Alex McWilliams Memorial Celebrations Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race) · 1m0f68y
SR 116 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 132 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 122 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 125 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Blairtum Night | 200/1 open 101.00 | — | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Matter Of Britain | 16/1 open 11.00 | — | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 3 My Mate Roger | 1/7 open 1.33 | — | 2/15 open 1.30 | 1/10 open 1.30 | 1/9 open 1.30 | 1/9 open 1.30 | 1/7 Bet365 |
| 4 Test Run | 13/2 open 4.33 | — | 5/1 open 4.00 | 11/2 open 4.00 | 6/1 open 4.00 | 5/1 open 4.00 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Al Fujairah | 33/1 open 21.00 | — | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Shatin Beauty | 66/1 open 41.00 | — | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Test Run owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (79) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 132 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
My Mate Roger (SR 97, 1/7) presents an unusual case where the SR is the lowest of the realistic contenders yet every other signal aligns emphatically. The horse is dropping one class, carries a light 9-4, and has a consistent 2-2-2-2 form string showing it finds a way to be competitive at minimum — and the market has shortened a further 14% to 1/7, reflecting genuine connections confidence. In a field of six where every rival has material concerns (see eliminations), consistent placed form in a novice context is far more meaningful than raw SR, and the class drop into a restricted novice makes this a winnable assignment. Tom Clover and David Egan are a competent combination (11%/14% strike rates), and the addition of a hood (p) suggests connections are sharpening the horse up for this assignment. Each-way alternative: Matter Of Britain. Main danger: Test Run — Test Run holds the highest SR in the field (142) and drops three class tiers — if the 306-day absence is training-related rather than injury, a fresh run at this level could see the class difference overwhelm the opposition despite market drift.