Market Rasen 20:04 RESULTED
Class 5 15 Aug 2026

Saturday 15 August oddschecker.com Handicap Hurdle Race

oddschecker.com Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m2f140y

Official Result

oddschecker.com Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Ballynoe Boy (IRE) Danny McMenamin · Nicky Richards
    7/1
  2. 3/1
  3. 15/8F
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
No More Bolero silks
No More Bolero
Age 7 · 12-0
413-11
104
100
98
7
12-0
3/1 10/3 3/1
No More Bolero arrives in fine fettle, winning two on the bounce and scoring three times in his last five starts, and he has experience of both today's trip and going; the chief concern is a hefty 168 lb to shoulder.
AI verdict

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
God Of Fire silks
God Of Fire
Age 6 · 11-10
24/1
100
97
113
6
11-10
13/2 7/2 13/2
Won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving God Of Fire a strong hand here; carrying 164 lb is the one query, but he is the top-rated runner in this field and arrives in good heart off a 33-day break.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Four Decades silks
Four Decades
Age 5 · 11-7
8864-8
97
62
99
5
11-7
50/1 33/1 40/1
Four Decades has run over today's going and returns on a sharp 22-day turnaround, with our rating of 99 marking her out as a leading threat in a competitive field; the concern is that she has been winless in her last five starts, with a best recent finish of fourth.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

4
Fine Point silks
Fine Point
Age 5 · 11-7
043-13
97
92
98
5
11-7
13/2 FCST 11/2
Fine Point won two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, giving him relevant experience, but third last time out and a 70-day absence are the counterweights; at 161 lb, the weight ask is also far from straightforward for a mid-field proposition.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Lone Star silks
Lone Star
Age 9 · 11-4
30-543
94
69
100
9
11-4
20/1 12/1 20/1
Lone Star arrives here after a third last time out, and a third five starts back frames a consistent profile that our rating of 100 suggests is handily treated; she has run over today's trip and going, and at 158 lb the weight burden is the one factor to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

6
Ashdown Forest silks
Ashdown Forest
Age 4 · 11-2
6776-1
96
96
94
4
11-2
7/4
Beaten in four of his last five starts and ranked seventh of ten on our figures, Ashdown Forest faces a stiff ask under 156 lb, though he does arrive on the back of a win last time out and has experience of today's going.
AI verdict

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Ballynoe Boy silks
Ballynoe Boy
Age 6 · 10-13
843-74
89
90
98
6
10-13
11/2 13/2 9/2
Ballynoe Boy has shown he can mix it in this grade with a third three starts back, though winless in his last five and returning after 48 days off, the 153 lb burden may test his resolve on this occasion.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Quick Of The Night silks
Quick Of The Night
Age 9 · 10-6
65-330
82
67
88
9
10-6
16/1 11/1 14/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked ninth of ten on our figures, Quick Of The Night makes a tough case despite the experience over today's trip and going; that unplaced effort last time out, off 146 lb, does little to inspire confidence.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Red Trail silks
Red Trail
Age 7 · 10-2
36-50P
74
55
90
7
10-2
100/1 40/1 80/1
Pulled up last time and winless in her last five starts, Red Trail is hard to fancy at the foot of our rankings, though she has experience of today's going and a 57-day break may have helped her freshness.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Papillondelumiere silks
Papillondelumiere
Age 8 · 10-2
/6-7PP
73
44
73OR
8
10-2
125/1 50/1 100/1
Unexposed and yet to score, Papillondelumiere has shown little in recent starts — back-to-back pulls-up following a sixth and seventh — but lightly raced and open to better, he could strip fitter here just 20 days on from his latest outing.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 No More Bolero 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 Bet365
2 God Of Fire 13/2 open 4.50 7/1 open 4.50 7/1 open 4.50 7/1 open 4.50 7/1 open 5.00 7/1 Coral
3 Four Decades 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 50/1 Bet365
4 Fine Point 13/2 open 7.00 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 6/1 open 6.50 11/2 open 7.00 13/2 Bet365
5 Lone Star 20/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 15.00 22/1 Coral
6 Ashdown Forest 7/4 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 2.88 7/4 7/4 Bet365
7 Ballynoe Boy 11/2 open 13.00 9/2 open 11.00 9/2 open 7.50 5/1 open 11.00 9/2 open 7.50 11/2 Bet365
8 Quick Of The Night 16/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 13.00 18/1 Coral
9 Red Trail 100/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 41.00 125/1 Coral
10 Papillondelumiere 125/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 67.00 150/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

No More Bolero

Speculative

No More Bolero owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 James Owen Harry Cobden
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ashdown Forest

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/4 · Dan Skelton
✓ Value Signal

Red Trail

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

100/1 · Mike Sowersby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. No More Bolero
59.2 3/1
2 6. Ashdown Forest
58.1 7/4
3 2. God Of Fire
53.8 13/2
4 7. Ballynoe Boy
53.2 11/2
5 4. Fine Point
53.0 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
No More Bolero
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 4 · 11-2
7/4
★★★☆☆ SR 96 🐾

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 12-0
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 100 🐾

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 6 · 10-13
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 11-10
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 11-7
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 9 · 10-6
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 9 · 11-4
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
No More Bolero
Confidence: Speculative

No More Bolero (SR 100, 7/2) holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field and arrives on the back of back-to-back wins (Form: 413-11), dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) and confirmed on today's good going (GoingFit:+). Course:W1P1 at Market Rasen is a meaningful edge on a track that rewards specialists, and Harry Cobden (21% career strike rate) is a top booking that adds confidence. The visor headgear has been in place during the winning run and the 12-0 top weight is a concern but SR 100 is 4 points clear of the next best and the class drop offsets the mark rise of +4. The only credible rival is Ashdown Forest, and No More Bolero's proven course record and going confirmation tilt the balance in its favour. Each-way alternative: Ashdown Forest. Main danger: Ashdown Forest — Ashdown Forest (SR 96, 7/4) is trained by Dan Skelton (21% strike rate) and ridden by Harry Skelton (27%), won last time out off a mark now 7lb higher, and at 4 years old has the most upside in the field — the Skelton yard consistently targets races like this with progressive juveniles and the market's favouritism reflects genuine confidence.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Carries top weight 12-0, giving 12lb to market leader Ashdown Forest (11-2) — a 4yo on a 7lb rise who is sent off 7/4 favourite, suggesting the market views the weight concession as decisive.
  • Ashdown Forest is trained by Dan Skelton (21%) and ridden by Harry Skelton (27%) — the dominant jumps combination of the era — and their 22-day turnaround on a horse already rated 96 post-win looks o…
  • No More Bolero's back-to-back wins came at a lower level; the +4 mark rise combined with 12-0 top weight means he is 16lb worse off at the weights versus Ashdown Forest compared to their respective h…
  • At 7/2 with Ashdown Forest trading at 7/4, the market is pricing No More Bolero as a clear second choice — not the value play the SR rating implies — suggesting layers are unimpressed by the form col…
Shortlist No More Bolero, Ashdown Forest, Ballynoe Boy, Fine Point
Each-way: Ashdown Forest Danger: Ashdown Forest

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m2f140y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Market Rasen Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade