Dundalk 14:25 RESULTED
15 Aug 2026

Saturday 15 August BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Mourne Handicap

BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Mourne Handicap · 0m6f0y

Official Result

BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Mourne Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Dark Ace (IRE) Adam Caffrey · Adrian McGuinness
    7/2F
  2. 25/1
  3. 4/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Sir Les Patterson silks
Sir Les Patterson
Age 5 · 10-5
104060
105
88
98
5
10-5
9/2 10/3 9/2
Sir Les Patterson brings distance and going experience to this test and steps back up in trip on a workable 28-day break, carrying 145 lb from stall six; the concern is that his recent form has been patchy, with just one win in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Valiant Force silks
Valiant Force
Age 5 · 10-0
009907
100
89
97
5
10-0
17/2 9/2 17/2
Valiant Force has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a freshener of 34 days, carrying 140 lb from stall 4 with an official mark of 100 to his name; the concern is that he has been winless in his last six starts, with a seventh the best of those efforts.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Black Forza silks
Black Forza
Age 4 · 9-10
/030-7
96
84
98
4
9-10
10/1 15/2 10/1
Black Forza shaped with promise when third three starts back, handles today's distance and going, and a rating of 98 puts him firmly in contention from stall seven; the chief concern is that he returns after a 90-day absence yet to score in his last four starts.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Kerdos silks
Kerdos
Age 6 · 9-8
968601
94
93
100
6
9-8
11/2 9/2 11/2
Kerdos arrives on the back of a win last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, giving him every reason to go well from stall three carrying 134 lb; our rating of 100 marks him as the one to beat, though his overall recent form does demand some faith.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Dark Ace silks
Dark Ace
Age 4 · 9-5
113300
91
93
92
4
9-5
9/2 9/1 9/2
Dark Ace brings solid recent placed form — two wins and a pair of thirds in his last six starts — and has experience over today's trip and going, but two unplaced efforts since those placings give pause, and 131 lb is no light burden from stall 10.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Collective Power silks
Collective Power
Age 8 · 8-10
639253
82
84
86
8
8-10
6/1 10/1 5/1
Collective Power has shown consistency in recent starts, with a third last time out and a second three starts back, though he remains winless in his last six; the experience over today's trip and going is a plus, but his speed rating of 75 suggests he may struggle to quicken decisively from stall five.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
I Bid You Ajou silks
I Bid You Ajou
Age 5 · 8-8
274422
80
88
83
5
8-8
11/2 5/1 11/2
Winless in his last six starts, I Bid You Ajou has hit the frame three times recently but ranks ninth of twelve on our figures, making him hard to fancy at this level; experience over today's trip and going, plus a return after 24 days, offer modest encouragement at best.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Cuban Grey silks
Cuban Grey
Age 6 · 8-7
517943
79
78
81
6
8-7
16/1 9/1 16/1
Cuban Grey has shown only one win in his last six starts, with a seventh and fifth sandwiched around it suggesting inconsistency, and he ranks tenth of twelve on our figures; third last time out offers a crumb of comfort, and he does have experience over today's distance and going, but it is hard to make a strong case from stall 12 off 119 lb.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Allsortz silks
Allsortz
Age 3 · 8-7
131307
82
87
86
3
8-7
8/1 15/2 8/1
Showed his quality with a win four starts back and was third three starts back, but has disappointed in his last two outings; has run over today's trip and going, and while he carries 119 lb from stall one, those recent efforts leave something to prove.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Dandyville silks
Dandyville
Age 8 · 8-7
/7000-
76
57
85
8
8-7
50/1 50/1 40/1
Dandyville arrives here 376 days off the track and winless in his last four starts, which are clear negatives, though he has experience of today's distance and going and a rating of 85 offers a sliver of encouragement from stall two at 119 lb.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

11
Fox In Flight silks
Fox In Flight
Age 3 · 8-7
802959
79
57
76
3
8-7
18/1 28/1 18/1
Fox In Flight arrives winless in his last six starts and ranks last on our figures, with a speed rating of 74 sitting below his official mark of 79; a second four starts back is the sole encouragement, though ninth last time out and ninth three starts back make him hard to fancy here.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
All The Girls silks
All The Girls
Age 3 · 8-7
-70638
76
58
81
3
8-7
40/1 28/1 40/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked near the foot of the field on our figures, All The Girls faces a stiff ask here; a third two starts back offers a crumb of hope, and she does have experience of today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Sir Les Patterson 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 Bet365
2 Valiant Force 17/2 open 6.50 9/1 open 5.50 9/1 open 5.50 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 5.50 9/1 Coral
3 Black Forza 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 Bet365
4 Kerdos 11/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 Coral
5 Dark Ace 9/2 open 10.00 9/2 open 10.00 9/2 open 10.00 9/2 open 10.00 9/2 open 10.00 9/2 Bet365
6 Collective Power 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 5/1 open 12.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 Bet365
7 I Bid You Ajou 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 Coral
8 Cuban Grey 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 Bet365
9 Allsortz 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 8/1 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 8/1 Bet365
10 Dandyville 50/1 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 50/1 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 Bet365
11 Fox In Flight 18/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 34.00 18/1 Bet365
12 All The Girls 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Dark Ace

Speculative

Dark Ace owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Adrian McGuinness Adam Caffrey
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Kerdos

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Stephen Thorne
✓ Value Signal

All The Girls

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · T G McCourt
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Dark Ace
56.7 9/2
2 4. Kerdos
54.3 11/2
3 3. Black Forza
53.0 10/1
4 9. Allsortz
52.8 8/1
5 1. Sir Les Patterson
52.4 9/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Dark Ace
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 10-5
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-5
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 9-8
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 5 · 8-8
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 8 · 8-10
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 3 · 8-7
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 10-0
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-10
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 8-7
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 8-7
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Dark Ace
Confidence: Speculative

Dark Ace (SR:93, 6/1) is one of the two joint top-rated horses but carries only 9-5, a meaningful weight advantage over Kerdos (9-8) and Sir Les Patterson (10-5). The horse has DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — the only runner with confirmed fitness across both today's trip and going — and the market has steamed 34% in from its opening price, the sharpest move in the field by a considerable margin. The form string 113300 shows three wins from six runs but a run of 0s since; however, at 13 days since last run it is quickly back and the market clearly believes it is ready to bounce back. Running off a mark 8lb higher than its last win (MarkMv:+8) is the main reservation, but the weight-distance-going alignment and dramatic market support make it the most compelling case. Each-way alternative: Kerdos. Main danger: Kerdos — Kerdos (SR:93, 5/1) matches Dark Ace on rating, has GoingFit:+ confirmed, carries a favourable 9-8, and the winning last run (Form:968601) in blinkers shows a sharp switch in form — even though it is 5lb higher than that last win, the trainer's stable companion context and course fitness make it the most credible alternative.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Running off a mark 8lb higher than its last win (MarkMv:+8) is significant — the three zeros in form 113300 suggest it has already been found out at a higher level, and now it climbs even further up…
  • Trainer Adrian McGuinness strikes at only 8% — notably below the field's leading handlers — and jockey Adam Caffrey at 6% is one of the weaker bookings in this race, with I Bid You Ajou's Holohan and…
  • Kerdos shares the joint-top SR:93 but runs off a mark only 5lb higher than its last win versus Dark Ace's 8lb rise, carries just 3lb more despite being older, and its market is flat (out 7%) suggesti…
  • The form string ends in three consecutive zeros (330→300); even with a quick 13-day turnaround, the horse has shown a clear declining trajectory and has not hit the frame in its last three outings, m…
Shortlist Dark Ace, Kerdos, I Bid You Ajou, Allsortz
Each-way: Kerdos Danger: Kerdos

🗺 The Course Race conditions

0m6f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Dundalk Track and setting