Leopardstown 19:45 RESULTED
16 Jul 2026

Today Mervue Equine Handicap

Mervue Equine Handicap · 1m2f

Official Result

Mervue Equine Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Marmeladova (IRE) W J Lee · K J Condon
    3/1
  2. 11/1
  3. Third Daler (IRE)
    5/2F
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 29 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
En Or silks
En Or
Age 8 · 10-4
7090-0
84
62
84OR
8
10-4
18/1
En Or ranks second in the field on our figures with a leading speed figure to match, giving him solid claims on ability; the query is recent form, nothing better than seventh in his last five starts, plus a 43-day absence since his latest run.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

2
Daler silks
Daler
Age 4 · 10-3
4-8712
83
84
83OR
4
10-3
9/4 31/19 9/4
Daler won two starts back and confirmed that form with a close second last time out, making him the one to beat here on our figures; the only query is finding the same level again after a quieter spell earlier in the sequence.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Unterberg silks
Unterberg
Age 7 · 9-12
511108
78
65
78OR
7
9-12
12/1 12/1 11/1
Unterberg strung together three wins in a row earlier in his recent form, form that gives him a leading claim in this race; the concern is a sharp dip since, culminating in an eighth last time out, a marked fall from that purple patch.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Marmeladova silks
Marmeladova
Age 5 · 9-9
8-1432
75
83
75OR
5
9-9
7/2 3/1 10/3
Marmeladova has been on an upward curve - a win four starts back, then successive placed efforts of fourth, third and second - and a rapid nine-day turnaround keeps her fighting fit; the query is finding the extra to convert those places into victory here.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Neo Smart silks
Neo Smart
Age 5 · 9-4
419774
70
74
70OR
5
9-4
6/1 5/1 6/1
Neo Smart won five starts back but form dipped sharply after that, with a ninth and back-to-back sevenths in between; last time's fourth suggests she may be finding some of that spark again, and a 20-day gap should keep her fresh.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Sinbad My Dad silks
Sinbad My Dad
Age 5 · 9-4
33-986
70
62
70OR
5
9-4
14/1 14/1 12/1
Sinbad My Dad was placed in each of his first two starts but has since dropped away to ninth and eighth, with a modest sixth last time out the only sign of recovery; the drop in form leaves him needing to rediscover his best.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

7
Faro Island silks
Faro Island
Age 4 · 9-1
10-417
67
77
67OR
4
9-1
4/1 9/2 7/2
Faro Island has two wins in his last five starts, but they came either side of markedly worse efforts, and last time's seventh continues that indifferent pattern; the win history is the redeeming feature, though our figures rate him only modestly for this task.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Out On Friday silks
Out On Friday
Age 10 · 8-13
00-020
65
49
65OR
10
8-13
33/1
Out On Friday has been unplaced in four of his last five starts, the exception a runner-up effort two starts back that stands out as the one bright spot; a 36-day absence since his latest run adds a further question over readiness.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

9
Blackjack Hills silks
Blackjack Hills
Age 4 · 8-12
0011-7
64
64
64OR
4
8-12
12/1
Blackjack Hills strung together back-to-back wins in his recent form, sandwiched by two earlier unplaced efforts and a below-par seventh last time out; the winning form is there in patches, but he rates the most modest of these nine on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 En Or 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 Bet365
2 Daler 9/4 open 2.63 5/2 open 2.63 5/2 open 2.63 5/2 open 2.63 5/2 open 2.75 5/2 Coral
3 Unterberg 12/1 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 Bet365
4 Marmeladova 7/2 open 4.00 10/3 10/3 10/3 open 4.00 7/2 7/2 Bet365
5 Neo Smart 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 Bet365
6 Sinbad My Dad 14/1 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 Bet365
7 Faro Island 4/1 open 8.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 Bet365
8 Out On Friday 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 Bet365
9 Blackjack Hills 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Marmeladova

Speculative

Marmeladova owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 K J Condon W J Lee
74% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Daler

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · G M Lyons
✓ Value Signal

Out On Friday

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Philip M Byrne
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Marmeladova
57.2 7/2
2 2. Daler
52.9 9/4
3 7. Faro Island
52.3 4/1
4 5. Neo Smart
51.7 6/1
5 3. Unterberg
47.3 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Faro Island
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 10-3
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 9-9
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 9-1
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 9-4
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 7 · 9-12
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 8-12
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 9-4
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

1
Age 8 · 10-4
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Faro Island
Confidence: Medium

Faro Island (SR 77, 4/1, Wgt:9-1) carries the lightest meaningful weight in the field and has steamed in 30% from opening, the strongest market move of any runner — money that loud demands explanation and points to stable confidence. Dylan Browne McMonagle (15% strike rate from 898 runners) is the standout jockey booking here, a clear upgrade signal from connections. At 4 years old, this is the most progressive profile in the field, and the blinkers application (first-time headgear) often triggers improvement in younger horses who have shown ability but not consistency, as the 10-417 form suggests. With 9-1 on its back it has a significant weight advantage over the top two weights — Daler (10-3) and En Or (10-4) — making it the most attractive combination of SR, market confidence, jockey quality, and weight relief. Each-way alternative: Marmeladova. Main danger: Daler — Daler (SR 84, the field's highest, with Colin Keane booked) retains the strongest raw ability rating and the form figure of '2' last time out suggests recency, though the 30% market drift and +8lb mark rise are genuine concerns that must be respected.

Shortlist Faro Island, Daler, Marmeladova
Each-way: Marmeladova Danger: Daler

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m2f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Leopardstown Track and setting