Market Rasen 19:04 RESULTED
Class 4 15 Aug 2026

Saturday 15 August Oddschecker Free Bets Handicap Hurdle Race

Oddschecker Free Bets Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m7f16y

Official Result

Oddschecker Free Bets Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Kiwi De Cotte (FR) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton
    13/2
  2. 3/1F
  3. 11/2
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ernest Gray silks
Ernest Gray
Age 9 · 12-1
2166-4
121
113
125
9
12-1
9/2 7/2 9/2
Ernest Gray won four starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions, with his rating of 125 suggesting he holds strong claims here; the concern is that he has finished fourth or further in his last three starts.
AI verdict

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Ballintubber Boy silks
Ballintubber Boy
Age 9 · 12-0
22-643
120
109
126
9
12-0
6/1 5/1 6/1
Ballintubber Boy was third last time out, and a second four starts back underlines his consistency, though he remains yet to win in his last five starts; experience over today's trip and going, combined with a rating of 126, makes him the one to beat here.
AI verdict

SR 109 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Kiwi de Cotte silks
Kiwi de Cotte
Age 6 · 11-5
P1-P13
111
108
110
6
11-5
7/2 3/2 7/2
Kiwi de Cotte has pulled up twice in his last five starts, making him hard to trust despite wins in the same span; he has run over today's trip and going, but ranked fifth of six on our figures, he faces a stiff task under 159 lb.
AI verdict

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Belvedere Blast silks
Belvedere Blast
Age 8 · 11-3
70-339
109
106
114
8
11-3
3/1 3/1 11/4
Belvedere Blast has back-to-back thirds in recent starts and returns here 28 days on, with experience of today's trip and going working in his favour; the chief concern is that ninth last time out and a record of 0 wins in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Lowlands silks
Lowlands
Age 7 · 11-2
23-124
108
111
111
7
11-2
7/2 4/1 3/1
Lowlands shaped with real promise when runner-up two starts back and built on that with a win three starts back, suggesting she retains her form well; she has experience of today's distance and going, though a fourth last time out raises a mild question mark.
AI verdict

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Parikarma silks
Parikarma
Age 9 · 10-5
5-3272
97
99
103
9
10-5
9/1 11/1 7/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Parikarma faces a stiff task at 145 lb, though she has run over today's trip and going before and showed placed form three starts back and last time out.
AI verdict

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ernest Gray 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 Bet365
2 Ballintubber Boy 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 Bet365
3 Kiwi de Cotte 7/2 open 2.50 4/1 open 3.00 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.00 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 Coral
4 Belvedere Blast 3/1 open 5.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.50 3/1 3/1 Bet365
5 Lowlands 7/2 open 6.00 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
6 Parikarma 9/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 12.00 9/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lowlands

Live signal

Lowlands owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Nicky Richards Danny McMenamin
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ballintubber Boy

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
✓ Value Signal

Parikarma

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

9/1 · Samuel Drinkwater
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Lowlands
61.9 7/2
2 2. Ballintubber Boy
60.4 6/1
3 3. Kiwi de Cotte
60.2 7/2
4 1. Ernest Gray
59.4 9/2
5 4. Belvedere Blast
57.6 3/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Belvedere Blast
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 8 · 11-3
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 11-5
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 7 · 11-2
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 111 🐾

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 9 · 12-1
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 113 🐾

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 9 · 12-0
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 109 🐾

SR 109 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 9 · 10-5
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Belvedere Blast
Confidence: Speculative

Belvedere Blast (SR:106, 3/1, 11-3) carries the lightest competitive weight among the main contenders and shows a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground — a concrete edge over most rivals whose going fitness is unknown. The market has shortened 9% since opening, indicating professional money coming in despite a form line that includes a recent 9th; that drift-back on the form is likely context-specific given the horse's class record. The jockey booking of Oakley Brown (an apprentice claiming a meaningful allowance) further lightens the burden, and Adrian Keatley's 16% strike rate over 219 runners is respectable at this level. Against a field where the two highest-rated runners carry serious weight concerns and the market leader Kiwi de Cotte has drifted a massive 36%, Belvedere Blast's combination of going suitability, weight advantage, and steaming market stands out. Each-way alternative: Lowlands. Main danger: Lowlands — Lowlands (SR:111, 4/1, 11-2) is the second-highest rated runner, also confirmed GoingFit:+, has also seen market support (in6%), and carries less weight than Ernest Gray — a consistent 23-1-2-4 form sequence shows a horse that competes regularly at this level without disgracing itself, and SR:111 gives a genuine ability edge over Belvedere Blast.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 70-339: the recent 9th is the latest in a string of declining finishes, with no win in this sequence and last three runs all outside the placings — not a horse in form.
  • Oakley Brown is a conditional with only 5 rides recorded, making this an extremely inexperienced booking for a 3/1 shot; the weight claim benefit may be outweighed by lack of race-reading ability in…
  • Lowlands (SR:111, 11-2) is higher-rated, only 1lb heavier, has steamed in 6% with a +7 market move, and shows a far more encouraging recent form line (23-124) — a direct rival who looks superior on e…
  • No course form or course-and-distance win flagged for Belvedere Blast at Market Rasen, while Kiwi de Cotte holds a course winner flag (W1P1) despite drifting, and other rivals have track experience a…
Shortlist Belvedere Blast, Lowlands, Kiwi de Cotte
Each-way: Lowlands Danger: Lowlands

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m7f16y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Market Rasen Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade