Irish Stallion Farms EBF Red God Handicap · 1m2f150y
SR 86 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 75 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Iron Fist | 15/2 open 7.00 | — | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 Coral |
| 2 Apercu | 14/1 open 10.00 | — | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 Coral |
| 3 Genoah | 12/1 open 9.50 | — | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Star Harbour | 11/2 open 9.50 | — | 5/1 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Touch The Moon | 15/2 open 12.00 | — | 7/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 9.50 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Crypto Force | 25/1 open 21.00 | — | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Tribal Star | 10/1 | — | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Slieve Binnian | 9/2 open 5.00 | — | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 9 Beauparc | 20/1 open 19.00 | — | 20/1 | 20/1 | 20/1 | 20/1 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Follow Me | 14/1 open 17.00 | — | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Steel Cut | 28/1 open 26.00 | — | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Quatre Bras | 10/1 open 7.00 | — | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 Coral |
| 13 Cala Bonita | 11/1 open 15.00 | — | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Nermal | 11/2 open 9.00 | — | 6/1 open 9.00 | 6/1 open 9.00 | 5/1 open 9.00 | 6/1 open 9.00 | 6/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Nermal owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Touch The Moon (SR:82, 8/1) is one of the stronger SRs in the field and carries a very manageable 9-8, giving it a real weight advantage over Iron Fist (10-0) and Apercu/Genoah/Star Harbour (9-9). Crucially, it is the only runner in the field showing a significant market move — steaming in 15% from its opening price — which in a 14-runner handicap at this level is a meaningful signal that connections are expecting a performance. Trainer William Durkan runs at a 13% strike rate from just 121 runners, suggesting a focused, selective operation that doesn't fire for fun, and Chris Hayes (11%, 355 runners) is a reliable booking. The recent form of 8-1248 shows a win and placed efforts mixed with less competitive outings, consistent with a horse that can run well fresh (15 days since last run) when the right race presents itself. Each-way alternative: Iron Fist. Main danger: Iron Fist — Iron Fist (SR:84, the field's joint-highest rating, 13/2) has confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — the only runner ticking both boxes definitively — and Shane Foley is a stronger jockey booking than most in this field, though the top-weight of 10-0 and a mark 11lb above last win are real concerns.