22/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 25/1 Betfred |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Talitha Rouge owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
No drifters in this race.
Talitha Rouge (SR 75, 3/1) is the standout pick on the strength of a decisive 18% market move inward — the sharpest signal in a five-runner field — combined with a respectable SR of 75 that sits second only to Clocker's 80 but at a lighter weight of 9-6. The form string 3436 shows progressive engagement at this class (ClassMv:=, same level as last run), and jockey Daniel Tudhope (16% strike rate from 840 rides) is a materially stronger booking than the alternatives. While distance fitness is unproven (DistFit:?), so is every rival's — this is effectively a level playing field on that metric, and the money coming in suggests the connections are confident this trip suits. Each-way alternative: Clocker. Main danger: Clocker — Clocker holds the field's highest SR at 80, has a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, and Oisin Orr (13% strike rate) is a reliable pilot — the step up in class (ClassMv:↑1) and 3lb penalty (MarkMv:+3) are the only negatives, but the favourite's price of 13/8 reflects genuine ability that cannot be dismissed.